Real Sociedad vs Osasuna Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Anoeta Stadium Sun, 15 Mar - 8:00 PM
La Liga
Real Sociedad RSO
3 Winner 1
Osasuna OSA
Full Time Sun, 15 Mar 8:00 PM
Mikel Oyarzabal - 24' (P)
Gonçalo Guedes - 28', 52'
Goal
|
Goal
Víctor Muñoz - 76'

CONTEXT

The match between Real Sociedad and Osasuna has officially finished, with Real Sociedad securing a comfortable 3-1 victory. The hosts took control early, establishing a 2-0 lead by half-time. This result fully aligned with the pre-match market, which heavily favored Real Sociedad with a 49.5% probability of winning, compared to a 26.3% chance of a draw and just 24.3% for an Osasuna upset. Despite the expected victory, Real Sociedad generated a significant positive deviation from the baseline, outperforming expectations by 50.5%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for both teams in this fixture, meaning it cannot be determined if the final outcome was strictly consistent with the underlying quality of chances. However, the game's overall efficiency shift was ultimately in line with general expectations. Interestingly, Osasuna managed to slightly edge the overall possession battle, holding 51% of the ball compared to Real Sociedad's 49%, but the visitors could not capitalize on that time in possession. The match concluded without any red cards, ensuring both teams competed with a full lineup for the entire contest and avoiding any major disciplinary impacts on the final score.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Real Sociedad showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
G. Cuadra Fernández
G. Cuadra Fernández
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.07
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.07
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
G. Porras Ayuso
G. Porras Ayuso
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.07
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.07
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
A. Estévez Iglesias
A. Estévez Iglesias
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.07
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.07
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
J. Pardeiro Puente
J. Pardeiro Puente
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.07
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.07
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Real Sociedad P. Matarazzo
P. Matarazzo
VS
Osasuna A. Lisci
A. Lisci
1.53
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.29
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Elche Rank: 73 W
Athletic Club Rank: 80 D
Celta de Vigo Rank: 81 W
FC Barcelona Rank: 94 W
Getafe Rank: 74 W
Atlético Madrid Rank: 89 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Madrid Rank: 93 W
Elche Rank: 73 D
Celta de Vigo Rank: 81 W
Villarreal Rank: 83 D
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 76 W
Real Oviedo Rank: 70 W
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 8 - 8
8

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Real Sociedad
49.46%
Draw
26.29%
Away Osasuna
24.25%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
81.42
77.25
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Sociedad
Osasuna
Power Score
81.42
77.25
League Position
7
11
Global Rank
51
76

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Real Sociedad — Opponent-weighted form score
Osasuna — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Sociedad Osasuna

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Real Sociedad

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Osasuna

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Real Sociedad ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Osasuna
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.47
34.61
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.61
33.47
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Real Sociedad -0.11 Efficiency Index
vs
Osasuna +0.11 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Real Sociedad
Osasuna
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Real Sociedad
vs
Osasuna
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Real Sociedad Osasuna
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+1.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Real Sociedad Osasuna
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Real Sociedad
Osasuna
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Sociedad RSO Home
11 matches
Osasuna OSA Away
Match Record
6
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
3
Losses
6
Goals
14
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
14
+6
Goal Difference
-6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T13:49:09+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
A. Remiro Gargallo
Spain
1 A. Remiro Gargallo
J. Aramburu
Venezuela
2 J. Aramburu
I. Zubeldía Elorza
Spain
5 I. Zubeldía Elorza
D. Ćaleta-Car
Croatia
16 D. Ćaleta-Car
S. Gómez
Spain
17 S. Gómez
B. Turrientes Imaz
Substitution
Spain
8 B. Turrientes Imaz
A. Barrenetxea Muguruza
Substitution
Spain
7 A. Barrenetxea Muguruza
B. Méndez Portela
Substitution
Spain
23 B. Méndez Portela
C. Soler Barragán
Spain
18 C. Soler Barragán
G. Ganchinho Guedes
Substitution
Portugal
11 G. Ganchinho Guedes
M. Oyarzabal Ugarte
Spain
10 (C) M. Oyarzabal Ugarte
S. Herrera Pirón
Spain
1 S. Herrera Pirón
J. Galán Gil
Spain
20 J. Galán Gil
F. Boyomos
Cameroon
22 F. Boyomos
A. Catena Marugán
Substitution
Spain
24 A. Catena Marugán
V. Rosier
France
19 V. Rosier
L. Torró Marset
Substitution
Spain
6 L. Torró Marset
J. Moncayola Tollar
Substitution
Spain
7 (C) J. Moncayola Tollar
R. Moro Prescoli
Substitution
Spain
18 R. Moro Prescoli
A. Oroz
Substitution
Spain
10 A. Oroz
V. Muñoz Villanueva
Spain
21 V. Muñoz Villanueva
A. Budimir
Croatia
17 A. Budimir

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 15, 2026, 08:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Stadium
Anoeta Stadium
Capacity
40000
Attendance
30856
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Guillermo Cuadra Fernández
Guadalupe Porras Ayuso
Alejandro Estévez Iglesias
José Alberto Pardeiro Puente

Statistics

Possession
RSO
49%
OSA
51%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 1
14 Shots 13
48 Dangerous attacks 93
49 Possession 51
3 Corners 5
10 Free kicks 16
3 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

8 Successful Dribbles 11
57 Successful Dribbles Percentage 55
7 Successful Headers 17
83 Ball Safe 77
21 Throwins 16
14 Dribble Attempts 20
0 Hit Woodwork 1
8 Goal Kicks 11
1 Penalties 0
2 Assists 1
5 Substitutions 5
3 Injuries 0
15 Goal Attempts 11

Attacking

84 Attacks 106
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

459 Passes 462
84 Successful Passes Percentage 83
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 49
13 Key Passes 12
385 Successful Passes 382
59 Long Passes 59
31 Successful Long Passes 29

Defensive

17 Tackles 14
10 Interceptions 9
3 Saves 3

Build-up

10 Total Crosses 19
1 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

16 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Guillermo Cuadra Fernández

Starting XI ▼

1
Álex Remiro
Álex Remiro Goalkeeper
6.81
2
Jon Aramburu
Jon Aramburu Defender
6.76
5
Igor Zubeldia
Igor Zubeldia Defender
6.09
16
Duje Caleta-Car
Duje Caleta-Car Defender
6.63
17
Sergio Gómez
Sergio Gómez Defender
7.04
7
Ander Barrenetxea
Ander Barrenetxea Midfielder
7.38
22
Wesley
Wesley
Attacker84'
6.39
8
Beñat Turrientes
Beñat Turrientes Midfielder
7.92
12
Yangel Herrera
Yangel Herrera
Midfielder63'
6.38
11
Gonçalo Guedes
Gonçalo Guedes Midfielder
2
8.64
15
Pablo Marín
Pablo Marín
Midfielder63'
6.31
18
Carlos Soler
Carlos Soler Midfielder
7.03
23
Brais Méndez
Brais Méndez Midfielder
7.31
24
Luka Sucic
Luka Sucic
Midfielder64'
6.59
10
Mikel Oyarzabal
Mikel Oyarzabal (C) Attacker
6.51
Referee : Guillermo Cuadra Fernández

Starting XI ▼

1
Sergio Herrera
Sergio Herrera Goalkeeper
6.57
19
Valentin Rosier
Valentin Rosier Defender
6.6
20
Javi Galán
Javi Galán Defender
6.94
22
Enzo Boyomo
Enzo Boyomo Defender
6.17
24
Alejandro Catena
Alejandro Catena Defender
6.29
5
Jorge Herrando
Jorge Herrando
Defender58'
6.58
6
Lucas Torró
Lucas Torró Midfielder
6.5
16
Moi Gómez
Moi Gómez
Attacker46'
6.69
7
Jon Moncayola
Jon Moncayola (C) Midfielder
6.56
29
Asier Osambela
Asier Osambela
Midfielder84'
6.58
10
Aimar Oroz
Aimar Oroz Midfielder
6.82
11
Kike Barja
Kike Barja
Attacker74'
6.92
18
Raúl Moro
Raúl Moro Midfielder
6.55
8
Iker Muñoz
Iker Muñoz
Midfielder46'
6.66
21
Víctor Muñoz
Víctor Muñoz Midfielder
7.7
17
Ante Budimir
Ante Budimir Attacker
6.71

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Wesley → Ander Barrenetxea
10th Substitution
84'
84'
Event
Asier Osambela → Jon Moncayola
9th Substitution
Event
Igor Zubeldia
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
82'
Event
Orri Óskarsson
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
78'
76'
Event
Víctor Muñoz
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
74'
Event
Kike Barja → Aimar Oroz
8th Substitution
Event
Orri Óskarsson → Yangel Herrera
7th Substitution
69'
Event
Luka Sucic → Brais Méndez
6th Substitution
64'
Event
Pablo Marín → Gonçalo Guedes
5th Substitution
63'
Event
Yangel Herrera → Beñat Turrientes
4th Substitution
63'
Event
Beñat Turrientes
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
59'
58'
Event
Jorge Herrando → Alejandro Catena
3rd Substitution
Event
Gonçalo Guedes
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
52'
46'
Event
Iker Muñoz → Raúl Moro
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Moi Gómez → Lucas Torró
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Gonçalo Guedes
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
28'
Event
Mikel Oyarzabal
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
24'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Pablo Marín of Real Sociedad earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
90
Update Update
Iker Muñoz from Osasuna committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Javi Galán from Osasuna earned a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
Mikel Oyarzabal from Real Sociedad committed a foul.
90
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Luka Sucic from Real Sociedad attempted a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 6 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: Real Sociedad 3, Osasuna 1.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Víctor Muñoz from Osasuna attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went over the goal and to the right. The assist came from Javi Galán.
87
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Kike Barja from Osasuna attempted a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: Wesley comes on to replace Ander Barrenetxea.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: Asier Osambela comes on to replace Jon Moncayola.
83
Update Update
Orri Óskarsson from Real Sociedad was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
83
Update Update
Jorge Herrando from Osasuna committed a foul.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Igor Zubeldia of Real Sociedad has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
80
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Ander Barrenetxea from Real Sociedad attempted a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area.
79
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Orri Óskarsson of Real Sociedad attempts a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it goes just wide. The chance was set up by Carlos Soler during a quick counterattack.
78
Update Update
Orri Óskarsson from Real Sociedad committed a foul.
78
Update Update
Javi Galán from Osasuna was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Orri Óskarsson of Real Sociedad has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
77
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Real Sociedad 3, Osasuna 1. Víctor Muñoz scores for Osasuna with a left-footed shot from a challenging angle on the left, finding the top left corner of the net. The assist came from Kike Barja.
75
Update Update
Moi Gómez from Osasuna has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
75
Update Update
Ander Barrenetxea from Real Sociedad committed a foul.
75
Update Update
Jon Aramburu from Real Sociedad was awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
75
Update Update
Kike Barja from Osasuna committed a foul.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: Kike Barja comes on to replace Aimar Oroz.
72
Update Update
Valentin Rosier from Osasuna has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
72
Update Update
Pablo Marín from Real Sociedad committed a foul.
71
Update Update
Valentin Rosier of Osasuna has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
70
Update Update
Valentin Rosier from Osasuna committed a foul.
70
Update Update
Ander Barrenetxea from Real Sociedad was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: Orri Óskarsson replaces Yangel Herrera due to an injury.
67
Update Update
Aimar Oroz from Osasuna committed a foul.
67
Update Update
Carlos Soler of Real Sociedad has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: Yangel Herrera comes on to replace Gonçalo Guedes.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: Pablo Marín comes on to replace Ander Barrenetxea.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: Yangel Herrera replaces Beñat Turrientes.
62
Update Update
Iker Muñoz from Osasuna has been awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
62
Update Update
Ander Barrenetxea from Real Sociedad committed a foul.
61
Update Update
Aimar Oroz from Osasuna earned a free kick in the defensive zone.
61
Corner Corner
Opportunity wasted. Ante Budimir of Osasuna attempted a header from the center of the box but failed to convert. The chance was set up by Moi Gómez, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
61
Update Update
Igor Zubeldia from Real Sociedad committed a foul.
60
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Aimar Oroz of Osasuna fires a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked.
60
Attempt Attempt
The shot has been deflected! Iker Muñoz from Osasuna attempted a header from within the six-yard area on the left side, but it was stopped. The assist came from Aimar Oroz, who delivered a cross.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Osasuna after Brais Méndez allowed the ball to go out.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Osasuna after Brais Méndez allowed the ball to go out.
59
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Beñat Turrientes of Real Sociedad has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
59
Update Update
Iker Muñoz from Osasuna has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
59
Update Update
Beñat Turrientes from Real Sociedad committed a foul.
58
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: Jorge Herrando replaces Alejandro Catena.
58
Update Update
Jon Aramburu of Real Sociedad committed a foul.
58
Update Update
Aimar Oroz from Osasuna was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
57
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive move unfolds as Carlos Soler from Real Sociedad takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area. However, the attempt is thwarted by Osasuna's goalkeeper, Sergio Herrera, who makes a save right in the middle of the goal. The assist for this play comes from Ander Barrenetxea.
54
Update Update
Víctor Muñoz from Osasuna earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
54
Update Update
Jon Aramburu of Real Sociedad committed a foul.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Real Sociedad after Jon Moncayola allowed the ball to go out.
52
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Real Sociedad leads Osasuna 3-0. Gonçalo Guedes scores with a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, finding the top right corner of the net. The assist comes from Beñat Turrientes.
51
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive move unfolds as Víctor Muñoz from Osasuna takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area. However, Álex Remiro of Real Sociedad makes a fantastic save, catching the ball at the top center of the goal. The assist came from Javi Galán.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Osasuna after a foul by Igor Zubeldia.
49
Update Update
Opportunity squandered. Aimar Oroz from Osasuna attempted a header from the center of the penalty area but sent it wide to the left. The cross was delivered by Jon Moncayola.
48
Update Update
Iker Muñoz from Osasuna was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
48
Update Update
Ander Barrenetxea from Real Sociedad committed a foul.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Osasuna after Carlos Soler allowed the ball to go out.
46
Update Update
Javi Galán from Osasuna committed a foul.
46
Update Update
Mikel Oyarzabal from Real Sociedad earned a free kick on the right flank.
45
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Igor Zubeldia from Real Sociedad.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: Moi Gómez comes on to replace Lucas Torró.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with Real Sociedad leading Osasuna 2-0.
45
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
45
Update Update
Brais Méndez from Real Sociedad was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be three minutes of stoppage time.
45
Corner Corner
A new offensive effort unfolds as Aimar Oroz from Osasuna takes a left-footed shot from the center of the box. However, Álex Remiro of Real Sociedad makes a save, directing the ball to the left corner. The assist came from Ante Budimir.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score at Real Sociedad 2, Osasuna 0.
45
Update Update
Enzo Boyomo from Osasuna committed a foul.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: Iker Muñoz comes on to replace Raúl Moro.
43
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive play unfolds as Ander Barrenetxea from Real Sociedad takes a challenging shot with his right foot from the right side. However, the effort is thwarted by goalkeeper Sergio Herrera, who makes a save right in the middle of the goal. The assist came from Carlos Soler.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Real Sociedad after Javi Galán allowed the ball to go out.
41
Corner Corner
Opportunity squandered. Sergio Gómez of Real Sociedad took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area that narrowly missed the target. The assist came from Ander Barrenetxea following a corner kick.
40
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Real Sociedad after Alejandro Catena allowed the ball to go out of play.
36
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is denied. Raúl Moro from Osasuna takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist was provided by Enzo Boyomo.
32
Update Update
Igor Zubeldia of Real Sociedad committed a foul.
32
Update Update
Ante Budimir of Osasuna earned a free kick in the defensive area.
31
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
30
Update Update
The game is currently paused due to an injury to Mikel Oyarzabal from Real Sociedad.
30
Update Update
Aimar Oroz from Osasuna commits a handball foul.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Real Sociedad leads Osasuna 2-0. Gonçalo Guedes scores with a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, finding the left corner of the net. The assist came from Beñat Turrientes.
26
Update Update
Jon Aramburu from Real Sociedad committed a foul.
26
Update Update
Lucas Torró from Osasuna has earned a free kick in the defensive area.
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Real Sociedad takes the lead 1-0 against Osasuna. Mikel Oyarzabal steps up and successfully converts the penalty, striking it with his left foot into the bottom left corner.
22
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Mikel Oyarzabal of Real Sociedad took a left-footed shot from the center of the box that narrowly missed to the left. The assist came from Ander Barrenetxea.
22
Update Update
Enzo Boyomo of Osasuna has given away a penalty due to a handball in the box.
19
Update Update
Jon Moncayola from Osasuna earned a free kick in an offensive position.
19
Update Update
Beñat Turrientes from Real Sociedad committed a foul.
19
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Enzo Boyomo from Osasuna attempted a header from the center of the penalty area but sent it wide to the left. The assist came from Víctor Muñoz, who delivered a cross.
18
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Jon Aramburu of Real Sociedad took a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it sailed over the goal.
16
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Beñat Turrientes from Real Sociedad takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area. However, Sergio Herrera, the goalkeeper for Osasuna, makes a solid save right in the middle of the goal. The assist for this play comes from Ander Barrenetxea.
16
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Mikel Oyarzabal of Real Sociedad took a right-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but it went just wide to the left. The assist came from Brais Méndez.
15
Update Update
Offside call against Real Sociedad. Gonçalo Guedes has been flagged for being offside.
13
Update Update
Ander Barrenetxea of Real Sociedad was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
13
Update Update
Javi Galán from Osasuna committed a foul.
12
Update Update
Víctor Muñoz from Osasuna heads the ball and strikes the right post from the center of the penalty area, following a cross from Javi Galán.
10
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity goes begging. Ander Barrenetxea of Real Sociedad attempts a right-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box, but it narrowly misses the target. The assist came from Brais Méndez.
9
Update Update
Jon Moncayola from Osasuna earned a free kick in the defensive area.
9
Update Update
Brais Méndez from Real Sociedad committed a foul.
8
Update Update
Mikel Oyarzabal from Real Sociedad earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
8
Update Update
Lucas Torró from Osasuna committed a foul.
7
Update Update
Raúl Moro from Osasuna has earned a free kick in the defensive area.
7
Update Update
Jon Aramburu of Real Sociedad committed a foul.
6
Update Update
Ante Budimir from Osasuna earned a free kick in an offensive position.
6
Update Update
Igor Zubeldia from Real Sociedad committed a foul.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Osasuna, following a save by Álex Remiro.
4
Corner Corner
A new offensive play unfolds as Valentin Rosier from Osasuna takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's expertly saved in the bottom right corner by Real Sociedad's Álex Remiro. The assist came from Jon Moncayola.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Real Sociedad exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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