Venezia vs Palermo Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo Tomorrow - 6:30 PM
Serie B
Venezia VEN
Versus
Palermo PAL
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 6:30 PM
Round 38 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the 2025/2026 Serie B Regular Season, table-topping Venezia host fourth-placed Palermo at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, a venue steeped in home advantage for the lagoon side. Venezia's domestic standing reflects solid consistency, yet Palermo hold a razor-thin power edge at 64.22 to 63, translating to a 1.2-point advantage that marks the visitors as marginally stronger overall. Form metrics reinforce this, with Palermo's 28.83 score outpacing Venezia's 26.22, hinting at better recent momentum. League positions underscore Venezia's resilience, but Palermo's underlying strength suggests they can disrupt the leaders. Lacking xG data, set piece insights remain elusive, forcing reliance on broader trends. This matchup blends positional prestige with statistical parity, setting up a compelling battle where fine margins will decide the outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Venezia top Serie B at 1st place, hosting 4th-placed Palermo at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo.
  • Form: Palermo edge form with 28.83 score over Venezia's 26.22.
  • Squad: Palermo rated stronger at 64.22 power score versus Venezia's 63.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: No transition play metrics provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG metrics absent, limiting variable analysis for attacks and defenses.
  • Market: Baseline split: Venezia 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Palermo 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Venezia G. Stroppa
G. Stroppa
VS
Palermo F. Inzaghi
F. Inzaghi
2.42
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.96
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Spezia Rank: 51 D
Empoli Rank: 54 W
Bari 1908 Rank: 49 W
Virtus Entella Rank: 47 D
Juve Stabia Rank: 57 W
Monza Rank: 67 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Catanzaro Rank: 61 D
Reggiana Rank: 47 D
Cesena Rank: 52 W
Frosinone Rank: 66 D
Avellino Rank: 54 W
Calcio Padova Rank: 49 W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 5 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Venezia
0%
Draw
0%
Away Palermo
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63
64.22
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Venezia
Palermo
Power Score
63
64.22
League Position
1
4
Global Rank
191
345

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Venezia — Opponent-weighted form score
Palermo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Venezia Palermo

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Venezia VEN Home
13 matches
Palermo PAL Away
Match Record
6
Wins
2
5
Draws
5
2
Losses
6
Goals
17
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
17
+7
Goal Difference
-7

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T01:00:26+00:00

General Information

Date & Time :
May 08, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Capacity :
11150
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

22
Alessandro Plizzari
Alessandro Plizzari Goalkeeper
14
Stefano Minelli
Stefano Minelli Goalkeeper
23
Matteo Grandi
Matteo Grandi Goalkeeper
1
Filip Stankovic
Filip Stankovic Goalkeeper
5
Ridgeciano Haps
Ridgeciano Haps Defender
33
Marin Sverko
Marin Sverko Defender
30
Michael Svoboda
Michael Svoboda Defender
2
Seid Korac
Seid Korac Defender
16
Michael Venturi
Michael Venturi Defender
18
Antoine Hainaut
Antoine Hainaut Defender
20
Sebastiao Sagrado
Sebastiao Sagrado Defender
3
Joël Marcel Schingtienne
Joël Marcel Schingtienne Defender
48
Ahmed Franck Sidibé
Ahmed Franck Sidibé Defender
32
Joseph Alfred Duncan
Joseph Alfred Duncan Midfielder
37
Emil Bohinen
Emil Bohinen Midfielder
71
Enrique Pérez Muñoz
Enrique Pérez Muñoz Midfielder
24
Nunzio Lella
Nunzio Lella Midfielder
6
Gianluca Busio
Gianluca Busio Midfielder
19
Bjarki Steinn Bjarkson
Bjarki Steinn Bjarkson Midfielder
4
Bartol Franjić
Bartol Franjić Midfielder
21
Mattia Compagnon
Mattia Compagnon Midfielder
8
Issa Doumbia
Issa Doumbia Midfielder
28
Matteo Dagasso
Matteo Dagasso Midfielder
29
Lion Lauberbach
Lion Lauberbach Attacker
10
John Yeboah Zamora
John Yeboah Zamora Attacker
9
Andrea Adorante
Andrea Adorante Attacker
80
Antonio Manuel Casas Marín
Antonio Manuel Casas Marín Attacker
11
Marko Lawk Farji
Marko Lawk Farji Attacker
99
Alessandro Pietrelli
Alessandro Pietrelli Attacker

Squad ▼

66
Jesse Joronen
Jesse Joronen Goalkeeper
1
Alfred Benjamin Gomis
Alfred Benjamin Gomis Goalkeeper
77
Francesco Di Bartolo Zuccarello
Francesco Di Bartolo Zuccarello Goalkeeper
32
Pietro Ceccaroni
Pietro Ceccaroni Defender
13
Mattia Bani
Mattia Bani Defender
19
Bartosz Bereszyński
Bartosz Bereszyński Defender
3
Tommaso Augello
Tommaso Augello Defender
96
Giangiacomo Magnani
Giangiacomo Magnani Defender
29
Patryk Peda
Patryk Peda Defender
27
Niccolò Pierozzi
Niccolò Pierozzi Defender
72
Davide Veroli
Davide Veroli Defender
28
Alexis Blin
Alexis Blin Midfielder
5
Antonio Palumbo
Antonio Palumbo Midfielder
11
Emanuel Quartsin Gyasi
Emanuel Quartsin Gyasi Midfielder
8
Jacopo Segre
Jacopo Segre Midfielder
6
Claudio Gomes
Claudio Gomes Midfielder
10
Filippo Ranocchia
Filippo Ranocchia Midfielder
17
Samuel Giovane
Samuel Giovane Midfielder
14
Aljosa Vasic
Aljosa Vasic Midfielder
7
Dennis Johnsen
Dennis Johnsen Attacker
20
Joel Pohjanpalo
Joel Pohjanpalo Attacker
18
Rui Manuel Muati Modesto
Rui Manuel Muati Modesto Attacker
21
Jérémy Le Douaron
Jérémy Le Douaron Attacker
31
Giacomo Corona
Giacomo Corona Attacker

CONCLUSION

Venezia's league lead and home turf provide a psychological boost, but Palermo's superior power rating and form score position them as credible threats in this Serie B showdown. The 1.2-point advantage underscores Palermo's quality, potentially tipping a closely contested affair. Absent detailed efficiency, transition, or set piece stats, the focus narrows to raw power and momentum, where Palermo hold sway. Venezia must leverage their standing to counter the visitors' edge, yet expect a tactical chess match with Palermo poised to exploit any lapses. Fine details will separate these near-equals in a pivotal regular-season clash.

Venezia vs Palermo preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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