Real Zaragoza vs Ceuta Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio de la Romareda Sat, 18 Apr - 2:15 PM
La Liga 2
Real Zaragoza ZAR
Versus
Ceuta Ceuta
KICKOFF : Sat, 18 Apr - 2:15 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Real Zaragoza host Ceuta at the Estadio de la Romareda in a La Liga 2 Regular Season fixture during the 2025/2026 campaign. The home side sit 19th in the table and hold a narrow power score advantage of 2pts over their visitors who occupy 11th place. Zaragoza come into the match on the back of a loss away to Córdoba while Ceuta earned a draw at home against Real Sociedad II. With a recent record of W2 D1 L3 the hosts have shown better form than the away side's W1 D2 L3. Home support at the Romareda will be crucial as Zaragoza seek to climb away from the bottom reaches. Ceuta will look to maintain their mid-table position through disciplined away play in what shapes up as a competitive tactical battle.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Zaragoza 19th vs Ceuta 11th. Home power score edge of 2pts at Romareda.
  • Form: Home: W2 D1 L3 (38.89 form score). Away: W1 D2 L3 (27.78). Zaragoza lost last, Ceuta drew.
  • Squad: No significant squad information available for this fixture.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics currently unavailable.
  • Transition: Both sides will look to exploit transitions in a potentially open game.
  • Set pieces: Limited data with low confidence. Proxy metrics in use for set piece reliance.
  • xVariable: Power scores suggest slight home advantage in underlying metrics.
  • Market: Real Zaragoza 53.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.4% (Δ+0%) | Ceuta 21% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Real Zaragoza D. Navarro Arenaz
D. Navarro Arenaz
VS
Ceuta J. Romero Gil
J. Romero Gil
1.08
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.42
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Córdoba Rank: L
Mirandés Rank: L
Leganés Rank: D
Racing Santander Rank: W
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: L
Almería Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Sociedad II Rank: D
SD Eibar Rank: L
Burgos Rank: D
Cádiz Rank: W
Leganés Rank: L
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Real Zaragoza
53.56%
Draw
25.44%
Away Ceuta
21%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.02
21.06
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Zaragoza
Ceuta
Power Score
23.02
21.06
League Position
19
11
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Real Zaragoza — Opponent-weighted form score
Ceuta — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Zaragoza Ceuta

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Zaragoza ZAR Home
1 matches
Ceuta Ceuta Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T00:10:05+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
E. Andrada
1 E. Andrada
M. Aguirregabiria Padilla
20 M. Aguirregabiria Padilla
A. Radovanović
16 A. Radovanović
J. El Yamiq
18 J. El Yamiq
D. Esmorís Tasende
3 D. Esmorís Tasende
Y. Saidu
33 Y. Saidu
M. Mensah Vadze
26 M. Mensah Vadze
M. Cuenca Aranda
23 M. Cuenca Aranda
A. Moya Vega
8 A. Moya Vega
J. Larios López
27 J. Larios López
D. Gómez Alcón
9 D. Gómez Alcón
G. Vallejo Delgado
13 G. Vallejo Delgado
J. Matos García
3 J. Matos García
D. González Cabanes
15 D. González Cabanes
C. Hernández Alarcón
6 C. Hernández Alarcón
A. Ahmed Ahmed
7 A. Ahmed Ahmed
M. Illescas Montaño
12 M. Illescas Montaño
Y. Didi
5 Y. Didi
J. Zalazar Martínez
8 J. Zalazar Martínez
K. Kone
22 K. Kone
M. Fernández Sánchez
9 M. Fernández Sánchez
A. Bassinga
26 A. Bassinga

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 18, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio de la Romareda
Capacity
33608
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Esteban Andrada
Esteban Andrada Goalkeeper
7.08
9
Dani Gómez
Dani Gómez Centre Forward
6.78
3
Dani Tasende
Dani Tasende Left Back
6.75
8
Toni Moya
Toni Moya Attacking Midfield
6.72
16
Aleksandar Radovanovic
Aleksandar Radovanovic Right Back
6.65
20
Martín Aguirregabiria
Martín Aguirregabiria Right Back
6.89
23
Marcos Cuenca
Marcos Cuenca Right Wing
6.45
18
Jawad El Yamiq
Jawad El Yamiq Left Back
7.05
26
Mawuli Kwame Mensah Vadze
Mawuli Kwame Mensah Vadze Defensive Midfield
6.82
27
Juan Larios
Juan Larios Left Wing
6.6
33
Yussif Saidu
Yussif Saidu Defensive Midfield
6.8

Starting XI ▼

13
Guillermo Vallejo
Guillermo Vallejo Goalkeeper
6.81
9
Marcos Fernández
Marcos Fernández Centre Forward
6.87
22
Kialy Abdoul Kone
Kialy Abdoul Kone Attacker
6.88
26
Aboubacar Bassinga
Aboubacar Bassinga Attacker
6.53
3
José Matos
José Matos Left Back
6.76
5
Youness Lachhab
Youness Lachhab Central Midfield
6.75
8
Kuki Zalazar
Kuki Zalazar Central Midfield
6.89
12
Marino Illescas
Marino Illescas Central Midfield
6.87
15
Diego González
Diego González Left Back
6.62
6
Carlos Hernández
Carlos Hernández Right Back
6.84
7
Aisar Ahmed
Aisar Ahmed Right Back
6.67

CONCLUSION

With a power score advantage and superior recent form, Real Zaragoza are well placed to claim all three points against Ceuta. The hosts need points from 19th position and should be motivated by the home crowd at the Romareda. Ceuta have shown resilience but their away form is a concern coming off a draw. Although efficiency and set piece data is limited the structural indicators favour the home side. Zaragoza will look to dominate and create chances while Ceuta must defend stoutly and seek counters. Overall the home team are expected to edge this competitive fixture and gain vital breathing space in the table.

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