Servette vs Zürich Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stade de Genève Sat, 7 Mar - 5:00 PM
Super League
Servette Servette
2 Winner 1
Zürich ZUR
Full Time Sat, 7 Mar 5:00 PM
Junior Kadile - 2', 88'
Goal
|
Goal
Philippe Paulin Keny - 74' (P)

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Servette 2–1 Zürich. The result saw Servette take the points. Servette showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 48%–52%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Servette showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Huwiler
D. Huwiler
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.36
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.86
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.36
M. Turkes
M. Turkes
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.36
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.86
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.36
V. Antony
V. Antony
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.36
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.86
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.36
L. Berchier
L. Berchier
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.36
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.86
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.36
Servette J. Gourvennec
J. Gourvennec
VS
Zürich D. Hediger
D. Hediger
1.17
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.04
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Winterthur Rank: D
Sion Rank: D
St. Gallen Rank: D
Lausanne Sport Rank: D
Lugano Rank: D
Thun Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lausanne Sport Rank: L
Young Boys Rank: L
Grasshopper Rank: W
Luzern Rank: L
Winterthur Rank: W
Basel Rank: L
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 7 - 11
11

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Servette
59.36%
Draw
23.01%
Away Zürich
17.63%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
37.93
35.63
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Servette
Zürich
Power Score
37.93
35.63
League Position
9
10
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Servette — Opponent-weighted form score
Zürich — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Servette Zürich

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Servette

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Zürich

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Servette ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Zürich
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
39.90
20.96
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.96
39.90
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Servette +1.79 Efficiency Index
vs
Zürich -1.79 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Servette
Zürich
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Servette ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Zürich
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Servette Zürich
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Servette Zürich
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Servette
Zürich
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 21 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Servette Servette Home
21 matches
Zürich ZUR Away
Match Record
10
Wins
6
5
Draws
5
6
Losses
10
Goals
35
Goals Scored
26
26
Goals Conceded
35
+9
Goal Difference
-9
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-08T00:11:52+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 07, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stadium
Stade de Genève
Capacity
30084
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
David Huwiler
Mirel Turkes
Venancius Antony
Logan Berchier

Statistics

Possession
Servette
49%
ZUR
51%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 1
17 Shots 9
43 Dangerous attacks 38
48 Possession 52
5 Corners 7
13 Free kicks 15
4 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

13 Ball Safe 11
2 Assists 0
25 Throwins 34
5 Substitutions 4
45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
5 Successful Dribbles 5
2 Goal Attempts 1
3 Goal Kicks 11
11 Dribble Attempts 15
0 Penalties 1

Attacking

124 Attacks 108
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

49 Successful Long Passes Percentage 51
59 Long Passes 77
327 Passes 359
71 Successful Passes Percentage 74
233 Successful Passes 265
29 Successful Long Passes 39
13 Key Passes 6

Defensive

17 Tackles 13
10 Interceptions 9
3 Saves 2

Build-up

5 Accurate Crosses 8
18 Total Crosses 25

Discipline

0 Offsides 5
16 Fouls 13

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Lilian Njoh → Junior Kadile
9th Substitution
90+1'
90+1'
Event
Umeh Emmanuel → Sebastian Walker
8th Substitution
Event
Junior Kadile
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
88'
87'
Event
Mohamed Bangoura → Ivan Cavaleiro
7th Substitution
Event
Malek Ishuayed → David Douline
5th Substitution
79'
Event
Samuel Mraz → Florian Ayé
6th Substitution
79'
Event
Gaël Ondoua
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
77'
74'
Event
Philippe Paulin Keny
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
Event
Junior Kadile
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
72'
Event
Gaël Ondoua → Jérémy Guillemenot
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Timothé Cognat
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
65'
61'
Event
Matthias Phaëton → Bledian Krasniqi
3rd Substitution
60'
Event
Juan José Perea → Damienus Reverson
2nd Substitution
Event
Bradley Mazikou
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
54'
Event
Thomas Lopes → Miroslav Stevanovic
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Junior Kadile
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
2'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Servette exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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