Inter vs Hellas Verona Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza Sun, 17 May - 1:00 PM
Serie A
Inter INT
Versus
Hellas Verona VER
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 1:00 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Inter host Hellas Verona at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Serie A regular season play for the 2025/2026 campaign. The league leaders, boasting a power score of 92.1, enjoy a commanding 27.9-point edge over their 64.22-rated visitors mired in 19th place. Inter's form score of 42.78 towers above Verona's meager 5.17, highlighting the chasm in recent performances. At home in Milan, the Nerazzurri seek to solidify their top position against a side desperate for points. Verona's defensive frailties face Inter's attacking prowess in this mismatch. With no recent outings detailed, focus shifts to underlying strengths. Set piece data remains unavailable due to absent xG metrics, but structural superiority points to a one-sided affair.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Inter hold a 27.9-point power advantage and lead Serie A in 1st place over 19th-placed Hellas Verona.
  • Form: Inter's form score of 42.78 vastly outpaces Hellas Verona's 5.17.
  • Squad: Inter top the domestic table in 1st while Hellas Verona sit bottom in 19th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable as xG data absent with low confidence proxies used.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable for this fixture.
  • Market: Inter 77.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 12.4% (Δ+0%) | Hellas Verona 10.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Inter C. Chivu
C. Chivu
VS
Hellas Verona P. Sammarco
P. Sammarco
2.44
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.56
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lazio Rank: 81 W
Parma Rank: 73 W
Torino Rank: 74 D
Cagliari Rank: 70 W
Como Rank: 84 W
Roma Rank: 86 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Como Rank: 84 L
Juventus Rank: 86 D
Lecce Rank: 68 D
AC Milan Rank: 84 L
Torino Rank: 75 L
Fiorentina Rank: 77 L
18
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
18 - 4 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Inter
77.36%
Draw
12.35%
Away Hellas Verona
10.29%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
92.1
64.22
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Inter
Hellas Verona
Power Score
92.1
64.22
League Position
1
19
Global Rank
8
357

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Inter — Opponent-weighted form score
Hellas Verona — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Inter Hellas Verona

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Inter INT Home
22 matches
Hellas Verona VER Away
Match Record
18
Wins
0
4
Draws
4
0
Losses
18
Goals
53
Goals Scored
17
17
Goals Conceded
53
+36
Goal Difference
-36

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:08:45+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 3-5-1-1
Pitch
J. Martínez Riera
Spain
13 J. Martínez Riera
Y. Bisseck
Germany
31 Y. Bisseck
F. Acerbi
Italy
15 F. Acerbi
A. Bastoni
Italy
95 A. Bastoni
A. Diouf
France
17 A. Diouf
N. Barella
Italy
23 N. Barella
P. Sučić
Croatia
8 P. Sučić
H. Mkhitaryan
Armenia
22 H. Mkhitaryan
C. Zopalato Neves
Brazil
30 C. Zopalato Neves
M. Thuram
France
9 M. Thuram
L. Martínez
Argentina
10 L. Martínez
Pitch
L. Montipò
Italy
1 L. Montipò
N. Valentini
Argentina
6 N. Valentini
A. Edmundsson
Faroe Islands
5 A. Edmundsson
V. Nelsson
Denmark
15 V. Nelsson
M. Frese
Denmark
3 M. Frese
A. Bernede
France
24 A. Bernede
R. Gagliardini
Italy
63 R. Gagliardini
J. Akpa Akpro
Ivory Coast
11 J. Akpa Akpro
R. Belghali
Algeria
7 R. Belghali
T. Suslov
Slovakia
10 T. Suslov
K. Bowie
Scotland
18 K. Bowie

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Capacity :
75817
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Josep Martínez
Josep Martínez Goalkeeper
6.97
15
Francesco Acerbi
Francesco Acerbi Defender
6.96
31
Yann Bisseck
Yann Bisseck Defender
7.08
95
Alessandro Bastoni
Alessandro Bastoni Defender
7.22
8
Petar Sučić
Petar Sučić Midfielder
6.79
17
Andy Diouf
Andy Diouf Midfielder
6.59
22
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
Henrikh Mkhitaryan Midfielder
6.94
23
Nicolò Barella
Nicolò Barella Midfielder
7.19
30
Carlos Augusto
Carlos Augusto Midfielder
6.82
9
Marcus Thuram
Marcus Thuram Attacker
7.21
10
Lautaro Martínez
Lautaro Martínez Attacker
7.37

Starting XI ▼

1
Lorenzo Montipò
Lorenzo Montipò Goalkeeper
6.63
5
Andrias Edmundsson
Andrias Edmundsson Defender
6.83
6
Nicolás Valentini
Nicolás Valentini Defender
6.73
15
Victor Nelsson
Victor Nelsson Defender
6.81
3
Martin Frese
Martin Frese Midfielder
6.89
7
Rafik Belghali
Rafik Belghali Midfielder
6.71
10
Tomas Suslov
Tomas Suslov Midfielder
6.48
11
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro Midfielder
6.76
24
Antoine Bernede
Antoine Bernede Midfielder
6.68
63
Roberto Gagliardini
Roberto Gagliardini Midfielder
6.95
18
Kieron Bowie
Kieron Bowie Attacker
6.87

CONCLUSION

Inter enter as overwhelming favorites against basement-dwelling Hellas Verona, leveraging their superior power rating and league-leading position. The 27.9-point gap and form disparity suggest a routine home win for the hosts at San Siro. Verona's poor standing offers little hope of an upset, with Inter poised to dominate possession and chances. Absent detailed set piece or efficiency insights, raw structural edges prevail. Expect the Nerazzurri to extend their advantage at the summit comfortably.

Inter vs Hellas Verona preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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