Sporting CP vs Tondela Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio José Alvalade Wed, 29 Apr - 7:15 PM
Liga Portugal
Sporting CP SCP
Versus
Tondela TND
Postponed Wed, 29 Apr 7:15 PM

CONTEXT

Sporting CP host Tondela in Liga Portugal (Regular Season) at Estádio José Alvalade. Domestically, Sporting CP sit 2th in the table while Tondela are 17th. Power ranking favours Sporting CP by 35.2 points heading into this fixture. Sporting CP's recent form reads W4 D1 L1 from 6 matches; Tondela's form is W1 D2 L3 from 6 matches. In their last outing, Sporting CP Win at home against Kairat. Tondela last played at home versus Estrela Amadora, finishing with a Draw.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sporting CP hold a +35.2 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Sporting CP sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Sporting CP show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Sporting CP have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Sporting CP carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Sporting CP hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Sporting CP 81.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 13.6% (Δ+0%) | Tondela 4.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sporting CP R. Gomes Borges
R. Gomes Borges
VS
Tondela C. Bacci
C. Bacci
2.53
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.9
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Famalicão Rank: 71 W
Porto Rank: 86 D
Nacional Rank: 64 W
Arouca Rank: 65 W
Casa Pia Rank: 65 W
Gil Vicente Rank: 72 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rio Ave Rank: 61 L
Santa Clara Rank: 64 D
Estrela Amadora Rank: 60 W
Alverca Rank: 65 D
Estoril Rank: 69 D
Benfica Rank: 87 D
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 3 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sporting CP
81.74%
Draw
13.57%
Away Tondela
4.69%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
88.36
53.12
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sporting CP
Tondela
Power Score
88.36
53.12
League Position
2
17
Global Rank
19
445

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sporting CP — Opponent-weighted form score
Tondela — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting CP Tondela

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sporting CP SCP Home
5 matches
Tondela TND Away
Match Record
5
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
5
Goals
13
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
13
+12
Goal Difference
-12
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:47:18+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 29, 2026, 07:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Stadium
Estádio José Alvalade
Capacity
52095
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Rui Tiago Dantas da Silva
Rui Tiago Dantas da Silva Goalkeeper
12
João Manuel Neves Virginia
João Manuel Neves Virginia Goalkeeper
11
Nuno Miguel Gomes dos Santos
Nuno Miguel Gomes dos Santos Defender
91
Ricardo Luís Chaby Mangas
Ricardo Luís Chaby Mangas Defender
20
Maximiliano Javier Araújo Vilches
Maximiliano Javier Araújo Vilches Defender
72
Eduardo Filipe Quaresma Coimbra Simões
Eduardo Filipe Quaresma Coimbra Simões Defender
13
Georgios Vagiannidis
Georgios Vagiannidis Defender
6
Zeno Debast
Zeno Debast Defender
25
Gonçalo Bernardo Inácio
Gonçalo Bernardo Inácio Defender
22
Iván Fresneda Corraliza
Iván Fresneda Corraliza Defender
26
Ousmane Diomande
Ousmane Diomande Defender
14
Giorgi Kochorashvili
Giorgi Kochorashvili Midfielder
17
Francisco António Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
Francisco António Machado Mota de Castro Trincão Midfielder
42
Morten Hjulmand
Morten Hjulmand Midfielder
23
Daniel Santos Bragança
Daniel Santos Bragança Midfielder
5
Hidemasa Morita
Hidemasa Morita Midfielder
52
João Pedro Arnauth Barrocas Simões
João Pedro Arnauth Barrocas Simões Midfielder
97
Luis Javier Suárez Charris
Luis Javier Suárez Charris Attacker
8
Pedro António Pereira Gonçalves
Pedro António Pereira Gonçalves Attacker
89
Fotis Ioannidis
Fotis Ioannidis Attacker
10
Geny Cipriano Catamo
Geny Cipriano Catamo Attacker
15
Souleymane Faye
Souleymane Faye Attacker
7
Geovany Tcherno Quenda
Geovany Tcherno Quenda Attacker
31
Luis Guilherme Lira dos Santos
Luis Guilherme Lira dos Santos Attacker

Squad ▼

30
Lucas Cañizars Conchello
Lucas Cañizars Conchello Goalkeeper
1
Carlos Joel Castro de Sousa
Carlos Joel Castro de Sousa Goalkeeper
31
Bernardo Caltabiano Parise Fontes
Bernardo Caltabiano Parise Fontes Goalkeeper
5
João Ricardo Silva Afonso
João Ricardo Silva Afonso Defender
2
Roberto de Jesus Machado
Roberto de Jesus Machado Defender
44
João Pedro Eira Antunes da Silva
João Pedro Eira Antunes da Silva Defender
48
Tiago Miguel Silva Manso
Tiago Miguel Silva Manso Defender
27
Rodrigo Fernandes Conceição
Rodrigo Fernandes Conceição Defender
21
Remi Vita
Remi Vita Defender
4
Christian Marques
Christian Marques Defender
60
Emmanuel Maviram
Emmanuel Maviram Defender
20
Brayan Medina
Brayan Medina Defender
8
Hélder Luís Lopes Vieira Tavares
Hélder Luís Lopes Vieira Tavares Midfielder
97
Cícero Clebson Alves Santana
Cícero Clebson Alves Santana Midfielder
15
Sphephelo Sithole
Sphephelo Sithole Midfielder
10
Joseph Hodge
Joseph Hodge Midfielder
14
Xabier Huarte Armendariz
Xabier Huarte Armendariz Midfielder
79
Hugo Félix Sequeira
Hugo Félix Sequeira Midfielder
32
Juan Sebastian Rodríguez López
Juan Sebastian Rodríguez López Midfielder
16
Marcos Paulo Mesquita Lopes
Marcos Paulo Mesquita Lopes Attacker
29
Theoson Jordan Siebatcheu
Theoson Jordan Siebatcheu Attacker
23
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka Attacker
7
Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos
Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos Attacker
26
Arjen van der Heide
Arjen van der Heide Attacker
90
Makan Aiko
Makan Aiko Attacker
70
Moudja Sie Ouattara
Moudja Sie Ouattara Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Sporting CP holding the stronger pre-match profile. The power-ranking gap of 35.2 points supports that view. Market sentiment broadly aligns with the underlying data —Sporting CP at 82.2%, draw at 13.4%, Tondela at 4.5%— leaving the balance of play dependent on execution, set pieces, and transitions rather than variance alone. Both sides will need to convert their chances to decide the outcome.

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