Telstar vs Heracles Almelo Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
BUKO Stadion Sun, 10 May - 2:45 PM
Eredivisie
Telstar TEL
Versus
Heracles Almelo HEA
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 2:45 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Telstar host Heracles Almelo at BUKO Stadion in the Eredivisie regular season clash of the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 15th in the table, Telstar aim to capitalize on their superior form score of 24.22 against Heracles' dismal 1.94, reflecting recent struggles for the visitors who prop up the standings in 18th. Despite Heracles holding a marginal power edge at 55.38 to Telstar's 52.79—a 2.6-point advantage—the home side's momentum could prove decisive in this relegation scrap. Both teams lack recent outing details, but Telstar's domestic positioning offers psychological boost. With limited advanced metrics available, the focus falls on basic form and power disparities in this crucial encounter. Expect a gritty battle where Telstar's recent edge challenges Heracles' underlying strength.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Heracles Almelo possess a slight power advantage of 2.6 points with a score of 55.38 over Telstar's 52.79.
  • Form: Telstar hold a strong form score of 24.22 compared to Heracles Almelo's poor 1.94.
  • Squad: Telstar occupy 15th place while Heracles Almelo sit bottom in 18th.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to lack of xG and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables not available for analysis.
  • Market: Projection split: Telstar 70.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 17.4% (Δ+0%) | Heracles Almelo 12.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Telstar A. Correia
A. Correia
VS
Heracles Almelo E. Faber
E. Faber
1.1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.5
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
NEC Nijmegen Rank: 74 D
Sparta Rotterdam Rank: 67 W
FC Utrecht Rank: 71 L
FC Groningen Rank: 66 L
PSV Rank: 86 W
SC Heerenveen Rank: 70 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
PEC Zwolle Rank: 63 L
FC Volendam Rank: 59 L
Ajax Rank: 77 L
SC Heerenveen Rank: 70 L
Excelsior Rank: 62 D
AZ Rank: 76 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Telstar
70.29%
Draw
17.4%
Away Heracles Almelo
12.3%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
52.79
55.38
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Telstar
Heracles Almelo
Power Score
52.79
55.38
League Position
15
18
Global Rank
416
629

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Telstar — Opponent-weighted form score
Heracles Almelo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Telstar Heracles Almelo

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Telstar TEL Home
1 matches
Heracles Almelo HEA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T01:07:17+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
R. Koeman Jr.
1 R. Koeman Jr.
N. Ogidi Nwankwo
14 N. Ogidi Nwankwo
D. Koswal
21 D. Koswal
D. Bakker
6 D. Bakker
T. Noslin
11 T. Noslin
G. Offerhaus
4 G. Offerhaus
C. Hatenboer
23 C. Hatenboer
J. Hardeveld
2 J. Hardeveld
T. Owusu
8 T. Owusu
P. Brouwer
27 P. Brouwer
S. van Duijn
37 S. van Duijn
T. Jansink
16 T. Jansink
D. van der Kust
5 D. van der Kust
T. Hamamioglu
41 T. Hamamioglu
D. Mirani
4 D. Mirani
M. Benita
2 M. Benita
S. Cestic
6 S. Cestic
J. Žambůrek
13 J. Žambůrek
M. Engels
8 M. Engels
J. Wieckhoff
3 J. Wieckhoff
T. van Gilst
17 T. van Gilst
L. Kulenović
19 L. Kulenović

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 02:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
BUKO Stadion
Capacity :
3200
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Rogier Honig
Joshua Kuipers
Serdar Gözübüyük
Patrick Inia

Expected Lineup

Referee : Serdar Gözübüyük

Starting XI ▼

1
Ronald Koeman Jr.
Ronald Koeman Jr. Goalkeeper
7.25
8
Tyrone Owusu
Tyrone Owusu Midfielder
6.75
11
Tyrese Noslin
Tyrese Noslin Midfielder
6.72
2
Jeff Hardeveld
Jeff Hardeveld Midfielder
7.14
27
Patrick Brouwer
Patrick Brouwer Midfielder
6.99
37
Sem van Duijn
Sem van Duijn Centre Forward
7.09
4
Guus Offerhaus
Guus Offerhaus Central Midfield
6.75
6
Danny Bakker
Danny Bakker Left Back
6.96
14
Neville Ogidi Nwankwo
Neville Ogidi Nwankwo Right Back
6.56
21
Devon Koswal
Devon Koswal Centre Back
6.6
23
Cedric Hatenboer
Cedric Hatenboer Central Midfield
6.91
Referee : Serdar Gözübüyük

Starting XI ▼

16
Timo Jansink
Timo Jansink Goalkeeper
6.78
19
Luka Kulenovic
Luka Kulenovic Centre Forward
6.87
2
Mimeirhel Benita
Mimeirhel Benita Right Back
6.59
8
Mario Engels
Mario Engels Left Wing
6.44
17
Tristan van Gilst
Tristan van Gilst Right Wing
6.56
6
Sava-Arangel Cestic
Sava-Arangel Cestic Defensive Midfield
6.56
3
Jannes Wieckhoff
Jannes Wieckhoff Attacking Midfield
6.37
4
Damon Mirani
Damon Mirani Right Back
6.67
5
Djevencio van der Kust
Djevencio van der Kust Left Back
6.46
13
Jan Zamburek
Jan Zamburek Defensive Midfield
6.64
41
Tarik Hamamioglu
Tarik Hamamioglu Left Back

CONCLUSION

Telstar enter this home fixture with clear momentum from better form and higher league standing, positioning them as favorites against struggling Heracles Almelo. While the visitors' power score suggests underlying quality, their abysmal recent performances raise doubts over execution. At BUKO Stadion, Telstar's drive to climb from 15th could overwhelm Heracles' 18th-place woes. Absent advanced stats like efficiency or set pieces, the matchup hinges on form disparity and home advantage. Telstar's path to victory looks promising if they maintain intensity throughout.

Telstar vs Heracles Almelo preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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