Roma vs Atalanta Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Serie A, Italy

Stadio Olimpico Sat, 18 Apr - 6:45 PM

Serie A

Roma ROM

Atalanta ATA

KICKOFF : Sat, 18 Apr - 6:45 PM

Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

The upcoming Serie A clash at the Stadio Olimpico sees Roma welcome Atalanta in what promises to be a tightly contested affair in the 2025/2026 campaign. Currently sitting in sixth position, the home team aims to solidify their standing against a visiting side placed just one spot below. Power ratings give Atalanta a small advantage, suggesting they might control more aspects of the game. Recent results show Roma bouncing back with a home victory over Pisa, in contrast to Atalanta's home loss against Juventus. Form over the last six matches remains relatively even for both outfits. Tactical setups will play a crucial role as the teams navigate through various phases of the match. Supporters expect high intensity and skillful displays from players motivated to gain an edge in the league table. This regular season meeting could influence the mid-table hierarchy significantly.

TL;DR

Structural: Roma in 6th host Atalanta in 7th at Stadio Olimpico for a key mid-table Serie A battle.
Form: Roma won last against Pisa while Atalanta fell to Juventus with both sides even across six recent games.
Squad: Competitive lineups available for both managers to pursue positive results in this league fixture.
Efficiency: Limited efficiency metrics available leaving on-field execution to decide overall dominance.
Transition: Atalanta hold slight power edge that could support quicker shifts from defence into attack.
Set pieces: Set piece insights restricted due to low confidence proxy data and missing xG details.
xVariable: Advanced metrics tilt marginally toward the away side in this regular season matchup.
Market: Roma 40% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.7% (Δ+0%) | Atalanta 31.3% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

G. Gasperini

R. Palladino

1.62

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.65

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

15 - 8 - 15

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Roma

40.04%

Draw

28.67%

Atalanta

31.29%

Team Power Ranking

23.94

25.04

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Roma

Atalanta

Power Score

23.94

25.04

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Roma — Opponent-weighted form score

Atalanta — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Roma Atalanta

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 38 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Roma ROM Home

38 matches

Atalanta ATA Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-2

Goal Difference

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T01:01:54+00:00

STARTING XI

99 M. Svilar

87 D. Ghilardi

5 O. N'Dicka

22 M. Hermoso Canseco

19 M. Çelik

4 B. Cristante

8 N. El Aynaoui

2 D. Rensch

18 M. Malvano

97 B. Zaragoza Martínez

14 D. Malen

29 M. Carnesecchi

23 S. Kolašinac

19 B. Djimsiti

42 G. Scalvini

47 L. Bernasconi

13 É. dos Santos Lourenço da Silva

15 M. de Roon

77 D. Zappacosta

59 N. Zalewski

17 C. De Ketelaere

90 N. Krstović

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 18, 2026, 06:45 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 33 · Regular Season

Stadium

Stadio Olimpico

Capacity

72698

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees

Matteo Marcenaro

Christian Rossi

Juan Luca Sacchi

Giovanni Baccini

Lineup

Referee : Matteo Marcenaro

Manager ▼

G. Gasperini Coach

Starting XI ▼

Mile Svilar Goalkeeper

7.04

Devyne Rensch Defender

6.75

Evan Ndicka Defender

6.93

Zeki Çelik Defender

6.79

Mario Hermoso Defender

6.88

Daniele Ghilardi Defender

6.64

Bryan Cristante Midfielder

6.99

Neil El Aynaoui Midfielder

6.65

Matías Soulé Midfielder

7.03

Bryan Zaragoza Midfielder

6.85

Donyell Malen Attacker

7.16

Referee : Matteo Marcenaro

Manager ▼

R. Palladino Coach

Starting XI ▼

Marco Carnesecchi Goalkeeper

7.04

Berat Djimsiti Defender

6.94

Sead Kolasinac Defender

6.65

Giorgio Scalvini Defender

7.03

Lorenzo Bernasconi Defender

6.92

Davide Zappacosta Defender

6.87

Éderson Midfielder

6.96

Marten de Roon Midfielder

6.94

Charles De Ketelaere Midfielder

7.2

Nicola Zalewski Midfielder

6.97

Nikola Krstović Attacker

7.11

CONCLUSION

Anticipation builds for an intriguing encounter where Atalanta's marginal superiority in power scores could be tested by Roma's home resilience. Both sides have shown flashes of quality in recent outings despite inconsistent form records. Success may depend on exploiting transitional opportunities and maintaining defensive solidity throughout. Although set piece data lacks depth teams will likely prepare specific strategies for dead ball situations. The closely matched expectations reflect the balanced nature of this fixture. Ultimately the result will hinge on which squad better executes their game plan under the Olimpico lights. As the season unfolds every point becomes valuable for securing favorable league positions moving forward.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT