SD Eibar vs Las Palmas Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa Sun, 29 Mar - 12:00 PM
La Liga 2
SD Eibar EIB
3 Winner 1
Las Palmas LPA
Full Time Sun, 29 Mar 12:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season
Ander Madariaga - 16'
Javi Martón - 31', 43'
Goal
|
Goal
Manu Fuster - 17'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. SD Eibar 3–1 Las Palmas. The result saw SD Eibar take the points. SD Eibar showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 31%–69%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: SD Eibar showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
SD Eibar B. San José Gil
B. San José Gil
VS
Las Palmas L. García Fernández
L. García Fernández
1.36
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leganés Rank: 66 W
Cádiz Rank: 60 W
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 67 L
Racing Santander Rank: 69 W
Real Zaragoza Rank: 60 D
Sporting Gijón Rank: 65 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Gijón Rank: 65 W
Albacete Rank: 63 L
Ceuta Rank: 63 W
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 57 W
Castellón Rank: 65 D
Mirandés Rank: 58 D
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 4 - 9
9

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home SD Eibar
39.07%
Draw
31.29%
Away Las Palmas
29.64%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.89
62.28
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SD Eibar
Las Palmas
Power Score
67.89
62.28
League Position
8
6
Global Rank
227
203

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
SD Eibar — Opponent-weighted form score
Las Palmas — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SD Eibar Las Palmas

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

SD Eibar

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Las Palmas

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

SD Eibar ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Las Palmas
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.06
35.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
35.00
33.06
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
SD Eibar -0.20 Efficiency Index
vs
Las Palmas +0.20 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
SD Eibar
Las Palmas
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

SD Eibar ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Las Palmas
Created Set-piece attacking threat
SD Eibar Las Palmas
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
SD Eibar Las Palmas
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
SD Eibar
Las Palmas
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SD Eibar EIB Home
19 matches
Las Palmas LPA Away
Match Record
6
Wins
9
4
Draws
4
9
Losses
6
Goals
22
Goals Scored
24
24
Goals Conceded
22
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-30T00:00:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Magunagoitia Blasco
Spain
13 J. Magunagoitia Blasco
S. Cubero Ezcurra
Spain
2 S. Cubero Ezcurra
P. Nolaskoain Esnal
Spain
8 P. Nolaskoain Esnal
J. Amador Silos
Portugal
15 J. Amador Silos
A. Arbilla Zabala
Spain
23 A. Arbilla Zabala
S. Álvarez Díaz
Spain
6 S. Álvarez Díaz
A. Garrido Cañizares
Substitution
Spain
30 A. Garrido Cañizares
J. Corpas Serna
Substitution
Spain
17 J. Corpas Serna
A. Madariaga Susaeta
Substitution
Spain
16 A. Madariaga Susaeta
J. Guruzeta
Substitution
Spain
10 J. Guruzeta
J. Martón Ansó
Substitution
Spain
20 J. Martón Ansó
D. Horkaš
Croatia
1 D. Horkaš
E. Clemente Maza
Spain
5 E. Clemente Maza
M. Marmol Medina
Spain
3 M. Marmol Medina
S. Barcia Laranxeira
Substitution
Spain
6 S. Barcia Laranxeira
V. Álvarez Rozada
Spain
17 V. Álvarez Rozada
K. Rodríguez Concepción
Substitution
Spain
20 K. Rodríguez Concepción
E. Loiodice
France
12 E. Loiodice
P. García Mejías
Substitution
Spain
22 P. García Mejías
M. Fuster Lázaro
Substitution
Spain
14 M. Fuster Lázaro
T. Miyashiro
Japan
18 T. Miyashiro
J. Rodríguez Ruiz
Substitution
Spain
10 J. Rodríguez Ruiz

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 29, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa
Capacity
8164
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Germán Cid Camacho
Sergi López Freixa
Daniel Pescador Hernández
Pol Arenas Mora

Statistics

Possession
EIB
35%
LPA
65%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
5 Big Chances Created 5
7 Shots 4
25 Dangerous attacks 63
31 Possession 69
2 Corners 10
7 Free kicks 15
4 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

12 Dribble Attempts 10
10 Throwins 26
6 Successful Dribbles 4
0 Hit Woodwork 2
2 Assists 1
12 Goal Kicks 6
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

55 Attacks 123
2 Big Chances Missed 4

Possession

217 Successful Passes 574
301 Passes 658
44 Long Passes 23
34 Successful Long Passes Percentage 22
4 Key Passes 14
15 Successful Long Passes 5
72 Successful Passes Percentage 87

Defensive

3 Saves 4
13 Interceptions 13
19 Tackles 12

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 32
4 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
15 Fouls 6

Lineup

Referee : Germán Cid Camacho

Starting XI ▼

13
Jonmi Magunagoitia
Jonmi Magunagoitia Goalkeeper
2
Sergio Cubero
Sergio Cubero Defender
8
Peru Nolaskoain
Peru Nolaskoain Defender
15
Jair Amador
Jair Amador Defender
23
Anaitz Arbilla
Anaitz Arbilla Defender
6
Sergio Álvarez
Sergio Álvarez Midfielder
10
Jon Guruzeta
Jon Guruzeta Midfielder
18
Adu Ares
Adu Ares
Attacker87'
16
Ander Madariaga
Ander Madariaga Midfielder
5
Javi Martínez
Javi Martínez
Midfielder75'
17
José Corpas
José Corpas Midfielder
22
Álvaro Rodríguez
Álvaro Rodríguez
Defender87'
30
Aleix Garrido
Aleix Garrido Midfielder
14
Lander Olaetxea
Lander Olaetxea
Midfielder66'
20
Javi Martón
Javi Martón Attacker
2
9
Jon Bautista
Jon Bautista
Attacker66'
Referee : Germán Cid Camacho

Starting XI ▼

1
Dinko Horkas
Dinko Horkas Goalkeeper
3
Mika Mármol
Mika Mármol Defender
5
Enrique Clemente
Enrique Clemente Defender
6
Sergio Barcia
Sergio Barcia Defender
4
Álex Suárez
Álex Suárez
Defender84'
17
Viti Rozada
Viti Rozada Defender
12
Enzo Loiodice
Enzo Loiodice Midfielder
14
Manu Fuster
Manu Fuster Midfielder
8
Iván Gil
Iván Gil
Midfielder84'
18
Taisei Miyashiro
Taisei Miyashiro Midfielder
20
Kirian Rodríguez
Kirian Rodríguez Midfielder
24
Pejiño
Pejiño
Attacker68'
22
Ale García
Ale García Midfielder
39
Estanis Pedrola
Estanis Pedrola
Attacker58'
10
Jesé
Jesé Attacker
49
Iker Bravo
Iker Bravo
Attacker68'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Álex Suárez
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Álvaro Rodríguez → José Corpas
10th Substitution
87'
Event
Adu Ares → Jon Guruzeta
9th Substitution
87'
Event
Jon Bautista
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
87'
84'
Event
Iván Gil → Manu Fuster
7th Substitution
84'
Event
Álex Suárez → Sergio Barcia
8th Substitution
Event
Jonmi Magunagoitia
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
81'
Event
7th Yellowcard
81'
80'
Event
Mika Mármol
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Javi Martínez → Ander Madariaga
6th Substitution
75'
Event
Lander Olaetxea
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
71'
68'
Event
Iker Bravo → Jesé
4th Substitution
68'
Event
Pejiño → Kirian Rodríguez
5th Substitution
Event
Jon Bautista → Javi Martón
2nd Substitution
66'
Event
Lander Olaetxea → Aleix Garrido
3rd Substitution
66'
58'
Event
Estanis Pedrola → Ale García
1st Substitution
Event
José Corpas
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
57'
1ST-HALF
Event
Javi Martón
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
43'
Event
Javi Martón
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
31'
Event
Javi Martón
Goal disallowed
21'
17'
Event
Manu Fuster
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Ander Madariaga
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
16'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: SD Eibar exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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