Birmingham City vs Bristol City Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
St. Andrew's Stadium Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM
Championship
Birmingham City BRC
Versus
Bristol City BSC
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM
Round 45 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Birmingham City host Bristol City at St. Andrew's Stadium in a mid-table Championship regular season fixture from the 2025/2026 campaign. The Blues languish in 14th position, trailing the Robins who hold 10th spot with marginally better consistency. Power ratings tilt towards the visitors at 23.16 versus Birmingham's 21.59, granting Bristol a 1.6-point edge that underscores their status as the stronger side overall. Form metrics further highlight this disparity, with Bristol scoring 19.56 compared to the hosts' 14.06, suggesting greater momentum heading into the clash. Detailed set piece and efficiency data remain unavailable due to low-confidence proxies and absent xG figures, leaving analysis reliant on broader indicators. Home support could ignite Birmingham, yet Bristol's advantages position them to control proceedings in this evenly poised encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Bristol City hold a 1.6-point power advantage over Birmingham City with ratings of 23.16 to 21.59.
  • Form: Visitors showcase stronger recent form at 19.56 against the hosts' 14.06 score.
  • Squad: Birmingham City sit 14th in the league while Bristol City occupy 10th place.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams in current analysis.
  • Transition: Transition metrics absent from available fixture details.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats rely on low-confidence proxies with no xG data for either side.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable as add-on not enabled for this matchup.
  • Market: Birmingham City 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Bristol City 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Birmingham City C. Davies
C. Davies
VS
Bristol City R. Hodgson
R. Hodgson
1.3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.21
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Preston North End Rank: D
Hull City Rank: D
Wrexham Rank: W
Ipswich Town Rank: L
Blackburn Rovers Rank: L
Derby County Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Southampton Rank: D
Norwich City Rank: L
Queens Park Rangers Rank: D
Sheffield United Rank: W
Charlton Athletic Rank: W
West Bromwich Albion Rank: L
16
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
16 - 4 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Birmingham City
0%
Draw
0%
Away Bristol City
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
21.59
23.16
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Birmingham City
Bristol City
Power Score
21.59
23.16
League Position
14
10
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Birmingham City — Opponent-weighted form score
Bristol City — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Birmingham City Bristol City

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 25 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Birmingham City BRC Home
25 matches
Bristol City BSC Away
Match Record
16
Wins
5
4
Draws
4
5
Losses
16
Goals
38
Goals Scored
22
22
Goals Conceded
38
+16
Goal Difference
-16
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:05:45+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 45 · Regular Season
Stadium
St. Andrew's Stadium
Capacity
29409
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Robert Jones
Nick Greenhalgh
Richard West
Leigh Doughty

Squad

Referee : Robert Jones

Squad ▼

21
Ryan Allsop
Ryan Allsop Goalkeeper
25
James Beadle
James Beadle Goalkeeper
6
Jack Robinson
Jack Robinson Defender
26
Bright Osayi-Samuel
Bright Osayi-Samuel Defender
5
Phil Neumann
Phil Neumann Defender
31
Kai Wagner
Kai Wagner Defender
37
Johnathan Panzo
Johnathan Panzo Defender
20
Alexander Cochrane
Alexander Cochrane Defender
4
Christoph Klarer
Christoph Klarer Defender
2
Ethan Laird
Ethan Laird Defender
3
Lee Buchanan
Lee Buchanan Defender
24
Tomoki Iwata
Tomoki Iwata Midfielder
8
Seung-Ho Paik
Seung-Ho Paik Midfielder
7
Thomas Doyle
Thomas Doyle Midfielder
27
Kanya Fujimoto
Kanya Fujimoto Midfielder
14
Jhon Elmer Solis Romero
Jhon Elmer Solis Romero Midfielder
10
Demarai Gray
Demarai Gray Attacker
16
Patrick Roberts
Patrick Roberts Attacker
33
Marvin Ducksch
Marvin Ducksch Attacker
9
Kyogo Furuhashi
Kyogo Furuhashi Attacker
23
Carlos Vicente Robles
Carlos Vicente Robles Attacker
28
Jay Stansfield
Jay Stansfield Attacker
17
Ibrahim Osman
Ibrahim Osman Attacker
29
August Priske
August Priske Attacker
Referee : Robert Jones

Squad ▼

13
Joe Lumley
Joe Lumley Goalkeeper
32
Lewis Thomas
Lewis Thomas Goalkeeper
23
Radek Vítek
Radek Vítek Goalkeeper
16
Robert Dickie
Robert Dickie Defender
2
Ross McCrorie
Ross McCrorie Defender
21
Vivaldo Borges dos Santos Neto
Vivaldo Borges dos Santos Neto Defender
19
George Tanner
George Tanner Defender
5
Robert Atkinson
Robert Atkinson Defender
3
Cameron Pring
Cameron Pring Defender
38
Noah Eile
Noah Eile Defender
15
Luke McNally
Luke McNally Defender
24
Sebastian Naylor
Sebastian Naylor Defender
33
Josh Campbell-Slowey
Josh Campbell-Slowey Defender
40
Sam Morsy
Sam Morsy Midfielder
8
Joe Williams
Joe Williams Midfielder
10
Scott Twine
Scott Twine Midfielder
17
Mark Sykes
Mark Sykes Midfielder
6
Max Bird
Max Bird Midfielder
14
Tomi Horvat
Tomi Horvat Midfielder
12
Jason Knight
Jason Knight Midfielder
4
Adam Randell
Adam Randell Midfielder
44
George Earthy
George Earthy Midfielder
28
Adam Murphy
Adam Murphy Midfielder
18
Emil Riis Jakobsen
Emil Riis Jakobsen Attacker
11
Delano Burgzorg
Delano Burgzorg Attacker
30
Sinclair Armstrong
Sinclair Armstrong Attacker
20
Samuel John Bell
Samuel John Bell Attacker

CONCLUSION

Bristol City arrive with credible edges in power, form, and standings, marking them as marginal favorites despite Birmingham's home fortress at St. Andrew's. The 1.6-point structural lead and superior 19.56 form score position the Robins to exploit any Blues' vulnerabilities. Lacking granular set piece or efficiency insights, focus shifts to overall ratings where visitors dominate. Birmingham must harness crowd energy for a response, potentially turning midfield skirmishes decisive. This setup hints at a cagey affair, but Bristol's momentum likely tips the scales towards a hard-fought away success.

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