Angers SCO vs Le Havre Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Ligue 1
Le Havre
LEH
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Angers SCO and Le Havre AC delivered a tense 1-1 draw in Ligue 1 action, with both sides scoring in the first half to enter the break level. Despite being pegged as the stronger team, Angers held just 44% possession against Le Havre's 56%, struggling to impose their game. The second half shifted dramatically when Le Havre suffered a red card, granting Angers a numerical edge and distorting the match structure. Yet, the home side couldn't capitalize fully, as Le Havre dug in defensively to secure a share of the spoils. This outcome reflected moderate 8.8% structural deviation for Angers, while efficiency stayed in line with norms. Absent xG data limits deeper chance analysis, but the red card clearly influenced proceedings, leading to a result deemed market-aligned.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Angers SCO faced moderate 8.8% structural deviation from expectations.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match projections.
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xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable data.
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Market alignment: Match outcome aligned fully with market consensus.
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xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable without performance metrics.
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Event impact: Le Havre red card reshaped second-half momentum.
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Red card distortion: Away team red card introduced clear second-half distortion.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Angers SCO
Le Havre
Team Power Ranking
i
16.15
14.87
Angers SCO
Le Havre
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Angers SCO
Le Havre
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Angers SCO
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Angers SCO
⚠ Proxy
Angers SCO
Le Havre
Angers SCO
Le Havre
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Angers SCO
Angers SCO
Le Havre
Angers SCO
Le Havre
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- ANG had peak pressure around 71'.
- LEH started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:06:54+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Angers SCO
vs
Paris Saint Germain
League: Ligue 1
Kickoff: Sat, 25 Apr - 5:00 PM
Venue: Stade Raymond Kopa
Le Havre
vs
Metz
League: Ligue 1
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 3:15 PM
Venue: Stade Océane
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
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Substitutes ▼





Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼
















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Match Commentary