Antalyaspor vs Eyüpspor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Turkey flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Antalya Stadyumu Sun, 5 Apr - 2:00 PM
Super Lig
Antalyaspor ANT
3 Winner 0
Eyüpspor Eyüpspor
Full Time Sun, 5 Apr 2:00 PM
Round 28 Regular Season
Sander van de Streek - 63'
Nikola Storm - 77'
Samuel Ballet - 83'
Goal
|
|
Second yellow card Bedirhan Özyurt 50'

CONTEXT

The match between Antalyaspor and Eyüpspor has officially finished, with Antalyaspor securing a commanding 3-0 victory after a completely scoreless first half. Heading into the fixture, the pre-match market favored the home side with a 46.4% probability of winning, compared to a 30.6% chance of a draw and just 23.1% for the away side. The eventual home victory was market aligned, though the data highlights a significant deviation level of 53.6% in favor of Antalyaspor. In terms of match control, Antalyaspor dictated the tempo, holding 54% possession against Eyüpspor's 46%. Expected goals (xG) metrics were unavailable for this match, meaning we cannot definitively state if the final scoreline was consistent with the underlying shot quality. However, the overall efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match expectations. The primary catalyst for the second-half breakthrough was a critical disciplinary issue. Eyüpspor went down to ten men after receiving a red card, creating a notable red card distortion. This numerical advantage allowed Antalyaspor to capitalize on the extra space and fatigue, netting three unanswered goals to confidently close out the match.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Antalyaspor showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Altan
M. Altan
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.4
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.81
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
K. Sağlam
K. Sağlam
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.4
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.81
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
?. Sultanoğlu
?. Sultanoğlu
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.4
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.81
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
F. Tokail
F. Tokail
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.4
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.81
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Antalyaspor S. Uğurlu
S. Uğurlu
VS
Eyüpspor A. Gerin
A. Gerin
0.79
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.89
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 74 D
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 65 L
Rizespor Rank: 67 L
Fenerbahçe Rank: 85 D
Kayserispor Rank: 63 L
Samsunspor Rank: 71 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Trabzonspor Rank: 79 L
Kasımpaşa Rank: 63 L
Kocaelispor Rank: 64 L
Göztepe Rank: 73 D
Gençlerbirliği Rank: 64 W
Galatasaray Rank: 88 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Antalyaspor
46.38%
Draw
30.56%
Away Eyüpspor
23.06%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.02
61.99
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Antalyaspor
Eyüpspor
Power Score
61.02
61.99
League Position
13
17
Global Rank
440
403

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Antalyaspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Eyüpspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Antalyaspor Eyüpspor

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Antalyaspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Eyüpspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Antalyaspor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Eyüpspor
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
41.11
20.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.00
41.11
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Antalyaspor +2.29 Efficiency Index
vs
Eyüpspor -2.29 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Antalyaspor
Eyüpspor
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Antalyaspor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Eyüpspor
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Antalyaspor Eyüpspor
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Antalyaspor Eyüpspor
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Antalyaspor
Eyüpspor
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Antalyaspor
vs
Eyüpspor
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Antalyaspor Eyüpspor
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Antalyaspor 0.45
Eyüpspor 0.33
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Antalyaspor Eyüpspor
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Antalyaspor 0.00
Eyüpspor 0.07
Antalyaspor
Eyüpspor
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Antalyaspor ANT Home
3 matches
Eyüpspor Eyüpspor Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
3
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-06T00:03:39+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
A. Yiğiter
Turkey
21 A. Yiğiter
E. Yeşilyurt
Substitution
Germany
17 E. Yeşilyurt
V. Sarı
Turkey
89 V. Sarı
L. Gianetti
Argentina
30 L. Gianetti
K. Paal
Suriname
3 K. Paal
S. Dikmen
Substitution
Turkey
6 S. Dikmen
A. Ömür
Substitution
Turkey
10 A. Ömür
R. Safouri
Israel
8 R. Safouri
D. Šarić
Bosnia and Herzegovina
88 D. Šarić
S. Ballet
Substitution
Switzerland
11 S. Ballet
S. van de Streek
Substitution
Netherlands
22 S. van de Streek
M. de Freitas Monteiro
Brazil
1 M. de Freitas Monteiro
C. Meraş
Substitution
Turkey
77 C. Meraş
S. Yaşar
Turkey
16 S. Yaşar
B. Özyurt
Turkey
5 B. Özyurt
T. Ulvan
Turkey
17 T. Ulvan
D. Radu
Romania
22 D. Radu
C. Raux Yao
Substitution
France
15 C. Raux Yao
B. Gezek
Turkey
55 B. Gezek
L. Calegari
Substitution
Brazil
2 L. Calegari
U. Bozok
Turkey
19 U. Bozok
A. Torres Quiñones
Substitution
Colombia
10 A. Torres Quiñones

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 05, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey · Round 28 · Regular Season
Stadium
Antalya Stadyumu
Capacity
32537
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Murat Altan
Kadir Sağlam
Özcan Sultanoğlu
Fatih Tokail

Statistics

Possession
ANT
53%
Eyüpspor
47%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
5 Big Chances Created 0
2 Shots 2
44 Dangerous attacks 24
54 Possession 46
8 Corners 4
13 Free kicks 24
5 Yellow Cards 7
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

7 Goal Kicks 12
15 Dribble Attempts 16
2 Assists 0
6 Successful Dribbles 6
56 Ball Safe 60
40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
26 Throwins 18
15 Goal Attempts 4
11 Successful Headers 18
2 Hit Woodwork 0
5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

96 Attacks 84
4 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

18 Key Passes 7
339 Passes 302
83 Successful Passes Percentage 79
51 Long Passes 53
280 Successful Passes 238
25 Successful Long Passes 26
49 Successful Long Passes Percentage 49

Defensive

10 Interceptions 7
0 Saves 3
47 Duels Won 62
18 Tackles 16

Build-up

20 Total Crosses 8
5 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

1 Offsides 4
24 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Kadir Sağlam

Starting XI ▼

21
Abdullah Yiğiter
Abdullah Yiğiter Goalkeeper
3
Kenneth Paal
Kenneth Paal Defender
17
Erdoğan Yeşilyurt
Erdoğan Yeşilyurt Defender
7
Bünyamin Balcı
Bünyamin Balcı
Defender71'
30
Lautaro Giannetti
Lautaro Giannetti Defender
89
Veysel Sarı
Veysel Sarı Defender
6
Soner Dikmen
Soner Dikmen Midfielder
70
Doğukan Sinik
Doğukan Sinik
Attacker57'
8
Ramzi Safuri
Ramzi Safuri Midfielder
10
Abdülkadir Ömür
Abdülkadir Ömür Midfielder
26
Nikola Storm
Nikola Storm
Attacker57'
11
Samuel Ballet
Samuel Ballet Midfielder
2
Samet Karakoç
Samet Karakoç
Defender88'
88
Dario Saric
Dario Saric Midfielder
22
Sander van de Streek
Sander van de Streek Attacker
77
Yohan Boli
Yohan Boli
Attacker88'
Referee : Kadir Sağlam

Starting XI ▼

1
Marcos Felipe
Marcos Felipe Goalkeeper
5
Bedirhan Özyurt
Bedirhan Özyurt Defender
16
Anıl Yaşar
Anıl Yaşar Defender
17
Talha Ülvan
Talha Ülvan Defender
77
Umut Meraş
Umut Meraş Defender
27
Ismaïla Manga
Ismaïla Manga
Midfielder87'
2
Calegari
Calegari Midfielder
25
Abdou Khadre Sy
Abdou Khadre Sy
Attacker78'
15
Charles-Andre Raux Yao
Charles-Andre Raux Yao Midfielder
4
Luccas Claro
Luccas Claro
Defender55'
22
Denis Radu
Denis Radu Midfielder
55
Baran Gezek
Baran Gezek Midfielder
10
Ángel Torres
Ángel Torres Attacker
88
A. Yavuz
A. Yavuz
Defender87'
19
Umut Bozok
Umut Bozok Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Yohan Boli → Sander van de Streek
8th Substitution
88'
Event
Samet Karakoç → Samuel Ballet
9th Substitution
88'
87'
Event
Ismaïla Manga → Umut Meraş
6th Substitution
87'
Event
Foul / 10th Yellowcard
87'
Event
A. Yavuz → Ángel Torres
7th Substitution
Event
Samuel Ballet
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
83'
78'
Event
Abdou Khadre Sy → Calegari
5th Substitution
Event
Nikola Storm
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
77'
Event
Bünyamin Balcı → Erdoğan Yeşilyurt
4th Substitution
71'
70'
Event
Umut Bozok
Argument / 9th Yellowcard
Event
Sander van de Streek
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
63'
Event
Doğukan Sinik → Soner Dikmen
2nd Substitution
57'
Event
Nikola Storm → Abdülkadir Ömür
3rd Substitution
57'
55'
Event
Luccas Claro → Charles-Andre Raux Yao
1st Substitution
Event
Foul / 8th Yellowcard
52'
50'
Event
Bedirhan Özyurt
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
1ST-HALF
45+4'
Event
Jérôme Onguene
11th Yellowcard
Event
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
45+2'
Event
Soner Dikmen
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
45+2'
45+2'
Event
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
45+2'
Event
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
37'
Event
Ángel Torres
Penalty cancelled
Event
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
14'
7'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
7'
Event
Charles-Andre Raux Yao
Argument / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Antalyaspor exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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