Veres vs LNZ Cherkasy Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Avangard Tue, 10 Mar - 12:04 AM
Premier League
Veres Veres
0 Winner 3
LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy
Full Time Tue, 10 Mar 12:04 AM
|
Goal
Roman Didyk - 33'
Abdul Awudu - 78'
Oleg Gorin - 90+3'

CONTEXT

The match between Veres and LNZ Cherkasy has finished, with the away side securing a decisive 3-0 victory. LNZ Cherkasy established a 1-0 lead by halftime and comfortably extended their advantage over the course of the second half. Pre-match expectations distinctly favored LNZ Cherkasy, who held a 47.3% implied market probability of winning, compared to just 21.1% for Veres and 31.6% for a draw. While the away victory fully aligned with the pre-match market, the comprehensive margin of the win represented a significant deviation (52.7%) in favor of LNZ Cherkasy, highlighting a much more dominant display than initially anticipated. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, so it cannot be mathematically determined if the outcome was consistent with the exact quality of chances created. Nevertheless, LNZ Cherkasy controlled the overall tempo, maintaining 54% possession against the home side's 46%. The performance efficiency shift remained entirely in line with projections, reflecting the away team's effective execution on both ends of the pitch. Finally, the match was contested smoothly without any major disciplinary incidents, as neither team received a red card to alter the tactical balance.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: LNZ Cherkasy showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
O. Derevinskyi
O. Derevinskyi
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.69
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.25
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
O. Myronov
O. Myronov
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.69
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.25
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
H. Svitlana
H. Svitlana
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.69
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.25
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
D. Osaulenko
D. Osaulenko
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.69
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.25
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Veres O. Shandruk
O. Shandruk
VS
LNZ Cherkasy V. Ponomarov
V. Ponomarov
1.36
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.21
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: L
SK Poltava Rank: W
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: L
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: D
Karpaty Rank: D
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: W
Zorya Luhansk Rank: W
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: W
Kudrivka Rank: W
SK Poltava Rank: W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 2 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Veres
21.12%
Draw
31.62%
Away LNZ Cherkasy
47.26%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
38.89
71.93
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Veres
LNZ Cherkasy
Power Score
38.89
71.93
League Position
9
2
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Veres — Opponent-weighted form score
LNZ Cherkasy — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Veres LNZ Cherkasy

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Veres

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

LNZ Cherkasy

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Veres ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy LNZ Cherkasy
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
8.04
17.13
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
17.13
8.04
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Veres -0.92 Efficiency Index
vs
LNZ Cherkasy +0.92 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Veres
LNZ Cherkasy
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Veres ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy LNZ Cherkasy
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Veres LNZ Cherkasy
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Veres LNZ Cherkasy
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Veres
LNZ Cherkasy
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Veres Veres Home
5 matches
LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
2
Goals
5
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
5
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-10T00:05:15+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 10, 2026, 12:04 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadium
Stadion Avangard
Capacity
4500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Oleksiy Derevinskyi
Oleksiy Myronov
Hrushko Svitlana
Dmytro Osaulenko

Statistics

Possession
Veres
44%
LNZ Cherkasy
56%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 3
2 Shots 7
34 Dangerous attacks 45
46 Possession 54
6 Corners 7
18 Free kicks 6
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

0 Assists 3
7 Goal Kicks 4

Attacking

67 Attacks 76

Defensive

0 Saves 1

Discipline

0 Offsides 3
7 Fouls 18

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Oleg Gorin
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
85'
Event
Adam Yakubu Hassan → Mark Assinor
8th Substitution
Event
Konstantinos Stamoulis
4th Yellowcard
80'
Event
Maksym Smiyan → Sergiy Korniychuk
7th Substitution
80'
80'
Event
Shota Nonikashvili
3rd Yellowcard
78'
Event
Abdul Awudu
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
76'
Event
Shota Nonikashvili → Yevgeniy Pastukh
6th Substitution
Event
Semen Vovchenko → Denys Ndukve
5th Substitution
73'
Event
André Gonçalves → Wesley Pomba
4th Substitution
73'
Event
Dmytro Klyots → Fabrício Yan
2nd Substitution
65'
Event
Guilherme Bahia → Vladyslav Sharay
3rd Substitution
65'
64'
Event
Abdul Awudu → Artur Mykytyshyn
1st Substitution
62'
Event
Oleg Gorin
2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
36'
Event
Yevgeniy Pastukh
1st Yellowcard
33'
Event
Roman Didyk
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: LNZ Cherkasy exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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