AZ vs Heracles Almelo Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
AFAS Stadion Sun, 15 Mar - 1:30 PM
Eredivisie
AZ AZ
4 Winner 0
Heracles Almelo HEA
Full Time Sun, 15 Mar 1:30 PM
Troy Parrott - 5'
Sven Mijnans - 45+1'
Mees de Wit - 74'
Isak Jensen - 84'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. AZ 4–0 Heracles Almelo. The result saw AZ take the points. AZ showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 52%–48%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: AZ showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Hensgens
R. Hensgens
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.45
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.09
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.05
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
C. Schaap
C. Schaap
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.45
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.09
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.05
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
N. van Kampen
N. van Kampen
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.45
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.09
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.05
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
K. Puts
K. Puts
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.45
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.09
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.05
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
AZ L. Echteld
L. Echteld
VS
Heracles Almelo E. Faber
E. Faber
1.37
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.86
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Excelsior Rank: 61 W
Ajax Rank: 77 D
NEC Nijmegen Rank: 73 L
Telstar Rank: 59 W
Excelsior Rank: 61 D
PEC Zwolle Rank: 63 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Utrecht Rank: 70 D
PSV Rank: 88 L
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: 64 L
NAC Breda Rank: 56 L
NEC Nijmegen Rank: 73 L
Fortuna Sittard Rank: 62 W
27
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
27 - 4 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home AZ
69.01%
Draw
17.38%
Away Heracles Almelo
13.6%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
74.07
57.2
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
AZ
Heracles Almelo
Power Score
74.07
57.2
League Position
6
18
Global Rank
109
538

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
AZ — Opponent-weighted form score
Heracles Almelo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) AZ Heracles Almelo

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

AZ

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Heracles Almelo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

AZ ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Heracles Almelo
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.94
15.63
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
15.63
33.94
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
AZ +1.98 Efficiency Index
vs
Heracles Almelo -1.98 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
AZ
Heracles Almelo
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

AZ ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Heracles Almelo
Created Set-piece attacking threat
AZ Heracles Almelo
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
AZ Heracles Almelo
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
AZ
Heracles Almelo
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

AZ AZ Home
9 matches
Heracles Almelo HEA Away
Match Record
5
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
5
Goals
15
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
15
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T02:01:35+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
H. Verhulst
Netherlands
12 H. Verhulst
E. Dijkstra
Substitution
Netherlands
22 E. Dijkstra
W. Goes
Netherlands
3 W. Goes
B. van Duijl
Netherlands
23 B. van Duijl
M. De Wit
Netherlands
34 M. De Wit
K. Smit
Netherlands
26 K. Smit
P. Koopmeiners
Substitution
Netherlands
6 P. Koopmeiners
S. Mijnans
Netherlands
10 (C) S. Mijnans
W. Pinto Batista
Substitution
Brazil
7 W. Pinto Batista
T. Parrott
Substitution
Republic of Ireland
9 T. Parrott
R. Daal
Substitution
Netherlands
27 R. Daal
R. Pasveer
Netherlands
22 R. Pasveer
I. Mesík
Slovakia
24 I. Mesík
A. Van Hoorenbeeck
Belgium
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck
D. Mirani
Netherlands
4 (C) D. Mirani
J. Wieckhoff
Substitution
Germany
3 J. Wieckhoff
R. Bozinovski
Substitution
Australia
20 R. Bozinovski
J. Žambůrek
Substitution
Czech Republic
13 J. Žambůrek
N. Ünüvar
Substitution
Netherlands
9 N. Ünüvar
A. Hrustic
Australia
70 A. Hrustic
E. Ahlstrand
Sweden
14 E. Ahlstrand
L. Zeefuik
Netherlands
25 L. Zeefuik

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 15, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Stadium
AFAS Stadion
Capacity
19500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Robin Hensgens
Charl Schaap
Nils van Kampen
Kevin Puts

Statistics

Possession
AZ
53%
HEA
47%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
5 Big Chances Created 1
12 Shots 3
53 Dangerous attacks 30
52 Possession 48
7 Corners 3
19 Free kicks 10
0 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 4
19 Throwins 12
19 Dribble Attempts 13
32 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
7 Successful Headers 20
6 Successful Dribbles 5
3 Assists 0
2 Goal Kicks 8
65 Ball Safe 79
1 Injuries 0
10 Goal Attempts 2

Attacking

116 Attacks 84
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

426 Passes 396
50 Long Passes 53
81 Successful Passes Percentage 78
11 Key Passes 4
36 Successful Long Passes Percentage 45
343 Successful Passes 309
18 Successful Long Passes 24

Defensive

2 Saves 3
6 Interceptions 7
22 Tackles 21

Build-up

2 Accurate Crosses 3
12 Total Crosses 8

Discipline

10 Fouls 19
3 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Robin Hensgens

Starting XI ▼

12
Hobie Verhulst
Hobie Verhulst Goalkeeper
6.69
3
Wouter Goes
Wouter Goes Defender
7.23
22
Elijah Dijkstra
Elijah Dijkstra Defender
6.71
30
Denso Kasius
Denso Kasius
Defender60'
6.63
23
Billy van Duijl
Billy van Duijl Defender
7.1
34
Mees de Wit
Mees de Wit Defender
7.96
6
Peer Koopmeiners
Peer Koopmeiners Midfielder
7.53
20
Kasper Boogaard
Kasper Boogaard
Midfielder76'
6.44
10
Sven Mijnans
Sven Mijnans (C) Midfielder
7.75
26
Kees Smit
Kees Smit Midfielder
7.12
7
Weslley Patati
Weslley Patati Attacker
7.28
11
Ibrahim Sadiq
Ibrahim Sadiq
Attacker60'
6.33
9
Troy Parrott
Troy Parrott Attacker
8.95
35
Mexx Meerdink
Mexx Meerdink
Attacker76'
6.69
27
Ro-Zangelo Daal
Ro-Zangelo Daal Attacker
6.29
17
Isak Jensen
Isak Jensen
Attacker32'
7.08
Referee : Robin Hensgens

Starting XI ▼

22
Remko Pasveer
Remko Pasveer Goalkeeper
6.47
3
Jannes Wieckhoff
Jannes Wieckhoff Defender
6.28
2
Mimeirhel Benita
Mimeirhel Benita
Defender46'
6.22
4
Damon Mirani
Damon Mirani (C) Defender
6.13
18
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck Defender
6.48
24
Ivan Mesik
Ivan Mesik Defender
6.18
9
Naci Ünüvar
Naci Ünüvar Midfielder
6.41
17
Tristan van Gilst
Tristan van Gilst
Attacker56'
6.56
13
Jan Zamburek
Jan Zamburek Midfielder
6.87
10
Thomas Bruns
Thomas Bruns
Midfielder71'
5.28
14
Erik Ahlstrand
Erik Ahlstrand Midfielder
6.57
20
Rhys Bozinovski
Rhys Bozinovski Midfielder
6.21
32
Sem Scheperman
Sem Scheperman
Midfielder46'
6.68
70
Ajdin Hrustic
Ajdin Hrustic Midfielder
6.42
25
Lequincio Zeefuik
Lequincio Zeefuik Attacker
6.14

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Isak Jensen
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
84'
82'
Event
Damon Mirani
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Mexx Meerdink → Troy Parrott
9th Substitution
76'
Event
Isak Jensen
Goal awarded
76'
Event
Kasper Boogaard → Peer Koopmeiners
8th Substitution
76'
Event
Mees de Wit
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
74'
71'
Event
Thomas Bruns → Jan Zamburek
7th Substitution
70'
Event
Sem Scheperman
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Denso Kasius → Elijah Dijkstra
5th Substitution
60'
Event
Ibrahim Sadiq → Weslley Patati
6th Substitution
60'
56'
Event
Tristan van Gilst → Naci Ünüvar
4th Substitution
56'
Event
Lequincio Zeefuik
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
46'
Event
Mimeirhel Benita → Jannes Wieckhoff
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Sem Scheperman → Rhys Bozinovski
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Sven Mijnans
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
45+1'
43'
Event
Jannes Wieckhoff
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Isak Jensen → Ro-Zangelo Daal
1st Substitution
32'
22'
Event
Jannes Wieckhoff
Goal disallowed
Event
Troy Parrott
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
5'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
90
Update Update
Ajdin Hrustic from Heracles Almelo has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be three minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
Match interruption due to an injury to Ajdin Hrustic from Heracles Almelo.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to AZ after Thomas Bruns allowed it.
88
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Sven Mijnans from AZ took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area following a free kick.
87
Update Update
Mexx Meerdink from AZ earned a free kick in an offensive position.
87
Update Update
Ivan Mesík from Heracles Almelo committed a foul.
84
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! AZ leads 4-0 against Heracles Almelo. Isak Jensen scores for AZ with a right-footed shot from a free kick that finds the top right corner.
82
Update Update
Mexx Meerdink from AZ has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Damon Mirani of Heracles Almelo has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Damon Mirani of Heracles Almelo has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
80
Update Update
Mexx Meerdink from AZ has been awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
78
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Denso Kasius from AZ attempted a right-footed shot from a challenging angle on the right after a quick counterattack.
78
Update Update
Damon Mirani from Heracles Almelo committed a foul.
77
Update Update
Ajdin Hrustic from Heracles Almelo was awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
77
Update Update
Kasper Boogaard from AZ committed a foul.
76
Update Update
VAR Update: Goal confirmed for AZ, making it 3-0 against Heracles Almelo, scored by Isak Jensen.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AZ: Kasper Boogaard comes on to replace Peer Koopmeiners.
76
Update Update
VAR Update: Goal confirmed for AZ, making it 3-0 against Heracles Almelo - Scorer: Isak Jensen.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Offside call against AZ. Troy Parrott has been caught in an offside position.
72
Update Update
Wouter Goes from AZ has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
72
Update Update
Lequincio Zeefuik from Heracles Almelo committed a foul.
72
Update Update
Offside call against AZ. Isak Jensen has been caught offside.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Heracles Almelo: Thomas Bruns comes on to replace Jan Zamburek.
70
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sem Scheperman of Heracles Almelo has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
69
Update Update
Sven Mijnans from AZ earned a free kick in the defensive area.
69
Update Update
Sem Scheperman from Heracles Almelo committed a foul.
68
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive effort underway. Sem Scheperman from Heracles Almelo takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully stopped.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Heracles Almelo after a play by Troy Parrott results in a defensive error.
67
Update Update
Jan Zamburek from Heracles Almelo has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
67
Update Update
Foul committed by Peer Koopmeiners of AZ.
65
Update Update
Tristan van Gilst from Heracles Almelo committed a foul.
65
Update Update
Wouter Goes from AZ has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
64
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push underway. Lequincio Zeefuik from Heracles Almelo takes a right-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but Hobie Verhulst makes a save, diving to his left. The assist came from Tristan van Gilst of AZ.
64
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Jan Zamburek of Heracles Almelo attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed over the crossbar.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to AZ after Damon Mirani allowed the ball to go out.
63
Update Update
Lequincio Zeefuik from Heracles Almelo has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
63
Update Update
Wouter Goes from AZ committed a foul.
61
Update Update
Lequincio Zeefuik from Heracles Almelo has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
61
Update Update
Kees Smit from AZ committed a foul.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AZ: Denso Kasius comes on to replace Elijah Dijkstra.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AZ: Ibrahim Sadiq comes on to replace Weslley Patati.
59
Update Update
Kees Smit from AZ has been awarded a free kick on the right flank.
59
Update Update
Sem Scheperman from Heracles Almelo committed a foul.
58
Update Update
Wouter Goes from AZ committed a foul.
58
Update Update
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck from Heracles Almelo has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
57
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Lequincio Zeefuik of Heracles Almelo has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
57
Update Update
Weslley Patati from AZ has been awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
56
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Heracles Almelo: Tristan van Gilst replaces Naci Ünüvar.
56
Update Update
Ivan Mesík from Heracles Almelo committed a foul.
55
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Sven Mijnans from AZ had a close-range header that went wide. The assist came from Peer Koopmeiners, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to AZ after a deflection off Remko Pasveer.
53
Corner Corner
Another offensive push. Sven Mijnans from AZ takes a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but Remko Pasveer from Heracles Almelo makes a great save in the top left corner. The assist came from Kees Smit.
52
Update Update
Naci Ünüvar from Heracles Almelo earned a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
52
Update Update
Weslley Patati from AZ committed a foul.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to AZ after Alec Van Hoorenbeeck allowed the ball to go out.
50
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Sven Mijnans from AZ takes a left-footed shot from over 35 yards out. The attempt is expertly stopped in the left corner by Remko Pasveer of Heracles Almelo, with Weslley Patati providing the assist.
50
Update Update
Ajdin Hrustic from Heracles Almelo commits a handball.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to AZ after a play that resulted in Remko Pasveer giving up the ball.
50
Update Update
Ajdin Hrustic from Heracles Almelo commits a handball.
47
Update Update
Offside call against AZ. Sven Mijnans is caught in an offside position.
46
Update Update
Sem Scheperman from Heracles Almelo committed a foul.
46
Update Update
Weslley Patati from AZ has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with a score of AZ 2, Heracles Almelo 0.
45
Update Update
Erik Ahlstrand from Heracles Almelo committed a foul.
45
Update Update
Sven Mijnans from AZ has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Update Update
Rhys Bozinovski from Heracles Almelo earned a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Update Update
Peer Koopmeiners from AZ earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score at AZ 2, Heracles Almelo 0.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Heracles Almelo: Mimeirhel Benita comes on to replace Jannes Wieckhoff.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Heracles Almelo: Sem Scheperman comes on to replace Rhys Bozinovski.
45
Update Update
Jan Zamburek from Heracles Almelo committed a foul.
45
Update Update
Rhys Bozinovski from Heracles Almelo was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Ivan Mesík from Heracles Almelo takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area. However, the attempt is thwarted by goalkeeper Hobie Verhulst, who makes a solid save right in the middle of the goal. The assist came from Rhys Bozinovski of AZ.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! AZ leads 2-0 against Heracles Almelo. Sven Mijnans scores with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, placing it into the left corner. The assist comes from Troy Parrott, who delivered a perfectly timed through ball.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of stoppage time.
43
Update Update
Isak Jensen from AZ was awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
43
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jannes Wieckhoff from Heracles Almelo has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
43
Update Update
Jannes Wieckhoff from Heracles Almelo committed a foul.
39
Update Update
Lequincio Zeefuik from Heracles Almelo committed a foul.
39
Update Update
Peer Koopmeiners from AZ was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
38
Update Update
Damon Mirani from Heracles Almelo has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
38
Update Update
Offside call against AZ. Troy Parrott has been flagged for being in an offside position.
38
Update Update
Troy Parrott committed a foul against AZ.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to AZ after Damon Mirani allowed the ball to go out.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to AZ after Alec Van Hoorenbeeck allowed the ball to go out.
36
Update Update
Isak Jensen from AZ earned a free kick in the defensive area.
36
Update Update
Jannes Wieckhoff from Heracles Almelo committed a foul.
34
Update Update
A fresh offensive move unfolds as Troy Parrott from AZ attempts a header from the middle of the box. However, Remko Pasveer of Heracles Almelo makes a brilliant save, denying the effort at the top center of the goal. The assist came from Elijah Dijkstra, who delivered a well-placed cross.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to AZ after a foul by Jannes Wieckhoff.
32
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AZ: Isak Jensen comes on to replace Ro-Zangelo Daal, who has sustained an injury.
31
Update Update
Wouter Goes from AZ has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
31
Update Update
Lequincio Zeefuik from Heracles Almelo committed a foul.
31
Update Update
The pause has ended. The teams are set to resume play.
29
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Billy van Duijl from AZ takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked.
29
Update Update
Match is currently on hold due to an injury to Ro-Zangelo Daal from AZ.
28
Attempt Attempt
A shot is deflected. Ajdin Hrustic from Heracles Almelo attempted a left-footed strike from the middle of the penalty area, but it was blocked. The assist came from Lequincio Zeefuik, who provided a header.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Heracles Almelo after Billy van Duijl allowed it to go out.
22
Update Update
VAR Review: Goal Disallowed - AZ maintains a 1-0 lead over Heracles Almelo.
19
Update Update
VAR Review: Goal by Jannes Wieckhoff for Heracles Almelo under scrutiny.
19
Update Update
Goal! The score is now AZ 1, Heracles Almelo 1. Jannes Wieckhoff from Heracles Almelo scored with a header from the middle of the box into the center of the net. The assist came from Ajdin Hrustic, who delivered a precise cross.
18
Update Update
Peer Koopmeiners from AZ committed a foul.
18
Update Update
Jannes Wieckhoff from Heracles Almelo earned a free kick on the right side of the pitch.
17
Update Update
Ro-Zangelo Daal from AZ earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
17
Update Update
Erik Ahlstrand from Heracles Almelo committed a foul.
15
Update Update
Opportunity squandered. Troy Parrott of AZ had a header from within the six-yard box on the left side, but it went wide to the left. The assist came from Weslley Patati.
12
Update Update
Weslley Patati from AZ committed a foul.
12
Update Update
Naci Ünüvar from Heracles Almelo was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
9
Update Update
Weslley Patati from AZ earned a free kick in the defensive area.
9
Update Update
Naci Ünüvar from Heracles Almelo committed a foul.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Heracles Almelo after Peer Koopmeiners allowed the ball to go out.
7
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
6
Update Update
Match interruption - AZ.
5
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! AZ takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against Heracles Almelo. Troy Parrott found the back of the net with a left-footed shot from close range, right in front of the goal. The assist came from Mees de Wit.
4
Update Update
Kees Smit from AZ has been awarded a free kick on the left flank.
4
Update Update
Lequincio Zeefuik from Heracles Almelo committed a foul.
2
Update Update
Lequincio Zeefuik from Heracles Almelo committed a foul.
2
Update Update
Peer Koopmeiners from AZ has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: AZ exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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