Atalanta vs Juventus Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Gewiss Stadium Sat, 11 Apr - 6:45 PM
Serie A
Atalanta ATA
0 Winner 1
Juventus JUV
Full Time Sat, 11 Apr 6:45 PM
Round 32 Regular Season
|
Goal
Jérémie Boga - 48'

CONTEXT

The match between Atalanta and Juventus is finished, ending with a full-time score of 0-1 to Juventus. Pre-match forecasts had given Juventus a 41.6 percent chance of victory compared with 30.7 percent for Atalanta and 27.7 percent for the draw. The visitors’ win therefore registered as a significant deviation in their favor, confirming them as the stronger side on the day. Atalanta controlled 55 percent of possession to Juventus’s 45 percent yet created no clear breakthrough, while the away team showed greater cutting edge after a goalless first half. No xG data is available to measure exact chance quality, but the efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations and the outcome ultimately aligned with the pre-match projection for Juventus. Neither side received a red card and no decisive disciplinary events altered the flow. Juventus took the points through disciplined second-half play, capitalizing on limited opportunities while Atalanta’s territorial advantage brought no reward.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Juventus showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
F. Maresca
F. Maresca
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.53
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.64
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
A. Berti
A. Berti
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.53
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.64
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
P. Dei Giudici
P. Dei Giudici
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.53
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.64
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
L. Zufferli
L. Zufferli
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.53
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.64
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
Atalanta R. Palladino
R. Palladino
VS
Juventus L. Spalletti
L. Spalletti
1.72
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.8
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lecce Rank: W
Hellas Verona Rank: W
Inter Rank: D
Udinese Rank: D
Sassuolo Rank: L
Napoli Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Genoa Rank: W
Sassuolo Rank: D
Udinese Rank: W
Pisa Rank: W
Roma Rank: D
Como Rank: L
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 13 - 24
24

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Atalanta
30.65%
Draw
27.74%
Away Juventus
41.61%

Movement

Changes since opening
Atalanta
+30.46%
Draw
+23.16%
Juventus
-53.62%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
26.98
33.15
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Atalanta
Juventus
Power Score
26.98
33.15
League Position
7
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Atalanta — Opponent-weighted form score
Juventus — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Atalanta Juventus

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Atalanta

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Juventus

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Atalanta ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Juventus
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
45.64
18.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
18.00
45.64
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Atalanta +2.93 Efficiency Index
vs
Juventus -2.93 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Atalanta
Juventus
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Atalanta ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Juventus
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Atalanta Juventus
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Atalanta Juventus
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Atalanta
Juventus
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Atalanta
vs
Juventus
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Atalanta Juventus
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Atalanta 0.35
Juventus 0.32
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Atalanta Juventus
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Atalanta 0.05
Juventus 0.00
Atalanta
Juventus
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ATA had peak pressure around 61'.
  • ATA started the game with stronger pressure.
ATA Pressure JUV Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ATA reached the top pressure at 61' (91.26).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 42 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Atalanta ATA Home
42 matches
Juventus JUV Away
Match Record
5
Wins
24
13
Draws
13
24
Losses
5
Goals
44
Goals Scored
76
76
Goals Conceded
44
-32
Goal Difference
+32
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-12T03:04:44+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
M. Carnesecchi
Italy
29 M. Carnesecchi
G. Scalvini
Italy
42 G. Scalvini
B. Djimsiti
Albania
19 B. Djimsiti
S. Kolašinac
Substitution
Bosnia and Herzegovina
23 S. Kolašinac
D. Zappacosta
Substitution
Italy
77 D. Zappacosta
M. de Roon
Substitution
Netherlands
15 M. de Roon
É. dos Santos Lourenço da Silva
Brazil
13 É. dos Santos Lourenço da Silva
L. Bernasconi
Italy
47 L. Bernasconi
C. De Ketelaere
Belgium
17 C. De Ketelaere
N. Zalewski
Substitution
Poland
59 N. Zalewski
N. Krstović
Substitution
Montenegro
90 N. Krstović
M. Di Gregorio
Italy
16 M. Di Gregorio
L. Kelly
England
6 L. Kelly
G. Bremer Silva Nascimento
Brazil
3 G. Bremer Silva Nascimento
P. Kalulu Kyatengwa
France
15 P. Kalulu Kyatengwa
A. Cambiaso
Substitution
Italy
27 A. Cambiaso
K. Thuram-Ulien
Substitution
France
19 K. Thuram-Ulien
M. Locatelli
Italy
5 M. Locatelli
E. Holm
Substitution
Sweden
2 E. Holm
K. Yildiz
Substitution
Germany
10 K. Yildiz
F. Conceição
Substitution
Portugal
7 F. Conceição
J. Boga
Ivory Coast
13 J. Boga

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 11, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Gewiss Stadium
Capacity
23439
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Fabio Maresca
Alessio Berti
Pietro Dei Giudici
Luca Zufferli

Statistics

Possession
ATA
56%
JUV
44%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 2
8 Shots 2
62 Dangerous attacks 22
55 Possession 45
13 Corners 2
11 Free kicks 7
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

0 Injuries 2
69 Ball Safe 80
10 Goal Attempts 4
5 Substitutions 5
12 Goal Kicks 9
17 Throwins 17
21 Dribble Attempts 9
20 Successful Headers 15
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 44
7 Successful Dribbles 4
1 Hit Woodwork 0

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 1
112 Attacks 66

Possession

440 Successful Passes 341
510 Passes 420
17 Key Passes 5
86 Successful Passes Percentage 81
40 Long Passes 60
18 Successful Long Passes 21
45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 35

Defensive

1 Saves 3
11 Tackles 22
9 Interceptions 7

Build-up

8 Accurate Crosses 0
24 Total Crosses 6

Discipline

7 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Fabio Maresca

Starting XI ▼

29
Marco Carnesecchi
Marco Carnesecchi Goalkeeper
19
Berat Djimsiti
Berat Djimsiti Defender
23
Sead Kolasinac
Sead Kolasinac Defender
69
Honest Ahanor
Honest Ahanor
Defender72'
42
Giorgio Scalvini
Giorgio Scalvini Defender
13
Éderson
Éderson Midfielder
15
Marten de Roon
Marten de Roon Midfielder
8
Mario Pašalić
Mario Pašalić
Midfielder72'
47
Lorenzo Bernasconi
Lorenzo Bernasconi Midfielder
77
Davide Zappacosta
Davide Zappacosta Midfielder
16
Raoul Bellanova
Raoul Bellanova
Defender86'
17
Charles De Ketelaere
Charles De Ketelaere Attacker
59
Nicola Zalewski
Nicola Zalewski Attacker
18
Giacomo Raspadori
Giacomo Raspadori
Attacker55'
90
Nikola Krstović
Nikola Krstović Attacker
9
Gianluca Scamacca
Gianluca Scamacca
Attacker72'
Referee : Fabio Maresca

Starting XI ▼

16
Michele Di Gregorio
Michele Di Gregorio Goalkeeper
3
Bremer
Bremer Defender
6
Lloyd Kelly
Lloyd Kelly Defender
15
Pierre Kalulu
Pierre Kalulu Defender
2
Emil Holm
Emil Holm Midfielder
4
Federico Gatti
Federico Gatti
Defender71'
5
Manuel Locatelli
Manuel Locatelli Midfielder
19
Khéphren Thuram
Khéphren Thuram Midfielder
8
Teun Koopmeiners
Teun Koopmeiners
Midfielder71'
27
Andrea Cambiaso
Andrea Cambiaso Midfielder
18
Filip Kostić
Filip Kostić
Midfielder79'
7
Francisco Conceição
Francisco Conceição Attacker
21
Fabio Miretti
Fabio Miretti
Midfielder79'
10
Kenan Yıldız
Kenan Yıldız Attacker
30
Jonathan David
Jonathan David
Attacker58'
13
Jérémie Boga
Jérémie Boga Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Raoul Bellanova → Davide Zappacosta
10th Substitution
86'
84'
Event
Filip Kostić
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
79'
Event
Fabio Miretti → Francisco Conceição
9th Substitution
79'
Event
Filip Kostić → Andrea Cambiaso
8th Substitution
73'
Event
Andrea Cambiaso
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Honest Ahanor → Sead Kolasinac
5th Substitution
72'
Event
Gianluca Scamacca → Nikola Krstović
7th Substitution
72'
Event
Mario Pašalić → Marten de Roon
6th Substitution
72'
71'
Event
Federico Gatti → Emil Holm
3rd Substitution
71'
Event
Teun Koopmeiners → Khéphren Thuram
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Khéphren Thuram
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Charles De Ketelaere
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
66'
58'
Event
Jonathan David → Kenan Yıldız
2nd Substitution
Event
Giacomo Raspadori → Nicola Zalewski
1st Substitution
55'
48'
Event
Jérémie Boga
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Offside called against Juventus. Jonathan David is in an offside position.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 6 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Charles De Ketelaere of Atalanta won a free kick in defense.
90
Attempt Attempt
Gianluca Scamacca from Atalanta had a missed chance, heading the ball from the center of the box.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with Atalanta 0, Juventus 1.
90
Update Update
Teun Koopmeiners fouled a Juventus player.
88
Update Update
Foul committed by Fabio Miretti of Juventus.
88
Update Update
Honest Ahanor of Atalanta won a free kick in defense.
88
Update Update
Gianluca Scamacca from Atalanta misses a close-range header, just missing the goal. The assist was provided by Giorgio Scalvini, who also headed the ball.
87
Corner Corner
Atalanta is awarded a corner after Federico Gatti concedes it.
87
Corner Corner
Atalanta earns a corner after Federico Gatti concedes.
87
Attempt Attempt
Berat Djimsiti's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
86
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Atalanta: Raoul Bellanova replaces Davide Zappacosta.
86
Attempt Attempt
Charles De Ketelaere's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
85
Corner Corner
Atalanta wins a corner after Bremer concedes.
84
Update Update
Foul committed by Fabio Miretti of Juventus.
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Filip Kostic of Juventus receives a yellow card for a foul.
84
Update Update
Foul committed by Filip Kostic of Juventus.
84
Update Update
Éderson from Atalanta won a free kick in an attacking position.
84
Update Update
Charles De Ketelaere from Atalanta won a free kick on the right wing.
82
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Manuel Locatelli from Juventus took a right-footed shot from outside the box.
80
Corner Corner
Atalanta wins a corner after Federico Gatti concedes.
80
Attempt Attempt
Giacomo Raspadori's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist came from Mario Pasalic.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Juventus: Filip Kostic replaces Andrea Cambiaso.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Juventus: Fabio Miretti replaces Francisco Conceição.
79
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Davide Zappacosta of Atalanta shot with his left foot from the center of the box but missed. The assist was provided by Charles De Ketelaere.
76
Update Update
Fouled by Bremer of Juventus.
76
Update Update
Gianluca Scamacca of Atalanta won a free kick in defense.
74
Update Update
Foul committed by Gianluca Scamacca - Atalanta.
74
Update Update
Manuel Locatelli of Juventus was awarded a free kick in defense.
73
Update Update
Fouled by Andrea Cambiaso - Juventus
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Andrea Cambiaso of Juventus receives a yellow card for a foul.
73
Update Update
Charles De Ketelaere from Atalanta won a free kick in defense.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Atalanta: Mario Pasalic replaces Marten de Roon.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Atalanta: Gianluca Scamacca replaces Nikola Krstovic.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Atalanta: Honest Ahanor replaces Sead Kolasinac.
71
Update Update
Éderson from Atalanta won a free kick in the attacking area.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Juventus: Teun Koopmeiners replaces Khéphren Thuram.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Atalanta: Honest Ahanor replaces Sead Kolasinac.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Juventus: Federico Gatti replaces Emil Holm.
71
Corner Corner
Missed chance. Charles De Ketelaere of Atalanta headed the ball from close range but missed to the left. The assist came from Lorenzo Bernasconi's cross after a corner.
71
Update Update
Foul committed by Francisco Conceição for Juventus.
70
Corner Corner
Atalanta wins a corner after Lloyd Kelly concedes.
70
Corner Corner
Atalanta is awarded a corner after Manuel Locatelli concedes it.
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Khéphren Thuram of Juventus receives a yellow card for a foul.
69
Update Update
Foul committed by Khéphren Thuram for Juventus.
69
Update Update
Charles De Ketelaere from Atalanta won a free kick in defense.
68
Attempt Attempt
Francisco Conceição's left-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. Jérémie Boga provided the assist.
67
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Khéphren Thuram from Juventus shot with his right foot from the center of the box but missed. Emil Holm provided the assist.
66
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Charles De Ketelaere of Atalanta receives a yellow card.
66
Update Update
Fouled by Davide Zappacosta of Atalanta.
66
Update Update
Andrea Cambiaso of Juventus won a free kick in defense.
64
Update Update
Andrea Cambiaso of Juventus won a free kick in defense.
64
Update Update
Foul committed by Davide Zappacosta of Atalanta.
63
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Giacomo Raspadori from Atalanta shot with his left foot from outside the box.
63
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Giacomo Raspadori from Atalanta takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it is saved.
59
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Juventus: Jonathan David replaces Kenan Yildiz.
58
Update Update
Lorenzo Bernasconi of Atalanta is flagged for offside.
58
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Nikola Krstovic of Atalanta heads the ball from the center of the box, but it's saved.
57
Corner Corner
Giorgio Scalvini of Atalanta had a missed chance, heading the ball from the center of the box but missing to the left. The assist came from Giacomo Raspadori, who delivered a cross after a corner.
56
Corner Corner
Atalanta wins a corner after Manuel Locatelli concedes it.
56
Attempt Attempt
Charles De Ketelaere's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
56
Corner Corner
Atalanta wins a corner after Jérémie Boga concedes.
55
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Atalanta: Giacomo Raspadori replaces Nicola Zalewski.
55
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Francisco Conceição of Juventus.
52
Update Update
Emil Holm of Juventus won a free kick in defense.
52
Update Update
Emil Holm of Juventus won a free kick in defense.
50
Update Update
Nicola Zalewski of Atalanta won a free kick in defense.
50
Update Update
Manuel Locatelli of Juventus committed a foul.
48
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Juventus takes the lead 1-0 with Jérémie Boga scoring from the center of the box with his right foot.
46
Update Update
Kenan Yildiz from Juventus won a free kick in defense.
46
Update Update
Foul committed by Giorgio Scalvini of Atalanta.
45
Corner Corner
Atalanta wins a corner after Andrea Cambiaso concedes it.
45
Update Update
Andrea Cambiaso commits dangerous play for Juventus.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with the score Atalanta 0, Juventus 0.
45
Corner Corner
Nikola Krstovic of Atalanta missed a chance, shooting with his right foot from close range but sending it to the left. The assist came from Charles De Ketelaere, who headed the ball after a corner.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 2 minutes of added time.
45
Corner Corner
Nikola Krstovic from Atalanta had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from close range after a corner.
45
Update Update
Andrea Cambiaso commits dangerous play for Juventus.
45
Update Update
Éderson of Atalanta won a free kick in defense.
42
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Bremer from Juventus.
42
Update Update
Emil Holm of Juventus won a free kick in defense.
42
Update Update
Foul by Sead Kolasinac against Atalanta.
40
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Charles De Ketelaere of Atalanta headed the ball from the center of the box.
39
Update Update
Offside called against Atalanta. Davide Zappacosta is offside.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Atalanta after being conceded by Andrea Cambiaso.
32
Corner Corner
Juventus win a corner after Lorenzo Bernasconi concedes.
32
Update Update
Lloyd Kelly's header from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Kenan Yildiz.
31
Corner Corner
Juventus win a corner after Sead Kolasinac concedes.
30
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Khéphren Thuram of Juventus took a right-footed shot from outside the box.
27
Update Update
Offside called against Atalanta. Nikola Krstovic is offside.
27
Corner Corner
Missed chance. Davide Zappacosta of Atalanta shot with his right foot from the right side of the box but missed to the left after a corner.
26
Corner Corner
Atalanta wins a corner after Bremer concedes.
26
Attempt Attempt
Nikola Krstovic's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist came from Charles De Ketelaere.
24
Update Update
Jérémie Boga of Juventus won a free kick in the attacking area.
24
Update Update
Sead Kolasinac commits a foul against Atalanta.
22
Attempt Attempt
Nicola Zalewski's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Giorgio Scalvini.
19
Attempt Attempt
Nikola Krstovic's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist came from Charles De Ketelaere.
14
Corner Corner
Atalanta is awarded a corner after Khéphren Thuram concedes it.
9
Update Update
Giorgio Scalvini of Atalanta hits the right post with a header from the center of the box, assisted by Nicola Zalewski's cross.
8
Update Update
Foul committed by Manuel Locatelli of Juventus.
8
Update Update
Charles De Ketelaere from Atalanta won a free kick on the right wing.
7
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Nicola Zalewski from Atalanta shot with his left foot from the left side of the box but missed. Éderson provided the assist.
4
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Davide Zappacosta of Atalanta takes a right-footed shot from a difficult position on the right, but Michele Di Gregorio of Juventus saves it in the top center of the goal. The assist comes from Charles De Ketelaere.
3
Attempt Attempt
Giorgio Scalvini's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Juventus exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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