Winterthur vs Lausanne Sport Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stadion Schützenwiese Sat, 9 May - 4:00 PM
Super League
Winterthur Winterthur
Versus
Lausanne Sport LAU
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 4:00 PM
Round 36 Relegation Round

CONTEXT

Winterthur welcomes Lausanne Sport to Stadion Schützenwiese in the Super League's Relegation Round for the 2025/2026 season. Lausanne arrives as the clear favorite, powered by a 56.17 rating that outpaces Winterthur's 43.8 by 12.4 points. This structural edge aligns with their league standings: Lausanne at 9th, Winterthur rooted in 12th. Form guides remain neck-and-neck, with Lausanne's 8.94 edging Winterthur's 8.61 slightly. No recent match details surface for either side, heightening intrigue in this domestic clash. Projections highlight Lausanne's dominance at 51.9%, while Winterthur holds 24.9% and draw sits at 23.2%. Set-piece metrics carry low confidence due to proxy usage and absent xG data, leaving efficiency and transition play as unknowns. Home support might fuel Winterthur's resistance, yet Lausanne's overall strength suggests control. Expect tactical discipline from the visitors amid Winterthur's fight for points.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Lausanne Sport possesses a superior power score of 56.17 against Winterthur's 43.8, creating a 12.4-point advantage.
  • Form: Form scores indicate Lausanne Sport leads marginally with 8.94 over Winterthur's 8.61.
  • Squad: League positions place Lausanne Sport 9th and Winterthur 12th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats show low confidence with proxy data used for Winterthur and Lausanne Sport.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable due to add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Winterthur 25.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.2% (Δ+0%) | Lausanne Sport 51.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Winterthur P. Rahmen
P. Rahmen
VS
Lausanne Sport M. Basha
M. Basha
0.64
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.17
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zürich Rank: 50 D
Servette Rank: 61 L
Grasshopper Rank: 49 L
Lausanne Sport Rank: 56 L
Basel Rank: 63 L
Luzern Rank: 60 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Luzern Rank: 58 L
Zürich Rank: 51 W
Sion Rank: 59 L
Winterthur Rank: 44 W
Luzern Rank: 60 L
Young Boys Rank: 62 L
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 1 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Winterthur
25.62%
Draw
23.22%
Away Lausanne Sport
51.17%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
43.8
56.17
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Winterthur
Lausanne Sport
Power Score
43.8
56.17
League Position
12
9
Global Rank
932
615

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Winterthur — Opponent-weighted form score
Lausanne Sport — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Winterthur Lausanne Sport

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Winterthur Winterthur Home
9 matches
Lausanne Sport LAU Away
Match Record
5
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
5
Goals
14
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
14
+3
Goal Difference
-3

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T00:09:49+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
S. Kapino
1 S. Kapino
F. Rohner
27 F. Rohner
R. Arnold
16 R. Arnold
L. Lüthi
21 L. Lüthi
R. Smith
3 R. Smith
D. Ulrich
19 D. Ulrich
A. Jankewitz
45 A. Jankewitz
P. Kasami
23 P. Kasami
T. Golliard
8 T. Golliard
A. Hunziker
17 A. Hunziker
N. Burkart
99 N. Burkart
K. Letica
25 K. Letica
M. Poaty
18 M. Poaty
A. Sow
71 A. Sow
K. Mouanga
14 K. Mouanga
B. Soppy
2 B. Soppy
N. Beloko
16 N. Beloko
J. Roche
8 J. Roche
O. Custodio Da Costa
10 O. Custodio Da Costa
A. Ajdini
7 A. Ajdini
T. Bair
9 T. Bair
N. Butler-Oyedeji
11 N. Butler-Oyedeji

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland · Round 36 · Relegation Round
Stadium :
Stadion Schützenwiese
Capacity :
9450
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Stefanos Kapino
Stefanos Kapino Goalkeeper
6.97
8
Théo Golliard
Théo Golliard Attacker
6.89
17
Andrin Hunziker
Andrin Hunziker Centre Forward
6.96
99
Nishan Burkart
Nishan Burkart Attacker
6.9
16
Remo Arnold
Remo Arnold Right Back
6.49
19
Dario Ulrich
Dario Ulrich Central Midfield
6.5
21
Loïc Lüthi
Loïc Lüthi Left Back
6.64
23
Pajtim Kasami
Pajtim Kasami Central Midfield
6.82
27
Fabian Rohner
Fabian Rohner Right Back
6.54
45
Alexandre Jankewitz
Alexandre Jankewitz Central Midfield
6.63
3
Rhodri Smith
Rhodri Smith Left Back
6.47

Starting XI ▼

25
Karlo Letica
Karlo Letica Goalkeeper
6.87
7
Alban Ajdini
Alban Ajdini Attacker
6.61
9
Theo Bair
Theo Bair Centre Forward
6.94
11
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji Attacker
6.76
71
Karim Sow
Karim Sow Left Back
6.78
2
Brandon Soppy
Brandon Soppy Right Back
6.73
8
Jamie Roche
Jamie Roche Central Midfield
6.86
10
Olivier Custodio
Olivier Custodio Central Midfield
7.06
14
Kévin Mouanga
Kévin Mouanga Right Back
6.97
16
Nicky Beloko
Nicky Beloko Central Midfield
6.68
18
Morgan Poaty
Morgan Poaty Left Back
6.67

CONCLUSION

Lausanne Sport's power and positional edge positions them to dictate proceedings against Winterthur in this Relegation Round encounter. While form gaps are slim, the visitors' 12.4-point superiority underscores their threat. Winterthur's home venue offers a fighting chance, potentially disrupting Lausanne's rhythm. Absent detailed set-piece or efficiency insights, the focus shifts to overall execution. Projections reinforce Lausanne's favoritism, yet Super League scraps often hinge on momentum. Winterthur must capitalize early to counter the away side's strength. Anticipate a competitive affair where Lausanne's quality likely prevails, securing vital points in the standings battle.

Winterthur vs Lausanne Sport preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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