Real Valladolid vs Real Zaragoza Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla Sat, 9 May - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Real Valladolid REV
Versus
Real Zaragoza ZAR
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 4:30 PM
Round 39 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Real Valladolid welcomes Real Zaragoza to Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla in a crucial La Liga 2 regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 15th in the table, Valladolid hold a comfortable edge over 21st-placed Zaragoza, who are battling relegation pressures. Power ratings tilt marginally towards the visitors at 57.96 against 56, granting Zaragoza a slim 2-point advantage. However, form tells a different story, with Valladolid boasting a robust 14.89 score compared to Zaragoza's dismal 4.67, suggesting momentum swings in the hosts' favor. Both sides lack recent outing details, but league standings underscore Valladolid's stability. Set piece and efficiency metrics remain unavailable due to low-confidence proxies, leaving analysis focused on broader trends. Expect a tight affair where home advantage could prove decisive in this mid-table scrap.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Real Zaragoza possesses a slight 2-point power advantage over Real Valladolid with scores of 57.96 to 56.
  • Form: Real Valladolid shows stronger recent form at 14.89 versus Real Zaragoza's 4.67.
  • Squad: Real Valladolid sits 15th in La Liga 2, ahead of 21st-placed Real Zaragoza.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics not available in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable for Real Valladolid and Real Zaragoza.
  • Market: Real Valladolid 45% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29% (Δ+0%) | Real Zaragoza 26% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Real Valladolid F. Escriba Segura
F. Escriba Segura
VS
Real Zaragoza D. Navarro Arenaz
D. Navarro Arenaz
0.92
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.12
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Las Palmas Rank: 71 L
Real Sociedad II Rank: 59 W
FC Andorra Rank: 64 L
SD Eibar Rank: 69 D
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 56 L
Cádiz Rank: 56 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Granada Rank: 64 L
Huesca Rank: 57 L
Ceuta Rank: 59 D
Córdoba Rank: 65 L
Mirandés Rank: 59 L
Leganés Rank: 64 D
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 5 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Real Valladolid
44.99%
Draw
29.03%
Away Real Zaragoza
25.99%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56
57.96
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Valladolid
Real Zaragoza
Power Score
56
57.96
League Position
15
21
Global Rank
474
556

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Real Valladolid — Opponent-weighted form score
Real Zaragoza — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Valladolid Real Zaragoza

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 20 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Valladolid REV Home
20 matches
Real Zaragoza ZAR Away
Match Record
11
Wins
4
5
Draws
5
4
Losses
11
Goals
30
Goals Scored
19
19
Goals Conceded
30
+11
Goal Difference
-11

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T02:04:54+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
Á. Aceves Catalina
1 Á. Aceves Catalina
C. Michelin
2 C. Michelin
P. Tomeo Félez
15 P. Tomeo Félez
M. Jaouab
23 M. Jaouab
C. Clerc Martínez
18 C. Clerc Martínez
L. Sanseviero
19 L. Sanseviero
J. Ponceau
21 J. Ponceau
M. Lachuer
6 M. Lachuer
S. Biuk
17 S. Biuk
I. San José Cantalejo
20 I. San José Cantalejo
V. Meseguer Cavas
8 V. Meseguer Cavas
A. Rodríguez Giménez
13 A. Rodríguez Giménez
J. Larios López
27 J. Larios López
J. El Yamiq
18 J. El Yamiq
P. Ínsua Blanco
4 P. Ínsua Blanco
M. Aguirregabiria Padilla
20 M. Aguirregabiria Padilla
F. Moyano Jiménez
17 F. Moyano Jiménez
J. Gutiérrez Parejo
10 J. Gutiérrez Parejo
F. Gracia
14 F. Gracia
R. González Bayón
11 R. González Bayón
D. Gómez Alcón
9 D. Gómez Alcón
K. Kodro
19 K. Kodro

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 39 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Capacity :
27618
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Álvaro Aceves
Álvaro Aceves Goalkeeper
6.69
19
Lucas Sanseviero
Lucas Sanseviero Midfielder
6.56
17
Stipe Biuk
Stipe Biuk Midfielder
6.74
20
Chuki
Chuki Attacker
6.99
8
Víctor Meseguer
Víctor Meseguer Attacker
6.76
18
Carlos Clerc
Carlos Clerc Left Back
6.65
21
Julien Ponceau
Julien Ponceau Central Midfield
6.84
23
Mohamed Jaouab
Mohamed Jaouab Left Back
6.48
2
Clément Michelin
Clément Michelin Right Back
6.72
6
Mathis Lachuer
Mathis Lachuer Central Midfield
6.63
15
Pablo Tomeo
Pablo Tomeo Right Back
6.73

Starting XI ▼

13
Adrián Rodríguez
Adrián Rodríguez Goalkeeper
6.88
11
Rober González
Rober González Midfielder
7.07
17
Sebas Moyano
Sebas Moyano Midfielder
6.86
9
Dani Gómez
Dani Gómez Attacker
6.77
19
Kenan Kodro
Kenan Kodro Attacker
6.77
10
Raúl Guti
Raúl Guti Central Midfield
6.91
18
Jawad El Yamiq
Jawad El Yamiq Left Back
7.02
20
Martín Aguirregabiria
Martín Aguirregabiria Right Back
6.78
27
Juan Larios
Juan Larios Left Back
6.6
4
Pablo Insua
Pablo Insua Right Back
5.29
14
Francho Serrano
Francho Serrano Central Midfield
6.84

CONCLUSION

Valladolid's superior form and higher league position position them as marginal favorites despite Zaragoza's power edge. Home support at José Zorrilla could amplify the hosts' momentum, potentially exploiting Zaragoza's poor run. Without detailed set piece or efficiency insights, the matchup hinges on overall execution and defensive solidity. Zaragoza must summon resilience to overturn the form gap, but Valladolid's consistency suggests they edge this encounter. A draw remains plausible in this evenly poised La Liga 2 battle.

Real Valladolid vs Real Zaragoza preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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