Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika Kaliningrad Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Akhmat Arena Thu, 23 Apr - 4:45 PM
Premier League
Akhmat Grozny AKH
Versus
Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad
KICKOFF : Thu, 23 Apr - 4:45 PM
Round 26 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the 2025/2026 Premier League season, Akhmat Grozny face Baltika Kaliningrad at Akhmat Arena during the Regular Season. The home side currently occupy ninth position in the table and have a recent form record of one win, four draws and one loss from six matches. Their last fixture resulted in a draw away against Spartak Moskva. Baltika sit fourth and boast a stronger form score, remaining unbeaten with two wins and four draws in their previous six games, most recently drawing with Krasnodar on the road. The visitors hold a power score advantage of 6.7 points, marking them as the stronger team heading into this match. Akhmat will look to use their home ground to turn around their fortunes against a Baltika side that has started the campaign impressively. This fixture could see the away team push for a victory to consolidate their high league placing while the hosts aim for a much needed win.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Baltika hold 6.7pt power advantage. Hosts 9th, visitors 4th.
  • Form: Akhmat W1 D4 L1. Baltika W2 D4 L0. Both drew last out.
  • Squad: Limited squad news, no major absences reported.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics currently unavailable.
  • Transition: Baltika show superior transition play per power scores.
  • Set pieces: Low confidence set piece data for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG metrics not available for analysis.
  • Market: Projection split: Akhmat Grozny 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Baltika Kaliningrad 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Akhmat Grozny Akhmat Grozny
Akhmat Grozny
VS
Baltika Kaliningrad A. Talalaev
A. Talalaev
1.23
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.69
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Spartak Moskva Rank: D
Krylya Sovetov Rank: D
Krasnodar Rank: L
Rostov Rank: W
Akron Rank: D
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Krasnodar Rank: D
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: D
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: D
Sochi Rank: W
CSKA Moskva Rank: W
Rostov Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Akhmat Grozny
0%
Draw
0%
Away Baltika Kaliningrad
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.85
27.59
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Akhmat Grozny
Baltika Kaliningrad
Power Score
20.85
27.59
League Position
9
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Akhmat Grozny Opponent-weighted form score
Baltika Kaliningrad Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Akhmat Grozny Baltika Kaliningrad

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Akhmat Grozny AKH Home
3 matches
Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
1
-9
Goal Difference
+9
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T02:14:49+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 23, 2026, 04:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 26 · Regular Season
Stadium
Akhmat Arena
Capacity
30597
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

88
Georgi Sheliya
Georgi Sheliya Goalkeeper
1
Vadim Uljanov
Vadim Uljanov Goalkeeper
72
Yahya Marovedov
Yahya Marovedov Goalkeeper
40
Rizvan Utsiev
Rizvan Utsiev Defender
8
Miroslav Bogosavac
Miroslav Bogosavac Defender
81
Maksim Sidorov
Maksim Sidorov Defender
5
Klisman Cake
Klisman Cake Defender
82
Daniil Khlusevich
Daniil Khlusevich Defender
90
Ousmane Ndong
Ousmane Ndong Defender
4
Turpal-Ali Ibishev
Turpal-Ali Ibishev Defender
22
Mohammadmehdi Zare Mohazabieh
Mohammadmehdi Zare Mohazabieh Defender
2
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov Defender
10
Rifat Zhemaletdinov
Rifat Zhemaletdinov Midfielder
11
Ismael Silva Lima
Ismael Silva Lima Midfielder
80
Valeriy Tsarukyan
Valeriy Tsarukyan Midfielder
70
Abakar Gadzhiev
Abakar Gadzhiev Midfielder
17
Egas dos Santos Cacintura
Egas dos Santos Cacintura Midfielder
19
John Vahey
John Vahey Midfielder
42
Manuel Keliano
Manuel Keliano Midfielder
37
Papa Amady Gadio
Papa Amady Gadio Midfielder
27
Akhmed Davlitgereev
Akhmed Davlitgereev Midfielder
77
Georgi Melkadze
Georgi Melkadze Attacker
13
Mohamed Konaté
Mohamed Konaté Attacker
9
Braian Ezequiel Mansilla
Braian Ezequiel Mansilla Attacker
7
Lechii Sadulaev
Lechii Sadulaev Attacker
20
Maksim Samorodov
Maksim Samorodov Attacker
23
Ğalımjan Kenjebek
Ğalımjan Kenjebek Attacker

Squad

67
Maksim Borisko
Maksim Borisko Goalkeeper
44
Egor Lyubakov
Egor Lyubakov Goalkeeper
81
Ivan Kukushkin
Ivan Kukushkin Goalkeeper
77
Eldar Ćivić
Eldar Ćivić Defender
25
Aleksandr Filin
Aleksandr Filin Defender
23
Mingiyan Beveev
Mingiyan Beveev Defender
16
Kevin Orlando Andrade Murillo
Kevin Orlando Andrade Murillo Defender
21
Eduardo Antonio Anderson Gomez
Eduardo Antonio Anderson Gomez Defender
2
Sergey Varatynov
Sergey Varatynov Defender
4
Nathan Gassama
Nathan Gassama Defender
68
Mikhail Ryadno
Mikhail Ryadno Defender
46
Kirill Obonin
Kirill Obonin Defender
11
Yuri Kovalev
Yuri Kovalev Midfielder
10
Ilya Petrov
Ilya Petrov Midfielder
8
Andrey Mendel
Andrey Mendel Midfielder
73
Maksim Petrov
Maksim Petrov Midfielder
22
Nikolai Titkov
Nikolai Titkov Midfielder
14
Stefan Kovač
Stefan Kovač Midfielder
5
Aymane Mourid
Aymane Mourid Midfielder
26
Ivan Belikov
Ivan Belikov Midfielder
42
Vladislav Pospelov
Vladislav Pospelov Midfielder
90
Chinonso Offor Nnamdi
Chinonso Offor Nnamdi Attacker
15
Tenton Yenne
Tenton Yenne Attacker
91
Brayan Gil Hurtado
Brayan Gil Hurtado Attacker
69
Irakliy Manelov
Irakliy Manelov Attacker
18
Derik Gean Severino Lacerda
Derik Gean Severino Lacerda Attacker
28
Kirill Nikishin
Kirill Nikishin Attacker
39
Kirill Stepanov
Kirill Stepanov Attacker

CONCLUSION

Baltika Kaliningrad enter this away fixture as the in-form team with an unbeaten record and a higher league position. Their power advantage points to a positive outcome if they can overcome the home environment. Akhmat Grozny have drawn four of their last six matches and will be difficult to break down, especially at Akhmat Arena. The home team needs to find a way to secure victories rather than settling for draws to improve their standing. This match represents an opportunity for Baltika to demonstrate their credentials as top-four contenders. Meanwhile, Akhmat must improve their attacking output to trouble a Baltika defense that has been performing well. Overall, expect a closely contested game where the visitors might just edge it based on current form and structural advantages.