AGF vs FC Midtjylland Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Vejlby Stadion Sun, 26 Apr - 6:00 PM
Superliga
AGF AGF
Versus
FC Midtjylland FCM
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 6:00 PM
Round 7 Championship Round

CONTEXT

In the Superliga Championship Round at Vejlby Stadion, table-toppers AGF face second-placed FC Midtjylland in a pivotal 2025/2026 clash. Power scores are razor-close, with AGF at 33.92 and visitors edging it at 33.97, marking Midtjylland as marginally stronger despite zero points advantage. AGF hold the form upper hand at 22.39 versus 20.06, fueling home confidence atop the standings. No last outings specified, adding intrigue to this title-race showdown. Advanced set-piece stats show low confidence with proxies used and xG unavailable, limiting deep tactical insights. Both sides primed for a high-stakes battle where leadership and momentum collide head-on.

TL;DR

  • Structural: AGF lead the Championship Round standings in first, with FC Midtjylland right behind in second.
  • Form: AGF show stronger recent form at 22.39 compared to FC Midtjylland's 20.06.
  • Squad: Squad power ratings nearly identical: AGF 33.92, FC Midtjylland 33.97.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats use low-confidence proxies with no xG data available.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable due to add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Baseline split: AGF 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | FC Midtjylland 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
AGF J. Poulsen
J. Poulsen
VS
FC Midtjylland M. Tullberg
M. Tullberg
1.87
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.75
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nordsjælland Rank: D
FC Midtjylland Rank: D
Nordsjælland Rank: D
Viborg FF Rank: W
Brøndby IF Rank: D
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: D
AGF Rank: D
Brøndby IF Rank: W
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: D
Viborg FF Rank: D
Nordsjælland Rank: L
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 11 - 28
28
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home AGF
0%
Draw
0%
Away FC Midtjylland
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
33.92
33.97
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
AGF
FC Midtjylland
Power Score
33.92
33.97
League Position
1
2
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
AGF Opponent-weighted form score
FC Midtjylland Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) AGF FC Midtjylland

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 52 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

AGF AGF Home
52 matches
FC Midtjylland FCM Away
Match Record
13
Wins
28
11
Draws
11
28
Losses
13
Goals
61
Goals Scored
93
93
Goals Conceded
61
-32
Goal Difference
+32
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T02:03:55+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 7 · Championship Round
Stadium
Vejlby Stadion
Capacity
11500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

1
Jesper Hansen
Jesper Hansen Goalkeeper
21
Mads Christiansen
Mads Christiansen Goalkeeper
3
Henrik Dalsgaard
Henrik Dalsgaard Defender
5
Frederik Tingager
Frederik Tingager Defender
14
Tobias Mølgaard Henriksen
Tobias Mølgaard Henriksen Defender
19
Eric Kahl
Eric Kahl Defender
40
Jonas Jensen-Abbew
Jonas Jensen-Abbew Defender
6
Nicolai Poulsen
Nicolai Poulsen Midfielder
2
Felix Beijmo
Felix Beijmo Midfielder
11
Gift Links
Gift Links Midfielder
7
Markus Solbakken
Markus Solbakken Midfielder
17
Kevin Yakob
Kevin Yakob Midfielder
4
Magnus Knudsen
Magnus Knudsen Midfielder
29
Rasmus Carstensen
Rasmus Carstensen Midfielder
26
Jacob Andersen
Jacob Andersen Midfielder
9
Patrick Mortensen
Patrick Mortensen Attacker
13
Janni-Luca Serra
Janni-Luca Serra Attacker
31
Tobias Bech Kristensen
Tobias Bech Kristensen Attacker
8
Sebastian Vinther Jørgensen
Sebastian Vinther Jørgensen Attacker
10
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad Attacker
20
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson Attacker
39
Frederik Emmery Søgaard
Frederik Emmery Søgaard Attacker
27
Stefen Erwan Tchamche
Stefen Erwan Tchamche Attacker

Squad

1
Jonas Lössl
Jonas Lössl Goalkeeper
16
Elias Rafn Olafsson
Elias Rafn Olafsson Goalkeeper
30
Ovie Ejeheim
Ovie Ejeheim Goalkeeper
60
Mark Nnamdi Ugboh
Mark Nnamdi Ugboh Goalkeeper
31
Liam Selin
Liam Selin Goalkeeper
43
Kevin Mbabu
Kevin Mbabu Defender
22
Mads Bech Sørensen
Mads Bech Sørensen Defender
6
Martin Erlić
Martin Erlić Defender
29
Paulo Victor da Silva
Paulo Victor da Silva Defender
55
Victor Bak Jensen
Victor Bak Jensen Defender
3
Han-Beom Lee
Han-Beom Lee Defender
13
Adam Gabriel
Adam Gabriel Defender
4
Ousmane Diao
Ousmane Diao Defender
35
Bilal Konteh Krubally
Bilal Konteh Krubally Defender
8
Philip Billing
Philip Billing Midfielder
19
Pedro Antonio Bravo Landazuri
Pedro Antonio Bravo Landazuri Midfielder
21
Denil Castillo
Denil Castillo Midfielder
20
Valdemar Byskov Andreasen
Valdemar Byskov Andreasen Midfielder
33
Alamara Viriato Djabi
Alamara Viriato Djabi Midfielder
17
Mikael Uhre
Mikael Uhre Attacker
74
José Francisco dos Santos Júnior
José Francisco dos Santos Júnior Attacker
14
Edward Chilufya
Edward Chilufya Attacker
58
Doguhan Aral Simsir
Doguhan Aral Simsir Attacker
10
Kyu-Sung Cho
Kyu-Sung Cho Attacker
11
Dario Esteban Osorio Osorio
Dario Esteban Osorio Osorio Attacker
41
Mikel Johan Gogorza Krüger-Johnsen
Mikel Johan Gogorza Krüger-Johnsen Attacker
7
Franculino Gluda Djú
Franculino Gluda Djú Attacker
39
Arlet Junior Zé
Arlet Junior Zé Attacker

CONCLUSION

This Superliga summit meeting pits AGF's form and home advantage against FC Midtjylland's slight power edge, setting up a tense Championship Round encounter. With leaders hosting chasers and metrics tightly matched, expect a cagey affair where execution decides supremacy. AGF's superior recent showings could tip the scales at Vejlby Stadion, but Midtjylland's overall strength demands respect. Absent detailed set-piece or efficiency edges, the outcome hinges on fine margins in open play and mentality under pressure.

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