Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Johan Cruijff Arena Sat, 14 Mar - 8:00 PM
Eredivisie
Ajax AJA
4 Winner 0
Sparta Rotterdam SPR
Full Time Sat, 14 Mar 8:00 PM
Joshua Kitolano - 19' (Own Goal)
Steven Berghuis - 32'
Davy Klaassen - 73'
Mika Godts - 76'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Ajax 4–0 Sparta Rotterdam. The result saw Ajax take the points. Ajax showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 58%–42%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Ajax showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
E. Zeinstra
E. Zeinstra
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.36
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.73
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.05
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
R. Dieperink
R. Dieperink
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.36
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.73
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.05
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
E. Koopman
E. Koopman
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.36
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.73
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.05
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
I. Oostrom
I. Oostrom
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.36
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.73
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.05
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
Ajax Ó. García Junyent
Ó. García Junyent
VS
Sparta Rotterdam M. Steijn
M. Steijn
1.65
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.45
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
AZ Rank: 74 D
Excelsior Rank: 61 D
FC Volendam Rank: 61 W
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: 64 D
Telstar Rank: 59 W
NEC Nijmegen Rank: 73 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
PEC Zwolle Rank: 63 D
SC Heerenveen Rank: 67 L
AZ Rank: 74 L
NEC Nijmegen Rank: 73 D
Fortuna Sittard Rank: 62 D
FC Groningen Rank: 64 W
20
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
20 - 5 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Ajax
57.1%
Draw
22.08%
Away Sparta Rotterdam
20.82%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.37
65.82
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
Power Score
75.37
65.82
League Position
4
9
Global Rank
89
275

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Ajax — Opponent-weighted form score
Sparta Rotterdam — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Ajax Sparta Rotterdam

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Ajax

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sparta Rotterdam

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Ajax ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sparta Rotterdam
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
42.84
24.05
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.05
42.84
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Ajax +2.04 Efficiency Index
vs
Sparta Rotterdam -2.04 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Ajax
vs
Sparta Rotterdam
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Ajax Sparta Rotterdam
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Ajax Sparta Rotterdam
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Ajax AJA Home
11 matches
Sparta Rotterdam SPR Away
Match Record
8
Wins
0
3
Draws
3
0
Losses
8
Goals
23
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
23
+13
Goal Difference
-13
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:43:49+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Paes
Netherlands
26 M. Paes
L. Rosa
Brazil
2 L. Rosa
J. Šutalo
Croatia
37 J. Šutalo
Y. Baas
Netherlands
15 Y. Baas
T. Tomiyasu
Substitution
Japan
32 T. Tomiyasu
D. Klaassen
Netherlands
18 (C) D. Klaassen
Y. Regeer
Substitution
Netherlands
6 Y. Regeer
S. Steur
Substitution
Netherlands
48 S. Steur
S. Berghuis
Substitution
Netherlands
23 S. Berghuis
D. Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu
Substitution
Netherlands
19 D. Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu
M. Godts
Belgium
11 M. Godts
J. Drommel
Netherlands
1 J. Drommel
T. Quintero León
Venezuela
5 T. Quintero León
B. Martins Indi
Netherlands
4 (C) B. Martins Indi
M. Young
Netherlands
3 M. Young
L. Martes
Substitution
2 L. Martes
J. Kitolano
Norway
8 J. Kitolano
P. Clement
Substitution
Netherlands
6 P. Clement
S. Mito
Japan
11 S. Mito
V. van Crooij
Substitution
Netherlands
10 V. van Crooij
M. van Bergen
Substitution
Netherlands
7 M. van Bergen
T. Lauritsen
Norway
9 T. Lauritsen

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 14, 2026, 08:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Stadium
Johan Cruijff Arena
Capacity
55885
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Erwin Zeinstra
Rob Dieperink
Erik Koopman
Ingmar Oostrom

Statistics

Possession
AJA
57%
SPR
43%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
4 Big Chances Created 0
8 Shots 6
57 Dangerous attacks 42
58 Possession 42
5 Corners 3
17 Free kicks 8
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

3 Assists 0
2 Injuries 1
75 Ball Safe 73
15 Goal Attempts 7
9 Successful Dribbles 7
19 Throwins 16
18 Dribble Attempts 18
13 Successful Headers 18
7 Goal Kicks 7
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 39
5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 0
113 Attacks 95

Possession

500 Passes 348
46 Long Passes 48
39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46
82 Successful Passes Percentage 79
411 Successful Passes 276
18 Successful Long Passes 22
18 Key Passes 5

Defensive

10 Interceptions 14
19 Tackles 19
1 Saves 7

Build-up

14 Total Crosses 22
3 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

8 Fouls 17
2 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Rob Dieperink

Starting XI ▼

26
Maarten Paes
Maarten Paes Goalkeeper
6.67
2
Lucas Rosa
Lucas Rosa Defender
7.28
15
Youri Baas
Youri Baas Defender
6.75
32
Takehiro Tomiyasu
Takehiro Tomiyasu Defender
6.79
3
Anton Gaaei
Anton Gaaei
Defender69'
6.62
37
Josip Sutalo
Josip Sutalo Defender
6.71
6
Youri Regeer
Youri Regeer Midfielder
6.6
24
Jorthy Mokio
Jorthy Mokio
Defender25'
6.75
18
Davy Klaassen
Davy Klaassen (C) Midfielder
8.04
48
Sean Steur
Sean Steur Midfielder
7.37
28
Kian Fitz-Jim
Kian Fitz-Jim
Midfielder81'
6.46
11
Mika Godts
Mika Godts Attacker
10
19
Don-Angelo Konadu
Don-Angelo Konadu Attacker
6.66
9
Kasper Dolberg
Kasper Dolberg
Attacker69'
7.05
23
Steven Berghuis
Steven Berghuis Attacker
8.72
43
Rayane Bounida
Rayane Bounida
Attacker81'
6.77
Referee : Rob Dieperink

Starting XI ▼

1
Joël Drommel
Joël Drommel Goalkeeper
7.27
2
Lushendry Edward Martes
Lushendry Edward Martes Defender
6.27
12
Shurandy Sambo
Shurandy Sambo
Defender46'
6.02
3
Marvin Young
Marvin Young Defender
6.21
4
Bruno Martins Indi
Bruno Martins Indi (C) Defender
6.12
5
Teo Quintero
Teo Quintero Defender
6.86
6
Pelle Clement
Pelle Clement Midfielder
6.39
17
Casper Terho
Casper Terho
Attacker70'
6.38
7
Mitchell van Bergen
Mitchell van Bergen Midfielder
5.99
22
Ayoni Santos
Ayoni Santos
Midfielder46'
7.11
8
Joshua Kitolano
Joshua Kitolano Midfielder
5.83
10
Vito van Crooij
Vito van Crooij Midfielder
6.51
19
Milan Zonneveld
Milan Zonneveld
Attacker70'
6.48
11
Shunsuke Mito
Shunsuke Mito Midfielder
6.43
9
Tobias Lauritsen
Tobias Lauritsen Attacker
7.14

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Rayane Bounida → Steven Berghuis
8th Substitution
81'
Event
Kian Fitz-Jim → Sean Steur
9th Substitution
81'
Event
Mika Godts
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
76'
74'
Event
Bruno Martins Indi
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Davy Klaassen
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
73'
70'
Event
Casper Terho → Pelle Clement
6th Substitution
70'
Event
Milan Zonneveld → Vito van Crooij
7th Substitution
Event
Kasper Dolberg → Don-Angelo Konadu
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Anton Gaaei → Takehiro Tomiyasu
5th Substitution
69'
54'
Event
Shurandy Sambo
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
46'
Event
Shurandy Sambo → Lushendry Edward Martes
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Ayoni Santos → Mitchell van Bergen
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Steven Berghuis
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
32'
Event
Jorthy Mokio → Youri Regeer
1st Substitution
25'
Event
Joshua Kitolano
Left foot shot / 1st Own Goal
19'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be three minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
Casper Terho from Sparta Rotterdam earned a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
Match interruption due to an injury to Youri Baas from Ajax.
90
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
90
Update Update
Match interruption - Ajax.
90
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with Ajax defeating Sparta Rotterdam 4-0.
90
Update Update
Milan Zonneveld of Sparta Rotterdam has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
Mika Godts committed a foul against an Ajax player.
90
Update Update
Rayane Bounida from Ajax committed a foul.
88
Update Update
Mika Godts from Ajax earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
88
Update Update
Casper Terho from Sparta Rotterdam committed a foul.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Ajax after a deflection off Casper Terho.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Ajax after Joël Drommel allowed the ball to go out.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Ajax after a deflection off Joël Drommel.
86
Update Update
Marvin Young from Sparta Rotterdam has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
86
Update Update
Kian Fitz-Jim from Ajax committed a foul.
85
Update Update
Casper Terho from Sparta Rotterdam committed a foul.
85
Corner Corner
Opportunity squandered! Teo Quintero of Sparta Rotterdam attempted a header from the center of the penalty area, but it narrowly missed the target. The chance was set up by Shunsuke Mito, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
85
Update Update
Youri Baas from Ajax has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
84
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Teo Quintero from Sparta Rotterdam fires a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sparta Rotterdam after Rayane Bounida allowed the ball to go out.
83
Corner Corner
Another offensive push. Davy Klaassen from Ajax heads the ball from the center of the penalty area, but Joël Drommel of Sparta Rotterdam makes a great save in the top left corner. The assist came from Mika Godts, who delivered a precise cross.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Ajax after a play that resulted in a deflection off Ayoni Santos.
81
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ajax: Kian Fitz-Jim replaces Sean Steur.
81
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ajax: Rayane Bounida comes on to replace Steven Berghuis.
78
Update Update
Sean Steur from Ajax has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
78
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Tobias Lauritsen from Sparta Rotterdam attempted a right-footed shot from over 35 yards but sent it wide to the left after a quick counterattack.
78
Update Update
Ayoni Santos from Sparta Rotterdam committed a foul.
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ajax leads 4-0 against Sparta Rotterdam. Mika Godts scores with a left-footed shot from the center of the box after a quick counterattack.
74
Update Update
Bruno Martins Indi from Sparta Rotterdam committed a foul.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Bruno Martins Indi of Sparta Rotterdam has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
74
Update Update
Mika Godts from Ajax has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
73
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ajax leads 3-0 against Sparta Rotterdam. Davy Klaassen finds the net with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, placing it into the left corner. The assist came from Mika Godts, who delivered a perfectly timed through ball.
72
Update Update
Match is currently paused due to an injury to Steven Berghuis from Ajax.
72
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
71
Update Update
Steven Berghuis of Ajax earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
71
Update Update
Marvin Young from Sparta Rotterdam committed a foul.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sparta Rotterdam: Casper Terho replaces Pelle Clement.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sparta Rotterdam: Milan Zonneveld comes on to replace Vito van Crooij.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ajax: Kasper Dolberg replaces Don-Angelo Konadu.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ajax: Anton Gaaei replaces Takehiro Tomiyasu.
64
Update Update
Offside call against Ajax. Don-Angelo Konadu has been caught offside.
64
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered! Tobias Lauritsen from Sparta Rotterdam attempted a header from the center of the box, but it narrowly missed the target. The cross was delivered by Teo Quintero.
62
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
62
Update Update
Match interruption due to an injury to Shurandy Sambo from Sparta Rotterdam.
61
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Steven Berghuis from Ajax attempted a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area.
60
Update Update
Lucas Rosa from Ajax has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
60
Update Update
Lucas Rosa from Ajax has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
58
Update Update
Offside call against Sparta Rotterdam. Tobias Lauritsen is caught in an offside position.
58
Update Update
Jorthy Mokio from Ajax has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
58
Update Update
Joshua Kitolano from Sparta Rotterdam committed a foul.
56
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Jorthy Mokio from Ajax takes a right-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but Joël Drommel of Sparta Rotterdam makes a save in the left corner.
56
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive effort unfolds. Mika Godts from Ajax takes a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but Joël Drommel, the goalkeeper for Sparta Rotterdam, makes a save right in the middle of the goal. The assist came from Steven Berghuis.
54
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Shurandy Sambo from Sparta Rotterdam has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
54
Update Update
Shurandy Sambo from Sparta Rotterdam committed a foul.
54
Update Update
Mika Godts from Ajax earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
53
Update Update
Joshua Kitolano from Sparta Rotterdam earned a free kick in the defensive area.
53
Update Update
Jorthy Mokio from Ajax committed a foul.
52
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Pelle Clement from Sparta Rotterdam took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed high and to the left of the goal. The assist came from Ayoni Santos.
52
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort is underway. Don-Angelo Konadu from Ajax takes a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked by the goalkeeper.
50
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Don-Angelo Konadu of Ajax attempted a right-footed shot from close range but failed to convert.
48
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Shunsuke Mito from Sparta Rotterdam took a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it went wide. The assist came from Ayoni Santos.
47
Update Update
Offside call against Sparta Rotterdam. Marvin Young has been caught offside.
46
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sparta Rotterdam after Lucas Rosa allowed the ball to go out of play.
46
Update Update
Tobias Lauritsen from Sparta Rotterdam has earned a free kick in an offensive position.
46
Update Update
Josip Sutalo from Ajax committed a foul.
45
Update Update
Don-Angelo Konadu from Ajax has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be one minute of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with Ajax leading Sparta Rotterdam 2-0.
45
Update Update
Teo Quintero from Sparta Rotterdam committed a foul.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sparta Rotterdam: Ayoni Santos replaces Mitchell van Bergen.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with Ajax leading Sparta Rotterdam 2-0.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sparta Rotterdam: Shurandy Sambo comes on to replace Lushendry Martes.
43
Attempt Attempt
A shot is denied. Mika Godts from Ajax attempts a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it's intercepted. The assist came from Steven Berghuis.
41
Update Update
Jorthy Mokio from Ajax has earned a free kick in an offensive position.
41
Update Update
Bruno Martins Indi from Sparta Rotterdam committed a foul.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sparta Rotterdam after Lucas Rosa allowed the ball to go out.
39
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Don-Angelo Konadu from Ajax took a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it sailed over the goal. The assist came from Steven Berghuis, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
38
Update Update
Lushendry Martes from Sparta Rotterdam committed a foul.
38
Update Update
Don-Angelo Konadu from Ajax has been awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
38
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Ajax after Pelle Clement allowed the ball to go out.
38
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Mika Godts from Ajax takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked.
37
Update Update
Another offensive effort underway. Tobias Lauritsen from Sparta Rotterdam heads the ball from the middle of the penalty area, but it's successfully stopped by the goalkeeper.
34
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Lucas Rosa from Ajax attempted a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area.
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ajax leads 2-0 against Sparta Rotterdam. Steven Berghuis scores with a right-footed shot from the middle of the box, sending the ball into the upper center of the net. The assist came from Sean Steur.
30
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive effort unfolds as Steven Berghuis of Ajax takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area. However, Joël Drommel, the goalkeeper for Sparta Rotterdam, makes a save right in the center of the goal. The assist came from Don-Angelo Konadu.
30
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Takehiro Tomiyasu from Ajax fires a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked.
29
Update Update
Bruno Martins Indi from Sparta Rotterdam committed a foul.
29
Update Update
Sean Steur from Ajax has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
28
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Steven Berghuis from Ajax took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed high and to the left of the goal. The assist came from Mika Godts after a quick counterattack.
26
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Mika Godts from Ajax takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area. However, Joël Drommel, the goalkeeper for Sparta Rotterdam, makes a save right in the middle of the goal. The assist was provided by Davy Klaassen.
25
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ajax: Jorthy Mokio comes on to replace Youri Regeer due to an injury.
25
Update Update
The pause has ended. They’re set to resume play.
24
Update Update
The match is currently on hold due to an injury to Youri Regeer from Ajax.
22
Update Update
Pelle Clement from Sparta Rotterdam committed a foul.
22
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Lucas Rosa from Ajax attempted a shot with his right foot from the right side of the penalty area, but it sailed over the crossbar. The assist came from Steven Berghuis following a corner kick.
22
Update Update
Vito van Crooij from Sparta Rotterdam committed a foul.
22
Update Update
Mika Godts from Ajax was awarded a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
22
Update Update
Takehiro Tomiyasu from Ajax earned a free kick on the left flank.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Ajax after Pelle Clement allowed the ball to go out.
19
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Steven Berghuis from Ajax took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went wide to the left. The assist came from Mika Godts.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Joshua Kitolano of Sparta Rotterdam accidentally scored an own goal, putting Ajax ahead 1-0.
18
Update Update
Steven Berghuis from Ajax earned a free kick in an offensive position.
18
Update Update
Teo Quintero from Sparta Rotterdam committed a foul.
16
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Steven Berghuis from Ajax attempted a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
15
Update Update
Lushendry Martes from Sparta Rotterdam committed a foul.
15
Update Update
Takehiro Tomiyasu from Ajax has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
14
Update Update
Offside call against Ajax. Mika Godts is caught in an offside position.
13
Update Update
Tobias Lauritsen from Sparta Rotterdam committed a foul.
13
Update Update
Youri Baas from Ajax has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
12
Update Update
Opportunity squandered! Tobias Lauritsen from Sparta Rotterdam attempted a header from the middle of the penalty area but couldn't find the target.
10
Update Update
Shunsuke Mito from Sparta Rotterdam earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
10
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucas Rosa - Ajax.
8
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Steven Berghuis from Ajax fires a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked. Davy Klaassen provided the assist.
8
Update Update
Davy Klaassen commits a handball for Ajax.
4
Update Update
The pause has ended. They're set to resume play.
4
Update Update
Match interruption - Ajax.
3
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
3
Update Update
Match is currently on hold due to an injury to Pelle Clement from Sparta Rotterdam.
2
Update Update
Joshua Kitolano from Sparta Rotterdam earned a free kick in the defensive area.
2
Update Update
Don-Angelo Konadu from Ajax committed a foul.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Ajax exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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