Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg Prediction, Preview and Stats

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Signal Iduna Park Sun, 26 Apr - 3:30 PM
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund BVB
Versus
SC Freiburg SCF
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 3:30 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Borussia Dortmund host SC Freiburg in Bundesliga (Regular Season) at Signal Iduna Park. Domestically, Borussia Dortmund sit 2th in the table while SC Freiburg are 7th. Power ranking favours Borussia Dortmund by 3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Borussia Dortmund holds a 3-point power advantage at 33.62 over SC Freiburg's 30.66 and leads 2nd to 7th in Bundesliga standings.
  • Form: Dortmund's form score of 28.5 outstrips Freiburg's 17.83.
  • Squad: Squad strength proxied by league positions with Dortmund 2nd and Freiburg 7th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not specified in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence with proxy data and no xG available for either team.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable due to add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Borussia Dortmund 66.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 20.4% (Δ+0%) | SC Freiburg 13.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Borussia Dortmund N. Kovač
N. Kovač
VS
SC Freiburg J. Schuster
J. Schuster
2.14
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.48
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
TSG Hoffenheim Rank: L
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: L
VfB Stuttgart Rank: W
Hamburger SV Rank: W
FC Augsburg Rank: W
FC Köln Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Heidenheim Rank: W
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: W
FC Bayern München Rank: L
St. Pauli Rank: W
FC Union Berlin Rank: L
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: D
24
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
24 - 4 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Borussia Dortmund
66.45%
Draw
20.41%
Away SC Freiburg
13.14%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
33.62
30.66
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Borussia Dortmund
SC Freiburg
Power Score
33.62
30.66
League Position
2
7
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Borussia Dortmund — Opponent-weighted form score
SC Freiburg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Borussia Dortmund SC Freiburg

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Borussia Dortmund BVB Home
31 matches
SC Freiburg SCF Away
Match Record
24
Wins
3
4
Draws
4
3
Losses
24
Goals
86
Goals Scored
23
23
Goals Conceded
86
+63
Goal Difference
-63
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:15:03+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Signal Iduna Park
Capacity
81365
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

30
Patrick Drewes
Patrick Drewes Goalkeeper
1
Gregor Kobel
Gregor Kobel Goalkeeper
33
Alexander Meyer
Alexander Meyer Goalkeeper
31
Silas Ostrzinski
Silas Ostrzinski Goalkeeper
23
Emre Can
Emre Can Defender
25
Niklas Süle
Niklas Süle Defender
3
Waldemar Anton
Waldemar Anton Defender
5
Ramy Bensebaini
Ramy Bensebaini Defender
26
Julian Ryerson
Julian Ryerson Defender
4
Nico Schlotterbeck
Nico Schlotterbeck Defender
24
Daniel Svensson
Daniel Svensson Defender
39
Filippo Calixte Mane
Filippo Calixte Mane Defender
42
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar Defender
49
Luca Reggiani
Luca Reggiani Defender
10
Julian Brandt
Julian Brandt Midfielder
20
Marcel Sabitzer
Marcel Sabitzer Midfielder
6
Salih Özcan
Salih Özcan Midfielder
8
Felix Kalu Nmecha
Felix Kalu Nmecha Midfielder
17
Carney Chukwuemeka
Carney Chukwuemeka Midfielder
2
Yan Bueno Couto
Yan Bueno Couto Midfielder
7
Jobe Bellingham
Jobe Bellingham Midfielder
9
Serhou Guirassy
Serhou Guirassy Attacker
27
Karim Adeyemi
Karim Adeyemi Attacker
21
Fábio Daniel Soares Silva
Fábio Daniel Soares Silva Attacker
14
Maximilian Beier
Maximilian Beier Attacker
40
Samuele Inacio
Samuele Inacio Attacker

Squad ▼

24
Jannik Huth
Jannik Huth Goalkeeper
21
Florian Müller
Florian Müller Goalkeeper
1
Noah Atubolu
Noah Atubolu Goalkeeper
28
Matthias Lukas Ginter
Matthias Lukas Ginter Defender
30
Christian Günter
Christian Günter Defender
17
Lukas Kübler
Lukas Kübler Defender
5
Anthony Jung
Anthony Jung Defender
3
Philipp Lienhart
Philipp Lienhart Defender
29
Philipp Treu
Philipp Treu Defender
33
Jordy Makengo
Jordy Makengo Defender
37
Max Rosenfelder
Max Rosenfelder Defender
43
Bruno Ifechukwu Ogbus
Bruno Ifechukwu Ogbus Defender
27
Nicolas Höfler
Nicolas Höfler Midfielder
8
Maximilian Eggestein
Maximilian Eggestein Midfielder
11
Daniel-Kofi Kyereh
Daniel-Kofi Kyereh Midfielder
6
Patrick Osterhage
Patrick Osterhage Midfielder
44
Johan Manzambi
Johan Manzambi Midfielder
32
Vincenzo Grifo
Vincenzo Grifo Attacker
26
Maximilian Philipp
Maximilian Philipp Attacker
9
Lucas Höler
Lucas Höler Attacker
19
Jan-Niklas Beste
Jan-Niklas Beste Attacker
31
Igor Matanovic
Igor Matanovic Attacker
14
Yuito Suzuki
Yuito Suzuki Attacker
7
Derry Lionel Scherhant
Derry Lionel Scherhant Attacker
22
Cyriaque Kalou Irié
Cyriaque Kalou Irié Attacker

CONCLUSION

Borussia Dortmund enters as clear frontrunners, leveraging superior power ratings, form, and league position against a Freiburg side trailing in key metrics. The home atmosphere at Signal Iduna Park amplifies Dortmund's edge, likely leading to controlled possession and higher chance creation. Freiburg's lower form score suggests vulnerability in sustaining pressure away from home. Absent detailed set piece or efficiency insights, the contest pivots on Dortmund's structural dominance and ability to convert advantages into goals, positioning them to secure a comfortable victory and bolster their title contention.

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