Young Boys vs St. Gallen Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stadion Wankdorf (Bern) Sun, 26 Apr - 2:30 PM
Super League
Young Boys YBO
Versus
St. Gallen St. Gallen
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 2:30 PM
Championship Round

CONTEXT

Young Boys host St. Gallen at Stadion Wankdorf in a pivotal Super League Championship Round encounter during the 2025/2026 season. St. Gallen arrive as marginally stronger with a 23.32 power score edging Young Boys' 22.98 by 0.3 points, aligning with their 4th-place standing over the hosts' 6th. Form metrics favour the visitors at 23.06 against 21.72, suggesting better recent momentum. Advanced data on efficiency and set pieces remains unavailable, with low-confidence proxies indicating limited insights into dead-ball threats or conversion rates. Home advantage in Bern could level the playing field in this balanced top-flight clash, where every point counts in the title race.

TL;DR

  • Structural: St. Gallen hold a 0.3-point power advantage at 23.32 over Young Boys' 22.98.
  • Form: St. Gallen lead in form scores with 23.06 to Young Boys' 21.72.
  • Squad: St. Gallen sit 4th in the league, ahead of 6th-placed Young Boys.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable; low-confidence proxies used for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable due to data limitations.
  • Market: Baseline split: Young Boys 43.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24% (Δ+0%) | St. Gallen 32.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Young Boys G. Seoane
G. Seoane
VS
St. Gallen E. Maaßen
E. Maaßen
1.42
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.7
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Servette Rank: D
Basel Rank: D
Lugano Rank: D
Lausanne Sport Rank: W
Thun Rank: L
Luzern Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Luzern Rank: D
Zürich Rank: W
Sion Rank: D
Lugano Rank: D
Basel Rank: W
Thun Rank: D
44
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
44 - 18 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Young Boys
43.43%
Draw
24%
Away St. Gallen
32.57%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
22.98
23.32
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Young Boys
St. Gallen
Power Score
22.98
23.32
League Position
6
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Young Boys — Opponent-weighted form score
St. Gallen — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Young Boys St. Gallen

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 73 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Young Boys YBO Home
73 matches
St. Gallen St. Gallen Away
Match Record
44
Wins
11
18
Draws
18
11
Losses
44
Goals
155
Goals Scored
91
91
Goals Conceded
155
+64
Goal Difference
-64
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:14:05+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
M. Keller
1 M. Keller
Y. Valery
22 Y. Valery
G. Wüthrich
5 G. Wüthrich
S. Lauper
30 S. Lauper
S. Bukinac
33 S. Bukinac
E. Fernandes
6 E. Fernandes
A. Gigovic
37 A. Gigovic
A. Virginius
7 A. Virginius
A. Antonio Sanches
10 A. Antonio Sanches
J. Monteiro
77 J. Monteiro
S. Essende
99 S. Essende
L. Ati-Zigi
1 L. Ati-Zigi
C. Kleine-Bekel
3 C. Kleine-Bekel
J. Stanic
4 J. Stanic
T. Gaal
26 T. Gaal
M. Stevanovic
64 M. Stevanovic
C. Okoroji
36 C. Okoroji
L. Daschner
10 L. Daschner
L. Görtler
16 L. Görtler
H. Vandermersch
28 H. Vandermersch
A. Balde
14 A. Balde
A. Vogt
18 A. Vogt

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland · Championship Round
Stadium
Stadion Wankdorf (Bern)
Capacity
32000
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Marvin Keller
Marvin Keller Goalkeeper
6.81
99
Samuel Essende
Samuel Essende Centre Forward
7
5
Gregory Wüthrich
Gregory Wüthrich Right Back
6.84
6
Edimilson Fernandes
Edimilson Fernandes Defensive Midfield
7.15
7
Alan Virginius
Alan Virginius Right Wing
6.77
10
Alvyn Sanches
Alvyn Sanches Attacking Midfield
7.45
22
Yan Valery
Yan Valery Right Back
6.84
30
Sandro Lauper
Sandro Lauper Left Back
6.92
33
Stefan Bukinac
Stefan Bukinac Left Back
6.59
37
Armin Gigovic
Armin Gigovic Defensive Midfield
6.81
77
Joël Monteiro
Joël Monteiro Left Wing
6.73

Starting XI ▼

1
Lawrence Ati Zigi
Lawrence Ati Zigi Goalkeeper
6.98
28
Hugo Vandermersch
Hugo Vandermersch Midfielder
6.73
36
Chima Okoroji
Chima Okoroji Midfielder
6.9
14
Aliou Baldé
Aliou Baldé Attacker
6.85
18
Alessandro Vogt
Alessandro Vogt Attacker
6.93
3
Colin Kleine-Bekel
Colin Kleine-Bekel Left Back
6.54
4
Jozo Stanic
Jozo Stanic Centre Back
7.03
10
Lukas Daschner
Lukas Daschner Central Midfield
6.87
16
Lukas Görtler
Lukas Görtler Central Midfield
7.33
64
Mihailo Stevanovic
Mihailo Stevanovic Defensive Midfield
6.61
26
Tom Gaal
Tom Gaal Right Back
6.83

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward St. Gallen holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give St. Gallen a 0.3-point edge. External projection is Young Boys 43.4%, draw 24%, and St. Gallen 32.6%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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