Rennes vs Paris Prediction, Preview and Stats

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Roazhon Park Sun, 10 May - 7:00 PM
Ligue 1
Rennes REN
Versus
Paris PFC
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 7:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Rennes host Paris in Ligue 1 (Regular Season) at Roazhon Park. Domestically, Rennes sit 5th in the table while Paris are 11th. Power ranking favours Rennes by 18.4 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rennes commands an 18.4-point power advantage with a score of 79.19 over Paris's 60.84 and leads in league position at 5th to 11th.
  • Form: Paris edges form slightly with a score of 27 compared to Rennes's 25.89.
  • Squad: Squad specifics unavailable, though Rennes gains from home advantage at Roazhon Park.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition data unavailable in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable due to lack of xG data and low-confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xVariable metrics unavailable for this matchup.
  • Market: Rennes 63.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 19.9% (Δ+0%) | Paris 16.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Rennes F. Haise
F. Haise
VS
Paris A. Kombouare
A. Kombouare
1.9
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.35
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: 82 L
Nantes Rank: 64 W
Strasbourg Rank: 80 W
Angers SCO Rank: 67 W
Brest Rank: 73 W
Metz Rank: 62 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brest Rank: 74 W
LOSC Lille Rank: 80 L
Metz Rank: 62 W
Monaco Rank: 80 W
Lorient Rank: 75 D
Le Havre Rank: 67 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rennes
63.88%
Draw
19.94%
Away Paris
16.18%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
79.19
60.84
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rennes
Paris
Power Score
79.19
60.84
League Position
5
11
Global Rank
65
142

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rennes — Opponent-weighted form score
Paris — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rennes Paris

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rennes REN Home
1 matches
Paris PFC Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
1
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
1
+1
Goal Difference
-1

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T02:01:40+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
B. Samba
30 B. Samba
A. Seidu
36 A. Seidu
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
48 Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
L. Brassier
3 L. Brassier
Q. Merlin
26 Q. Merlin
S. Szymański
17 S. Szymański
M. Camara
45 M. Camara
V. Rongier
21 V. Rongier
M. Al Tamari
11 M. Al Tamari
B. Embolo
7 B. Embolo
E. Lepaul
9 E. Lepaul
K. Trapp
35 K. Trapp
N. Sangui
19 N. Sangui
M. Mbow
5 M. Mbow
D. Coppola
42 D. Coppola
H. Traoré
14 H. Traoré
R. Matondo
23 R. Matondo
M. Munetsi
18 M. Munetsi
M. Simon
27 M. Simon
I. Kebbal
10 I. Kebbal
N. Ikoné
93 N. Ikoné
W. Geubbels
9 W. Geubbels

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Roazhon Park
Capacity :
29778
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Cédric Favre
Thomas Léonard
Valentin Evrard
Willy Delajod

Expected Lineup

Referee : Thomas Léonard

Starting XI ▼

30
Brice Samba
Brice Samba Goalkeeper
6.85
17
Sebastian Szymanski
Sebastian Szymanski Midfielder
6.9
11
Mousa Tamari
Mousa Tamari Midfielder
6.92
7
Breel Embolo
Breel Embolo Attacker
6.81
9
Estéban Lepaul
Estéban Lepaul Attacker
6.86
21
Valentin Rongier
Valentin Rongier Central Midfield
7.24
26
Quentin Merlin
Quentin Merlin Left Back
6.91
45
Mahdi Camara
Mahdi Camara Central Midfield
6.85
48
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal Right Back
6.71
3
Lilian Brassier
Lilian Brassier Left Back
6.81
36
Alidu Seidu
Alidu Seidu Right Back
6.77
Referee : Thomas Léonard

Starting XI ▼

35
Kevin Trapp
Kevin Trapp Goalkeeper
6.85
9
Willem Geubbels
Willem Geubbels Centre Forward
6.67
5
Moustapha Mbow
Moustapha Mbow Left Back
6.92
10
Ilan Kebbal
Ilan Kebbal Attacking Midfield
7.42
14
Hamari Traoré
Hamari Traoré Right Back
6.69
19
Nhoa Sangui
Nhoa Sangui Left Back
6.65
27
Moses Simon
Moses Simon Left Wing
6.79
42
Diego Coppola
Diego Coppola Right Back
6.93
18
Marshall Munetsi
Marshall Munetsi Defensive Midfield
6.76
23
Rudy Matondo
Rudy Matondo Defensive Midfield
6.76
93
Jonathan Ikoné
Jonathan Ikoné Right Wing
6.81

CONCLUSION

Rennes approaches this Ligue 1 clash as the stronger outfit, fortified by a hefty power edge and higher standing, despite Paris's minor form superiority. Hosting at Roazhon Park amplifies their control in structural battles. Limited visibility into efficiency, transitions, and set pieces adds intrigue, potentially exposing vulnerabilities. Paris must capitalize on momentum to challenge, yet Rennes's overall prowess positions them to dictate tempo and secure points. This encounter highlights home dominance in a competitive league phase, with Rennes poised to reinforce top-five credentials effectively.

Rennes vs Paris preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Ligue 1, France View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ