Sporting Gijón vs Cádiz Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal El Molinón Sun, 19 Apr - 2:15 PM
La Liga 2
Sporting Gijón SPO
Versus
Cádiz CAD
KICKOFF : Sun, 19 Apr - 2:15 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the 2025/2026 La Liga 2 season, Sporting Gijón face Cádiz in a Regular Season match at the Estadio Municipal El Molinón. Currently tenth in the standings, the home team hold a clear edge with a power score of 24.47 against the visitors' 14.83, resulting in a 9.6 point advantage. Cádiz, positioned 18th, are in need of points to improve their situation. Form has been an issue for both sides recently. Sporting Gijón have picked up two wins, one draw and three defeats in their previous six games, coming off a loss away to Burgos. Meanwhile, Cádiz have one win and five losses from six, after falling to FC Andorra at home. This fixture offers Sporting Gijón the chance to assert their superiority in front of their own supporters.

TL;DR

  • Structural: 10th-placed Sporting Gijón host 18th-placed Cádiz with 9.6pt power advantage at home.
  • Form: Home W2 D1 L3, away W1 D0 L5 from six matches. Both lost last outing.
  • Squad: No major absences reported; home side better balanced for this fixture.
  • Efficiency: Limited metrics available with xG data inaccessible for both teams.
  • Transition: Sporting Gijón show stronger overall control and attacking flow.
  • Set pieces: Low confidence proxy data; even contest expected on dead balls.
  • xVariable: Power scores guide analysis as xG remains unavailable.
  • Market: Sporting Gijón 59.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.6% (Δ+0%) | Cádiz 15.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sporting Gijón B. Jiménez Sáez
B. Jiménez Sáez
VS
Cádiz S. González Soriano
S. González Soriano
1.42
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.77
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Burgos Rank: L
Real Sociedad II Rank: W
Racing Santander Rank: L
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: D
Las Palmas Rank: L
Castellón Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Andorra Rank: L
Córdoba Rank: L
Real Valladolid Rank: L
Ceuta Rank: L
Málaga Rank: L
Mirandés Rank: W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 3 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sporting Gijón
59.63%
Draw
24.64%
Away Cádiz
15.73%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.47
14.83
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sporting Gijón
Cádiz
Power Score
24.47
14.83
League Position
10
18
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sporting Gijón — Opponent-weighted form score
Cádiz — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting Gijón Cádiz

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 15 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sporting Gijón SPO Home
15 matches
Cádiz CAD Away
Match Record
6
Wins
6
3
Draws
3
6
Losses
6
Goals
20
Goals Scored
21
21
Goals Conceded
20
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T01:05:58+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
O. Yáñez Alabart
1 O. Yáñez Alabart
G. Rosas Alonso
2 G. Rosas Alonso
P. Vázquez Pérez
15 P. Vázquez Pérez
D. Sánchez Pérez
5 D. Sánchez Pérez
B. Oliván Herrero
12 B. Oliván Herrero
J. Smith
24 J. Smith
A. Corredera Alardi
14 A. Corredera Alardi
J. Dubasin
17 J. Dubasin
C. Gelabert Pina
10 C. Gelabert Pina
G. Campos Ansó Fernández
7 G. Campos Ansó Fernández
J. Otero Tovar
19 J. Otero Tovar
V. Aznar
13 V. Aznar
S. Arribas Prieto
38 S. Arribas Prieto
I. Ortega
6 I. Ortega
B. Kovačević
14 B. Kovačević
J. Díaz Peregrina
34 J. Díaz Peregrina
J. Domina
37 J. Domina
R. N'Guessan
3 R. N'Guessan
M. Diakité
5 M. Diakité
Antonio Cordero
16 Antonio Cordero
?. García Pascual
23 ?. García Pascual
Y. Diarra
18 Y. Diarra

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal El Molinón
Capacity
30000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Rubén Yáñez
Rubén Yáñez Goalkeeper
6.8
19
Juan Otero
Juan Otero Centre Forward
7.28
2
Guille Rosas
Guille Rosas Right Back
6.87
5
Diego Sánchez
Diego Sánchez Left Back
6.72
14
Àlex Corredera
Àlex Corredera Defensive Midfield
7.07
15
Pablo Vázquez
Pablo Vázquez Right Back
6.97
17
Jonathan Dubasin
Jonathan Dubasin Right Wing
7.1
24
Justin Smith
Justin Smith Defensive Midfield
6.57
10
César Gelabert
César Gelabert Attacking Midfield
7.11
7
Gaspar Campos
Gaspar Campos Left Wing
6.8
12
Brian Oliván
Brian Oliván Left Back
6.42

Starting XI ▼

13
Victor Aznar
Victor Aznar Goalkeeper
7
37
Jerónimo Dómina
Jerónimo Dómina Midfielder
6.53
16
Antoñito Cordero
Antoñito Cordero Midfielder
6.7
18
Yussi Diarra
Yussi Diarra Attacker
6.58
23
García Pascual
García Pascual Attacker
6.84
5
Moussa Diakité
Moussa Diakité Central Midfield
6.8
14
Bojan Kovacevic
Bojan Kovacevic Right Back
6.71
6
Iker Recio
Iker Recio Left Back
6.73
34
Juan Díaz
Juan Díaz Right Back
6.96
38
Sergio Arribas
Sergio Arribas Left Back
6.45
3
Rominigue Kouamé
Rominigue Kouamé Central Midfield
6.62

CONCLUSION

Sporting Gijón hold the tools to claim a home win against a struggling Cádiz side. Their superior power ranking, league position and home record point to control at El Molinón despite patchy recent results. Cádiz have managed only one victory in six matches and look vulnerable on the road. The visitors must improve defensively to contain the home attack, yet Sporting Gijón possess enough quality in transition to create clear openings. A focused performance should see the home team collect maximum points and ease any lingering pressure, while Cádiz face another tough test in their bid to climb the table.

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