Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel Sun, 8 Mar - 11:15 AM
Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam SPR
1 – 1
PEC Zwolle PEC
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 11:15 AM
Milan Zonneveld - 83'
Goal
|
Goal
Kaj de Rooij - 85'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 PEC Zwolle. The match ended in a draw. Sparta Rotterdam showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 51%–49%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sparta Rotterdam showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Shukrula
S. Shukrula
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 8.89
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.22
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
J. de Koning
J. de Koning
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 8.89
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.22
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
M. van den Kerkhof
M. van den Kerkhof
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 8.89
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.22
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
D. Frijn
D. Frijn
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 8.89
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.22
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Sparta Rotterdam M. Steijn
M. Steijn
VS
PEC Zwolle Henry van der Vegt
Henry van der Vegt
1.48
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
SC Heerenveen Rank: L
AZ Rank: L
NEC Nijmegen Rank: D
Fortuna Sittard Rank: D
FC Groningen Rank: W
FC Utrecht Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ajax Rank: D
FC Utrecht Rank: D
SC Heerenveen Rank: L
FC Volendam Rank: L
Telstar Rank: W
NEC Nijmegen Rank: L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 4 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sparta Rotterdam
53.47%
Draw
22.61%
Away PEC Zwolle
23.91%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
48.72
37.18
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sparta Rotterdam
PEC Zwolle
Power Score
48.72
37.18
League Position
7
13
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sparta Rotterdam — Opponent-weighted form score
PEC Zwolle — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sparta Rotterdam PEC Zwolle

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sparta Rotterdam

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

PEC Zwolle

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sparta Rotterdam ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy PEC Zwolle
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
45.10
34.69
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.69
45.10
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sparta Rotterdam +1.13 Efficiency Index
vs
PEC Zwolle -1.13 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sparta Rotterdam
PEC Zwolle
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sparta Rotterdam ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy PEC Zwolle
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sparta Rotterdam PEC Zwolle
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sparta Rotterdam PEC Zwolle
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sparta Rotterdam
PEC Zwolle
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sparta Rotterdam SPR Home
9 matches
PEC Zwolle PEC Away
Match Record
3
Wins
4
2
Draws
2
4
Losses
3
Goals
9
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
9
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:02:55+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 11:15 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Stadium
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Capacity
11026
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Shona Shukrula
Jari de Koning
Martin van den Kerkhof
Don Frijn

Statistics

Possession
SPR
51%
PEC
49%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
4 Big Chances Created 2
20 Shots 15
60 Dangerous attacks 40
51 Possession 49
6 Corners 3
10 Free kicks 7
3 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 53
27 Throwins 14
8 Goal Kicks 9
5 Successful Dribbles 9
16 Successful Headers 8
13 Dribble Attempts 17
13 Goal Attempts 10
5 Substitutions 3
84 Ball Safe 93
1 Hit Woodwork 0
0 Assists 1
1 Injuries 0

Attacking

107 Attacks 96
3 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

16 Key Passes 9
78 Successful Passes Percentage 81
407 Passes 413
72 Long Passes 57
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 47
38 Successful Long Passes 27
318 Successful Passes 336

Defensive

7 Interceptions 14
17 Tackles 19
5 Saves 6

Build-up

29 Total Crosses 8
8 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

7 Fouls 10

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
Zico Buurmeester
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Patrick van Aanholt → Mike Kleijn
8th Substitution
87'
85'
Event
Kaj de Rooij
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Milan Zonneveld
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
83'
81'
Event
Kaj de Rooij → Thijs Oosting
7th Substitution
Event
Saïd Bakari → Shurandy Sambo
5th Substitution
80'
Event
Milan Zonneveld → Bruno Martins Indi
6th Substitution
80'
Event
Vito van Crooij
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
76'
73'
Event
Odysseus Velanas → Shola Shoretire
4th Substitution
Event
Vito van Crooij → Ayoni Santos
3rd Substitution
64'
Event
Casper Terho → Shunsuke Mito
2nd Substitution
63'
46'
Event
Olivier Aertssen → Tristan Gooijer
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Teo Quintero
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
14'
Event
Joshua Kitolano
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
4'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Sparta Rotterdam after Anselmo MacNulty allowed the ball to go out.
90
Attempt Attempt
A new offensive play unfolds as Mitchell van Bergen from Sparta Rotterdam takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area. However, Tom de Graaff from PEC Zwolle makes a great save, diving to his right to stop the ball. The assist comes from Joshua Kitolano.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sparta Rotterdam after Tijs Velthuis allowed the ball to go out.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sparta Rotterdam after Sherel Floranus allowed the ball to go out.
90
Attempt Attempt
A shot is deflected. Patrick van Aanholt from Sparta Rotterdam attempts a left-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Vito van Crooij.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the score tied at 1-1 between Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle.
90
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Casper Terho of Sparta Rotterdam attempted a header from just a few meters out, but it went wide. The chance was set up by Vito van Crooij, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
89
Update Update
Kaj de Rooij from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
89
Update Update
Casper Terho of Sparta Rotterdam has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Zico Buurmeester from PEC Zwolle has been shown a yellow card.
88
Update Update
Kaj de Rooij from PEC Zwolle earned a free kick in the defensive area.
88
Update Update
Kaj de Rooij from PEC Zwolle was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sparta Rotterdam: Patrick van Aanholt replaces Mike Kleijn due to an injury.
87
Update Update
Match interruption - PEC Zwolle.
87
Update Update
The pause has ended. They're set to resume play.
85
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! It's now 1-1 between Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle. Kaj de Rooij scored for PEC Zwolle, firing a left-footed shot from the center of the box into the right corner of the net. The assist came from Younes Namli.
83
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Sparta Rotterdam takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against PEC Zwolle. Milan Zonneveld scores for Sparta Rotterdam with a right-footed shot from close range into the bottom right corner.
83
Update Update
Mitchell van Bergen from Sparta Rotterdam strikes the right post with a right-footed attempt from the center of the penalty area.
83
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Koen Kostons from PEC Zwolle takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it narrowly misses the target.
81
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Casper Terho from Sparta Rotterdam took a left-footed shot from the center of the box but sent it wide to the left. The assist came from Mitchell van Bergen, who delivered a cross.
81
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for PEC Zwolle: Kaj de Rooij comes on to replace Thijs Oosting.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sparta Rotterdam: Saïd Bakari replaces Shurandy Sambo.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sparta Rotterdam: Milan Zonneveld replaces Bruno Martins Indi.
77
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Anselmo MacNulty of PEC Zwolle took a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it sailed over the crossbar. The assist came from Tijs Velthuis, who set him up with a header.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Vito van Crooij of Sparta Rotterdam has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
76
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Anselmo MacNulty of PEC Zwolle attempted a left-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but it sailed over the crossbar. The assist came from Tijs Velthuis, who set him up with a header.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Vito van Crooij from Sparta Rotterdam has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
73
Update Update
Vito van Crooij from Sparta Rotterdam committed a foul.
73
Update Update
Younes Namli from PEC Zwolle has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
71
Attempt Attempt
An exciting new offensive play unfolds as Younes Namli from PEC Zwolle takes a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area. However, Joël Drommel, the goalkeeper for Sparta Rotterdam, makes a crucial save right in the middle of the goal. The assist for this attempt came from Thijs Oosting.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for PEC Zwolle: Odysseus Velanas comes on to replace Shola Shoretire.
67
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Casper Terho from Sparta Rotterdam attempted a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
67
Update Update
Sherel Floranus from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
67
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Zico Buurmeester from PEC Zwolle attempted a left-footed shot from a challenging angle on the left side.
66
Update Update
Casper Terho from Sparta Rotterdam was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
64
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
63
Update Update
Match interruption - PEC Zwolle.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sparta Rotterdam: Vito van Crooij comes on to replace Ayoni Santos.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sparta Rotterdam: Vito van Crooij comes on to replace Ayoni Santos.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sparta Rotterdam: Casper Terho comes on to replace Shunsuke Mito.
61
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sparta Rotterdam after Anselmo MacNulty allowed the ball to go out.
61
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Shola Shoretire from PEC Zwolle.
60
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Thijs Oosting from PEC Zwolle attempted a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
59
Attempt Attempt
A new offensive effort unfolds as Pelle Clement from Sparta Rotterdam takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area. However, Tom de Graaff, the goalkeeper for PEC Zwolle, makes a save right in the middle of the goal. The assist was provided by Tobias Lauritsen.
58
Update Update
Anselmo MacNulty from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
58
Update Update
Joshua Kitolano from Sparta Rotterdam was awarded a free kick in the defensive zone.
56
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Mitchell van Bergen from Sparta Rotterdam takes a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area. However, Tom de Graaff from PEC Zwolle makes a fantastic save, denying the attempt in the bottom right corner. The assist was provided by Joël Drommel.
56
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Younes Namli from PEC Zwolle takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Joël Drommel from Sparta Rotterdam makes a save to his left. The assist came from Thijs Oosting.
53
Corner Corner
Another offensive push! Shunsuke Mito from Sparta Rotterdam takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but Tom de Graaff from PEC Zwolle makes a great save, diving to the right corner. The assist came from Bruno Martins Indi.
49
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Thijs Oosting from PEC Zwolle took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went wide. The assist came from Zico Buurmeester.
49
Update Update
Ryan Thomas from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
49
Update Update
Ayoni Santos from Sparta Rotterdam has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be one minute of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the score tied at 0-0 between Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for PEC Zwolle: Olivier Aertssen comes on to replace Tristan Gooijer.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for PEC Zwolle: Olivier Aertssen comes on to replace Tristan Gooijer.
44
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the score tied at 0-0 between Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle.
43
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be one minute of stoppage time.
42
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the score tied at 0-0 between Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle.
39
Update Update
Ryan Thomas from PEC Zwolle committed a handball foul.
39
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be one minute of stoppage time.
38
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Shola Shoretire from PEC Zwolle takes a right-footed shot from the center of the box, narrowly missing the target. The assist came from Younes Namli, who delivered a well-placed through ball.
38
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to PEC Zwolle after Mike Kleijn allowed the ball to go out.
36
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push. Thijs Oosting from PEC Zwolle takes a left-footed shot from the middle of the box, but the goalkeeper makes a save right in the center of the goal. The assist came from Younes Namli.
36
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Ryan Thomas from PEC Zwolle took a shot with his right foot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed over the goal and to the right.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to PEC Zwolle after Mike Kleijn allowed the ball to go out.
34
Update Update
Shunsuke Mito from Sparta Rotterdam has been awarded a free kick on the right flank.
34
Update Update
Sherel Floranus from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sparta Rotterdam after Tijs Velthuis allowed the ball to go out.
33
Update Update
Thijs Oosting from PEC Zwolle was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
33
Update Update
Ayoni Santos from Sparta Rotterdam committed a foul.
31
Corner Corner
Another offensive push unfolds. Tobias Lauritsen from Sparta Rotterdam heads the ball from the center of the penalty area, but Tom de Graaff from PEC Zwolle makes a fantastic save, reaching to the top left corner. The assist came from Shunsuke Mito, who delivered a precise cross.
30
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Joshua Kitolano from Sparta Rotterdam attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area that narrowly missed the target. Pelle Clement provided the assist.
30
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Sparta Rotterdam after a foul by Tom de Graaff.
24
Update Update
Joshua Kitolano from Sparta Rotterdam earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
24
Update Update
Zico Buurmeester from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
23
Update Update
Anselmo MacNulty from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
23
Update Update
Tobias Lauritsen from Sparta Rotterdam has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
22
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Younes Namli from PEC Zwolle takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked.
22
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive move unfolds as Zico Buurmeester from PEC Zwolle takes a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but Joël Drommel of Sparta Rotterdam makes a save, directing the ball to the right corner.
21
Update Update
Younes Namli from PEC Zwolle has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
21
Update Update
Bruno Martins Indi from Sparta Rotterdam committed a foul.
17
Update Update
Another offensive effort underway. Ayoni Santos from Sparta Rotterdam heads the ball from the center of the box, but it's successfully stopped by the goalkeeper.
17
Corner Corner
Another offensive effort underway. Ayoni Santos from Sparta Rotterdam heads the ball from the center of the box, but Tom de Graaff from PEC Zwolle makes a fantastic save, reaching up to the top left corner. The assist came from Mitchell van Bergen, who delivered a precise cross.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to PEC Zwolle after a deflection off Mike Kleijn.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to PEC Zwolle after a deflection off Bruno Martins Indi.
14
Update Update
Teo Quintero from Sparta Rotterdam committed a foul.
14
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Teo Quintero from Sparta Rotterdam has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
14
Update Update
Shola Shoretire from PEC Zwolle has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
13
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Joshua Kitolano from Sparta Rotterdam attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
11
Update Update
Joshua Kitolano from Sparta Rotterdam has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
11
Update Update
Koen Kostons from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
9
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity missed! Pelle Clement from Sparta Rotterdam took a shot with his right foot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed over the goal. The assist came from Ayoni Santos.
8
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Thijs Oosting from PEC Zwolle attempted a left-footed shot from the center of the box but failed to find the target.
7
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered! Tobias Lauritsen from Sparta Rotterdam attempted a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it didn't find the target.
7
Update Update
Zico Buurmeester from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
7
Update Update
Bruno Martins Indi from Sparta Rotterdam earned a free kick in the defensive zone.
6
Update Update
Younes Namli from PEC Zwolle has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
6
Update Update
Ayoni Santos from Sparta Rotterdam committed a foul.
4
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Joshua Kitolano of Sparta Rotterdam has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
4
Update Update
Ayoni Santos from Sparta Rotterdam committed a foul.
4
Update Update
Thijs Oosting from PEC Zwolle has earned a free kick in an offensive position.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Sparta Rotterdam exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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