VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München Prediction, Preview and Stats

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Volkswagen Arena Sat, 9 May - 4:30 PM
Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg WOB
Versus
FC Bayern München FCB
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 4:30 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

VfL Wolfsburg welcome FC Bayern München to the Volkswagen Arena for a Bundesliga regular season encounter in the 2025/2026 term. The hosts sit precariously in 16th position, grappling with relegation pressures, while Bayern command the summit in 1st place. Bayern's impeccable power score of 100 dwarfs Wolfsburg's 74.67, translating to a substantial 25.3-point advantage that highlights their structural superiority. Form metrics further tilt the scales, with Bayern's 35.67 rating eclipsing Wolfsburg's 10.28, signaling momentum in the visitors' camp. Wolfsburg will lean on home advantage and crowd energy to disrupt Bayern's rhythm, but the champions' depth and precision present formidable challenges. Midfield control and defensive resilience become pivotal for the Wolves to avoid a routine defeat. Bayern aim to consolidate their lead, potentially exploiting any Wolfsburg frailties ruthlessly.

TL;DR

  • Structural: FC Bayern München possesses a power score of 100 versus VfL Wolfsburg's 74.67, yielding a 25.3-point edge.
  • Form: Bayern's form score reaches 35.67, well ahead of Wolfsburg's 10.28.
  • Squad: VfL Wolfsburg rank 16th in the league, while FC Bayern München lead in 1st.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data absent due to disabled add-on and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables not provided for this fixture.
  • Market: VfL Wolfsburg 22.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 21.8% (Δ+-0%) | FC Bayern München 55.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
VfL Wolfsburg D. Hecking
D. Hecking
VS
FC Bayern München V. Kompany
V. Kompany
0.82
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.5
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
SC Freiburg Rank: 82 D
Borussia Mönchengladbach Rank: 75 D
FC Union Berlin Rank: 74 W
Eintracht Frankfurt Rank: 80 L
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: 90 L
Werder Bremen Rank: 76 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Heidenheim Rank: 72 D
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: 80 W
VfB Stuttgart Rank: 86 W
St. Pauli Rank: 72 W
SC Freiburg Rank: 82 W
FC Union Berlin Rank: 73 W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 5 - 33
33
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home VfL Wolfsburg
22.4%
Draw
21.75%
Away FC Bayern München
55.85%

Movement

Changes since opening
VfL Wolfsburg
+0.01%
Draw
-0.04%
FC Bayern München
+0.03%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
74.67
100
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
VfL Wolfsburg
FC Bayern München
Power Score
74.67
100
League Position
16
1
Global Rank
117
1

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
VfL Wolfsburg — Opponent-weighted form score
FC Bayern München — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) VfL Wolfsburg FC Bayern München

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 41 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

VfL Wolfsburg WOB Home
41 matches
FC Bayern München FCB Away
Match Record
3
Wins
33
5
Draws
5
33
Losses
3
Goals
37
Goals Scored
110
110
Goals Conceded
37
-73
Goal Difference
+73

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T00:10:04+00:00

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Volkswagen Arena
Capacity :
30000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

29
Marius Müller
Marius Müller Goalkeeper
12
Pavao Pervan
Pavao Pervan Goalkeeper
1
Kamil Grabara
Kamil Grabara Goalkeeper
30
Jakub Zieliński
Jakub Zieliński Goalkeeper
21
Joakim Mæhle
Joakim Mæhle Defender
3
Denis Vavro
Denis Vavro Defender
13
Rogério Oliveira da Silva
Rogério Oliveira da Silva Defender
15
Moritz Jenz
Moritz Jenz Defender
2
Kilian Fischer
Kilian Fischer Defender
4
Konstantinos Koulierakis
Konstantinos Koulierakis Defender
14
Jenson Seelt
Jenson Seelt Defender
25
Aaron Zehnter
Aaron Zehnter Defender
6
Jeanuel Belocian
Jeanuel Belocian Defender
26
Sael Kumbedi Nseke
Sael Kumbedi Nseke Defender
33
Cleiton Santana dos Santos
Cleiton Santana dos Santos Defender
18
Jonas Adjei Adjetey
Jonas Adjei Adjetey Defender
41
Jan Bürger
Jan Bürger Defender
24
Christian Dannemann Eriksen
Christian Dannemann Eriksen Midfielder
27
Maximilian Arnold
Maximilian Arnold Midfielder
31
Yannick Gerhardt
Yannick Gerhardt Midfielder
10
Lovro Majer
Lovro Majer Midfielder
32
Mattias Svanberg
Mattias Svanberg Midfielder
5
Vinicius de Souza Costa
Vinicius de Souza Costa Midfielder
40
Kevin Paredes
Kevin Paredes Midfielder
8
Bence Dárdai
Bence Dárdai Midfielder
37
Pharell Hensel
Pharell Hensel Midfielder
23
Jonas Older Wind
Jonas Older Wind Attacker
19
Jesper Lindstrøm
Jesper Lindstrøm Attacker
39
Patrick Wimmer
Patrick Wimmer Attacker
9
Mohamed El Amine Amoura
Mohamed El Amine Amoura Attacker
17
Dzenan Pejcinovic
Dzenan Pejcinovic Attacker
11
Adam Daghim
Adam Daghim Attacker
7
Kento Shiogai
Kento Shiogai Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Manuel Neuer
Manuel Neuer Goalkeeper
26
Sven Ulreich
Sven Ulreich Goalkeeper
40
Jonas Urbig
Jonas Urbig Goalkeeper
48
Leon Klanac
Leon Klanac Goalkeeper
4
Jonathan Tah
Jonathan Tah Defender
2
Dayotchanculle Upamecano
Dayotchanculle Upamecano Defender
27
Konrad Laimer
Konrad Laimer Defender
19
Alphonso Davies
Alphonso Davies Defender
3
Min-Jae Kim
Min-Jae Kim Defender
21
Hiroki Ito
Hiroki Ito Defender
44
Josip Stanisic
Josip Stanisic Defender
8
Leon Goretzka
Leon Goretzka Midfielder
6
Joshua Kimmich
Joshua Kimmich Midfielder
22
Raphaël Adelino José Guerreiro
Raphaël Adelino José Guerreiro Midfielder
10
Jamal Musiala
Jamal Musiala Midfielder
45
Aleksandar Pavlović
Aleksandar Pavlović Midfielder
20
Tom Bischof
Tom Bischof Midfielder
47
David Daiber
David Daiber Midfielder
42
Lennart Karl
Lennart Karl Midfielder
39
Bara Joseph Sapoko Ndiaye
Bara Joseph Sapoko Ndiaye Midfielder
7
Serge Gnabry
Serge Gnabry Attacker
9
Harry Kane
Harry Kane Attacker
14
Luis Fernando Díaz Marulanda
Luis Fernando Díaz Marulanda Attacker
17
Michael Olise
Michael Olise Attacker
11
Nicolas Jackson
Nicolas Jackson Attacker

CONCLUSION

FC Bayern München enter as clear frontrunners, leveraging top-tier power ratings, superior form, and league dominance to overwhelm VfL Wolfsburg. The hosts' 16th-place perch demands a heroic home performance, yet Bayern's 25.3-point edge suggests control from kickoff. Absent efficiency or set-piece insights, Wolfsburg prioritize compact defending and opportunistic breaks at Volkswagen Arena. Bayern's attacking fluency should carve openings, pressuring Wolfsburg's backline relentlessly. A disciplined approach might yield Wolfsburg respite, but Bayern's quality invariably shines through, likely securing vital points to extend their advantage atop the Bundesliga.

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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