Union Saint-Gilloise vs Mechelen Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stade Joseph Mariën Sun, 10 May - 4:30 PM
Pro League
Union Saint-Gilloise USG
Versus
Mechelen MEC
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 4:30 PM
Round 7 Championship Round

CONTEXT

Union Saint-Gilloise welcome Mechelen to Stade Joseph Mariën for a crucial Pro League Championship Round clash in the 2025/2026 season. Holding 2nd place domestically, the hosts possess a formidable power score of 85.91, dwarfing Mechelen's 70.01 and granting a 15.9-point edge that marks them as the stronger side. Form scores further tilt the scales, with Union's 50.39 contrasting sharply against Mechelen's modest 22.22, indicating sustained momentum for the home team. As 5th-placed visitors, Mechelen face a steep challenge against a title-contending outfit. Detailed metrics on efficiency and set pieces remain unavailable due to lacking xG data, shifting focus to these overarching strengths. Union's structural superiority positions them to dominate proceedings from the outset.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Union Saint-Gilloise hold 2nd place and a 15.9-point power advantage over 5th-placed Mechelen.
  • Form: Union Saint-Gilloise's form score of 50.39 outstrips Mechelen's 22.22.
  • Squad: Union Saint-Gilloise rated stronger overall with 85.91 power score to Mechelen's 70.01.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to absent xG and low confidence.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable for both teams.
  • Market: Projection split: Union Saint-Gilloise 68.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 20.2% (Δ+0%) | Mechelen 11.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Union Saint-Gilloise D. Hubert
D. Hubert
VS
Mechelen F. Vanderbiest
F. Vanderbiest
2.09
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.27
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sint-Truiden Rank: 77 L
Anderlecht Rank: 73 W
Gent Rank: 72 D
Club Brugge Rank: 84 W
Mechelen Rank: 70 W
Sint-Truiden Rank: 79 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gent Rank: 72 W
Sint-Truiden Rank: 76 L
Club Brugge Rank: 84 L
Anderlecht Rank: 73 L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 86 L
Gent Rank: 72 D
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 2 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Union Saint-Gilloise
68.41%
Draw
20.22%
Away Mechelen
11.37%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
85.91
70.01
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Union Saint-Gilloise
Mechelen
Power Score
85.91
70.01
League Position
2
5
Global Rank
32
211

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Union Saint-Gilloise — Opponent-weighted form score
Mechelen — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Union Saint-Gilloise Mechelen

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Union Saint-Gilloise USG Home
13 matches
Mechelen MEC Away
Match Record
6
Wins
5
2
Draws
2
5
Losses
6
Goals
13
Goals Scored
15
15
Goals Conceded
13
-2
Goal Difference
+2

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:50:16+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
K. Scherpen
37 K. Scherpen
M. Sylla
29 M. Sylla
C. Burgess
16 C. Burgess
R. Sykes
26 R. Sykes
A. Khalaili
25 A. Khalaili
K. Van de Perre
6 K. Van de Perre
A. Zorgane
8 A. Zorgane
O. Niang
22 O. Niang
G. da Silva Carvalho
11 G. da Silva Carvalho
K. Rodríguez Cortéz
13 K. Rodríguez Cortéz
A. El Hadj
10 A. El Hadj
I. Mirás Blanco
13 I. Mirás Blanco
J. Martinez Marsà
3 J. Martinez Marsà
R. Halhal
2 R. Halhal
T. St. Jago
33 T. St. Jago
T. Koudou
7 T. Koudou
M. Servais
17 M. Servais
F. Hammar
6 F. Hammar
B. Antonio
38 B. Antonio
K. Mrabti
19 K. Mrabti
M. van Brederode
9 M. van Brederode
B. Boersma
28 B. Boersma

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 7 · Championship Round
Stadium :
Stade Joseph Mariën
Capacity :
50093
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

37
Kjell Scherpen
Kjell Scherpen Goalkeeper
6.94
22
Ousseynou Niang
Ousseynou Niang Midfielder
6.82
25
Anan Khalaili
Anan Khalaili Midfielder
7.14
10
Anouar Ait El Hadj
Anouar Ait El Hadj Attacker
6.97
13
Kevin Rodríguez
Kevin Rodríguez Centre Forward
7
11
Guilherme Smith
Guilherme Smith Attacker
6.92
26
Ross Sykes
Ross Sykes Left Back
7.27
29
Massiré Sylla
Massiré Sylla Right Back
5.46
6
Kamiel Van De Perre
Kamiel Van De Perre Central Midfield
6.9
8
Adem Zorgane
Adem Zorgane Central Midfield
7.04
16
Christian Burgess
Christian Burgess Centre Back
7.22

Starting XI ▼

13
Nacho Miras
Nacho Miras Goalkeeper
7.17
38
Bill Antonio
Bill Antonio Midfielder
6.52
7
Thérence Koudou
Thérence Koudou Midfielder
6.76
9
Myron van Brederode
Myron van Brederode Attacker
7.14
28
Bouke Boersma
Bouke Boersma Attacker
6.76
6
Fredrik Hammar
Fredrik Hammar Central Midfield
7.03
17
Mathis Servais
Mathis Servais Central Midfield
6.99
19
Kerim Mrabti
Kerim Mrabti Attacking Midfield
6.88
33
Tommy St. Jago
Tommy St. Jago Right Back
6.81
2
Redouane Halhal
Redouane Halhal Centre Back
6.9
3
José Marsà
José Marsà Left Back
6.7

CONCLUSION

Union Saint-Gilloise enter this Championship Round fixture with every metric in their favor, from superior power ratings and league position to stronger form. Mechelen's lower standing and form score signal a tough ask on the road at Stade Joseph Mariën. Absent specialized insights into efficiency, transitions, or set pieces, the analysis underscores Union's broad dominance. The hosts should dictate tempo, leveraging squad depth to create opportunities while neutralizing Mechelen's efforts. This setup points to a controlled performance, allowing Union to secure vital points in their pursuit of Pro League glory amid a competitive top flight.

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Mechelen preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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