Antwerp vs Standard Liège Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Bosuilstadion Sun, 15 Mar - 3:00 PM
Pro League
Antwerp ANT
1 – 1
Standard Liège STL
Full Time Sun, 15 Mar 3:00 PM
Anthony Valencia - 79'
Goal
|
Goal
Tobias Mohr - 90'
Daam Foulon 71' Second yellow card
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Antwerp 1–1 Standard Liège. The match ended in a draw. Antwerp showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 41%–59%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Antwerp showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Hillaert
M. Hillaert
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.56
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.38
M. Toeback
M. Toeback
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.56
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.38
K. Van Damme
K. Van Damme
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.56
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.38
N. Verboomen
N. Verboomen
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.56
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.38
Antwerp J. Oosting
J. Oosting
VS
Standard Liège V. Euvrard
V. Euvrard
1.19
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.43
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
La Louvière Rank: 66 D
Sint-Truiden Rank: 78 W
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 84 L
Westerlo Rank: 68 L
Mechelen Rank: 70 L
Cercle Brugge Rank: 67 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zulte-Waregem Rank: 63 W
La Louvière Rank: 66 D
Genk Rank: 78 W
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 84 D
Club Brugge Rank: 84 L
Anderlecht Rank: 73 W
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 7 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Antwerp
42.22%
Draw
31.13%
Away Standard Liège
26.65%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70
67.72
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Antwerp
Standard Liège
Power Score
70
67.72
League Position
10
8
Global Rank
181
226

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Antwerp — Opponent-weighted form score
Standard Liège — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Antwerp Standard Liège

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Antwerp

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Standard Liège

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Antwerp ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Standard Liège
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.34
23.31
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.31
26.34
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Antwerp +0.27 Efficiency Index
vs
Standard Liège -0.27 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Antwerp
Standard Liège
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Antwerp ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Standard Liège
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Antwerp Standard Liège
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Antwerp Standard Liège
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Antwerp
Standard Liège
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Antwerp ANT Home
11 matches
Standard Liège STL Away
Match Record
5
Wins
3
3
Draws
3
3
Losses
5
Goals
23
Goals Scored
12
12
Goals Conceded
23
+11
Goal Difference
-11
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T02:16:57+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
T. Nozawa
Japan
41 T. Nozawa
Z. Van Den Bosch
Belgium
33 Z. Van Den Bosch
Y. Tsunashima
Japan
4 Y. Tsunashima
G. Bijl
Substitution
Netherlands
23 G. Bijl
S. Renders
Belgium
17 S. Renders
D. Praet
Belgium
8 D. Praet
C. Scott
Germany
30 C. Scott
D. Foulon
Belgium
5 D. Foulon
A. Valencia
Substitution
Ecuador
14 A. Valencia
G. Kerk
Substitution
Netherlands
7 G. Kerk
V. Janssen
Substitution
Netherlands
18 (C) V. Janssen
L. Pirard
Belgium
21 L. Pirard
J. Homawoo
Togo
24 J. Homawoo
D. Bates
Substitution
Scotland
4 D. Bates
I. Hautekiet
Belgium
25 I. Hautekiet
G. Mortensen
Denmark
3 G. Mortensen
M. Ilaimaharitra
Madagascar
23 (C) M. Ilaimaharitra
I. Karamoko
Substitution
France
20 I. Karamoko
H. Lawrence
England
18 H. Lawrence
R. Said Ahamada
Substitution
Comoros
17 R. Said Ahamada
C. Nielsen
Substitution
Denmark
94 C. Nielsen
D. Eckert Ayensa
Substitution
Germany
10 D. Eckert Ayensa

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 15, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stadium
Bosuilstadion
Capacity
16649
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mathias Hillaert
Maarten Toeback
Kevin Van Damme
Nathan Verboomen

Statistics

Possession
ANT
44%
STL
56%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 6
2 Shots 2
36 Dangerous attacks 35
41 Possession 59
5 Corners 3
10 Free kicks 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

11 Successful Headers 16
8 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
8 Goal Kicks 9
16 Throwins 35
66 Ball Safe 78
12 Dribble Attempts 12
1 Successful Dribbles 4
4 Goal Attempts 8
4 Substitutions 5
0 Penalties 1
0 Assists 1

Attacking

85 Attacks 77
0 Big Chances Missed 5

Possession

81 Long Passes 61
253 Successful Passes 387
47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 36
74 Successful Passes Percentage 77
38 Successful Long Passes 22
343 Passes 503
4 Key Passes 8

Defensive

10 Interceptions 6
17 Tackles 13
4 Saves 1

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 24
3 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
11 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Nathan Verboomen

Starting XI ▼

41
Taishi Brandon Nozawa
Taishi Brandon Nozawa Goalkeeper
7.68
4
Yuto Tsunashima
Yuto Tsunashima Defender
7.36
23
G. Bijl
G. Bijl Defender
7.12
56
Eran Tuypens
Eran Tuypens
Defender81'
6.24
33
Zeno Van Den Bosch
Zeno Van Den Bosch Defender
6.85
5
Daam Foulon
Daam Foulon Midfielder
5.65
8
Dennis Praet
Dennis Praet Midfielder
6.59
17
Semm Renders
Semm Renders Midfielder
6.56
30
Christopher Scott
Christopher Scott Midfielder
6.45
7
Gyrano Kerk
Gyrano Kerk Attacker
6.57
79
Gerard Vandeplas
Gerard Vandeplas
Attacker81'
6.58
14
Anthony Valencia
Anthony Valencia Attacker
7.26
16
Mauricio Benitez
Mauricio Benitez
Midfielder84'
6.34
18
Vincent Janssen
Vincent Janssen (C) Attacker
6.98
25
Kiki Kouyaté
Kiki Kouyaté
Defender87'
6.38
Referee : Nathan Verboomen

Starting XI ▼

21
Lucas Pirard
Lucas Pirard Goalkeeper
6.57
4
David Bates
David Bates Defender
6.73
7
Tobias Mohr
Tobias Mohr
Midfielder86'
7.25
24
Josué Homawoo
Josué Homawoo Defender
6.55
25
Ibe Hautekiet
Ibe Hautekiet Defender
6.87
3
Gustav Julius Mortensen
Gustav Julius Mortensen Midfielder
7.03
18
Henry Lawrence
Henry Lawrence Midfielder
6.63
20
Ibrahim Karamoko
Ibrahim Karamoko Midfielder
6.34
9
Thomas Henry
Thomas Henry
Attacker81'
6.43
23
Marco Ilaimaharitra
Marco Ilaimaharitra (C) Midfielder
6.98
10
Dennis Eckert Ayensa
Dennis Eckert Ayensa Attacker
6.49
80
Teddy Teuma
Teddy Teuma
Midfielder61'
7.17
17
Rafiki Saïd
Rafiki Saïd Attacker
6.69
11
Adnane Abid
Adnane Abid
Attacker61'
6.49
94
Casper Nielsen
Casper Nielsen Attacker
6.59
26
Bernard Nguene
Bernard Nguene
Attacker61'
6.55

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Tobias Mohr
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
89'
Event
Thomas Henry
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Kiki Kouyaté → Vincent Janssen
9th Substitution
87'
86'
Event
Tobias Mohr → David Bates
8th Substitution
Event
Mauricio Benitez → Anthony Valencia
7th Substitution
84'
Event
Gerard Vandeplas → Gyrano Kerk
6th Substitution
81'
Event
Eran Tuypens → G. Bijl
5th Substitution
81'
81'
Event
Thomas Henry → Ibrahim Karamoko
4th Substitution
Event
Anthony Valencia
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
79'
Event
Daam Foulon
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
71'
70'
Event
Marco Ilaimaharitra
GoalkeeperSave
Event
Daam Foulon
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
68'
68'
Event
Henry Lawrence
Penalty awarded
61'
Event
Teddy Teuma → Dennis Eckert Ayensa
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Bernard Nguene → Casper Nielsen
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Adnane Abid → Rafiki Saïd
1st Substitution
50'
Event
Casper Nielsen
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
45+5'
Event
Ibrahim Karamoko
Argument / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Antwerp exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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