Alverca vs Sporting CP Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Liga Portugal
Sporting CP
SCP
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match is officially finished, with Sporting CP securing a 4-1 full-time victory over Alverca. The final result aligned perfectly with the pre-match market, which heavily favored the visiting side with a 73.6% probability of winning. In contrast, Alverca had just a 9.3% chance of victory, with the draw set at 17.1%. Despite the predictable winner, Sporting CP’s commanding performance still represented a significant deviation in their favor when compared to baseline pre-match metrics. On the pitch, Sporting CP dictated the tempo, controlling 69% of the possession compared to Alverca's 31%. The outcome was entirely consistent with the underlying expected goals (xG) data. The visitors generated 1.97 xG to Al
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Sporting CP showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: No major event distortion.
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Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Alverca
Sporting CP
Team Power Ranking
i
56.5
89.25
Alverca
Sporting CP
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Alverca
Sporting CP
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Alverca
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Alverca
Alverca
Sporting CP
Alverca
Sporting CP
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:25:52+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Alverca
vs
Rio Ave
League: Liga Portugal
Kickoff: Sat, 4 Apr - 5:00 PM
Venue: Away
Sporting CP
vs
Santa Clara
League: Liga Portugal
Kickoff: Fri, 3 Apr - 7:30 PM
Venue: Home
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
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Match Commentary