Real Betis vs Panathinaikos Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa League, Europe
Thu, 19 Mar - 8:00 PM
Europa League
Real Betis BET
4 Winner 0
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
Full Time Thu, 19 Mar 8:00 PM
Round of 16 Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 4 - 1
Aitor Ruibal - 8'
Sofyan Amrabat - 45+1'
Cucho Hernández - 53'
Antony - 66'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Real Betis 4–0 Panathinaikos. The result saw Real Betis take the points. Real Betis showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Real Betis 2.5 – 0.4 Panathinaikos. Possession was 62%–38%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Real Betis showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
  • Market: Real Betis 67.7% | Draw 20.7% | Panathinaikos 11.6%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Real Betis M. Pellegrini
M. Pellegrini
VS
Panathinaikos R. Benítez Maudes
R. Benítez Maudes
2.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.55
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 78 W
FC Utrecht Rank: 71 W
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: 81 W
Genk Rank: 76 D
Ludogorets Rank: W
Nottingham Forest Rank: 83 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Betis Rank: 82 W
Viktoria Plzeň Rank: 74 D
Viktoria Plzeň Rank: 73 D
Roma Rank: 83 D
Ferencvárosi Rank: 70 D
Viktoria Plzeň Rank: 73 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Real Betis
67.71%
Draw
20.69%
Away Panathinaikos
11.6%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
82.12
74.19
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Betis
Panathinaikos
Power Score
82.12
74.19
League Position
4
20
Global Rank
46
104

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Real Betis — Opponent-weighted form score
Panathinaikos — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Betis Panathinaikos

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Real Betis

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Panathinaikos

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Real Betis ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Panathinaikos
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
38.15
14.08
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
14.08
38.15
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Real Betis +2.30 Efficiency Index
vs
Panathinaikos -2.30 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Real Betis
Panathinaikos
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Real Betis
vs
Panathinaikos
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Real Betis Panathinaikos
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Real Betis Panathinaikos
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Real Betis
Panathinaikos
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Betis BET Home
1 matches
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-20T12:32:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 5-4-1
Pitch
P. López Sabata
Spain
25 P. López Sabata
H. Bellerín Moruno
Spain
2 H. Bellerín Moruno
M. Bartra Aregall
Spain
5 (C) M. Bartra Aregall
Natan
Brazil
4 Natan
R. Rodríguez Araya
Switzerland
12 R. Rodríguez Araya
A. dos Santos
Brazil
7 A. dos Santos
P. Fornals Malla
Substitution
Spain
8 P. Fornals Malla
S. Amrabat
Substitution
Morocco
14 S. Amrabat
A. Ezzalzouli
Substitution
Morocco
10 A. Ezzalzouli
A. Ruibal García
Substitution
Spain
24 A. Ruibal García
J. Hernández Suárez
Substitution
Colombia
19 J. Hernández Suárez
A. Lafont
France
40 A. Lafont
G. Kiriakopoulos
Greece
77 G. Kiriakopoulos
J. Hernández Cabrera
Spain
26 J. Hernández Cabrera
S. Ingason
Iceland
15 S. Ingason
G. Katris
Substitution
Greece
3 G. Katris
D. Calabria
Italy
2 D. Calabria
V. Taborda
Substitution
Argentina
20 V. Taborda
A. Bakasetas
Substitution
Greece
11 (C) A. Bakasetas
R. Luz Sanches
Substitution
Portugal
8 R. Luz Sanches
F. Pellistri Rebollo
Substitution
Uruguay
28 F. Pellistri Rebollo
A. Tetteh
Ghana
7 A. Tetteh

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 19, 2026, 08:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Europa League, Europe · Round of 16 · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 4 - 1
Stadium
,
Capacity
N/A
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Matthias Jöllenbeck
Lasse Koslowski
Mark Borsch
Tobias Stieler

Statistics

Possession
BET
61%
Panathinaikos
39%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
5 Big Chances Created 1
22 Shots 4
33 Dangerous attacks 27
62 Possession 38
4 Corners 1
10 Free kicks 4
1 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

9 Throwins 19
13 Successful Dribbles 10
20 Dribble Attempts 15
65 Successful Dribbles Percentage 67
2 Goal Kicks 9
15 Successful Headers 7
1 Hit Woodwork 0
72 Ball Safe 74
17 Goal Attempts 2
2 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 5
1 Injuries 0

Attacking

141 Attacks 90
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

651 Passes 382
91 Successful Passes Percentage 82
17 Key Passes 4
18 Successful Long Passes 16
49 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39
590 Successful Passes 312
37 Long Passes 41

Defensive

12 Tackles 16
2 Saves 7
14 Interceptions 5
48 Duels Won 37

Build-up

9 Total Crosses 8
2 Accurate Crosses 0

Discipline

4 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Tobias Stieler

Starting XI ▼

25
Pau López
Pau López Goalkeeper
6.99
2
Héctor Bellerín
Héctor Bellerín Defender
6.96
4
Natan
Natan Defender
7.76
5
Marc Bartra
Marc Bartra (C) Defender
7.42
12
Ricardo Rodríguez
Ricardo Rodríguez Defender
6.85
7
Antony
Antony Midfielder
9.11
8
Pablo Fornals
Pablo Fornals Midfielder
7.42
6
Sergi Altimira
Sergi Altimira
Midfielder74'
6.63
10
Abde Ezzalzouli
Abde Ezzalzouli Midfielder
7.6
17
Rodrigo Riquelme
Rodrigo Riquelme
Midfielder90'
14
Sofyan Amrabat
Sofyan Amrabat Midfielder
7.53
21
Marc Roca
Marc Roca
Midfielder63'
7.07
19
Cucho Hernández
Cucho Hernández Attacker
7.93
9
Chimy Ávila
Chimy Ávila
Attacker73'
6.88
24
Aitor Ruibal
Aitor Ruibal Attacker
7.98
15
Álvaro Fidalgo
Álvaro Fidalgo
Midfielder62'
6.79
Referee : Tobias Stieler

Starting XI ▼

40
Alban Lafont
Alban Lafont Goalkeeper
7.09
2
Davide Calabria
Davide Calabria Defender
6.02
3
Georgios Katris
Georgios Katris Defender
6.19
19
Karol Świderski
Karol Świderski
Attacker72'
6.55
15
Sverrir Ingi Ingason
Sverrir Ingi Ingason Defender
6.1
26
Javi Hernández
Javi Hernández Defender
6.08
77
Giorgos Kiriakopoulos
Giorgos Kiriakopoulos Defender
5.86
8
Renato Sanches
Renato Sanches Midfielder
6.74
4
Pedro Chirivella
Pedro Chirivella
Midfielder55'
6.55
11
Anastasios Bakasetas
Anastasios Bakasetas (C) Midfielder
6.42
16
Adam Gnezda Cerin
Adam Gnezda Cerin
Midfielder55'
6.59
20
Vicente Taborda
Vicente Taborda Midfielder
5.55
6
Manolis Siopis
Manolis Siopis
Midfielder85'
6.59
28
Facundo Pellistri
Facundo Pellistri Midfielder
6.52
31
Filip Djuricic
Filip Djuricic
Midfielder72'
6.43
7
Andreas Tetteh
Andreas Tetteh Attacker
6.62

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
5th Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
Rodrigo Riquelme → Abde Ezzalzouli
10th Substitution
90'
89'
Event
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
85'
Event
Manolis Siopis → Vicente Taborda
9th Substitution
83'
Event
Filip Djuricic 
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Sergi Altimira → Pablo Fornals
8th Substitution
74'
Event
Chimy Ávila → Cucho Hernández
7th Substitution
73'
72'
Event
Filip Djuricic  → Facundo Pellistri 
5th Substitution
72'
Event
Karol Świderski → Georgios Katris
6th Substitution
Event
Antony
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
66'
Event
Marc Roca → Sofyan Amrabat
4th Substitution
63'
Event
Álvaro Fidalgo → Aitor Ruibal
3rd Substitution
62'
55'
Event
Adam Gnezda Cerin → Anastasios Bakasetas 
1st Substitution
55'
Event
Pedro Chirivella  → Renato Sanches
2nd Substitution
55'
Event
Giorgos Kiriakopoulos
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Cucho Hernández
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
53'
1ST-HALF
Event
Sofyan Amrabat
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
45+1'
19'
Event
Vicente Taborda
Handball / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Aitor Ruibal
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
8'

Match Commentary

90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Betis: Rodrigo Riquelme comes on to replace Abde Ezzalzouli.
90
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Rodrigo Riquelme from Real Betis takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully stopped.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Chimy Ávila of Real Betis has been shown a yellow card.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be four minutes of stoppage time.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Real Betis after a defensive play by Javi Hernández.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: Real Betis 4, Panathinaikos 0.
89
Update Update
Filip Djuricic of Panathinaikos committed a foul.
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Filip Djuricic of Panathinaikos has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
89
Update Update
Abde Ezzalzouli from Real Betis was awarded a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
87
Update Update
Álvaro Fidalgo from Real Betis committed a foul.
87
Update Update
Karol Swiderski from Panathinaikos earned a free kick in the defensive area.
87
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Chimy Ávila of Real Betis attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area after a quick counterattack.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Panathinaikos: Manolis Siopis replaces Vicente Taborda.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Real Betis after a save by Alban Lafont.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Real Betis after Alban Lafont allowed the ball to go out.
82
Update Update
Marc Bartra from Real Betis was awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
82
Update Update
Vicente Taborda from Panathinaikos committed a foul.
81
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
81
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive effort underway. Antony from Real Betis takes a left-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but it's stopped by the goalkeeper.
79
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Marc Roca of Real Betis.
79
Update Update
Match is currently paused due to an injury to Vicente Taborda from Panathinaikos.
79
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity. Chimy Ávila of Real Betis attempted a header from a challenging angle on the right but sent it over the bar and off to the right. The chance was set up by Antony, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Real Betis after a save by Alban Lafont.
78
Update Update
Andrews Tetteh from Panathinaikos committed a foul.
78
Update Update
Ricardo Rodríguez from Real Betis has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
78
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Marc Roca from Real Betis takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area. Alban Lafont of Panathinaikos makes a great save, pushing the ball to the right corner. The assist came from Antony.
77
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Abde Ezzalzouli of Real Betis attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
75
Update Update
Ricardo Rodríguez from Real Betis has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
75
Update Update
Filip Djuricic committed a foul against Panathinaikos.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Betis: Sergi Altimira comes on to replace Pablo Fornals.
74
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Panathinaikos: Karol Swiderski comes on to replace Giorgos Katris, who is leaving the field due to an injury.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Betis: Chimy Ávila makes way for Cucho Hernández.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Panathinaikos: Filip Djuricic comes on to replace Facundo Pellistri.
71
Update Update
Match is currently on hold due to an injury to Giorgos Katris of Panathinaikos.
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Real Betis leads 4-0 against Panathinaikos. Antony scores with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, placing it into the bottom right corner. The assist comes from Abde Ezzalzouli.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Betis: Marc Roca replaces Sofyan Amrabat.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Betis: Álvaro Fidalgo comes on to replace Aitor Ruibal.
57
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Abde Ezzalzouli from Real Betis takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Aitor Ruibal.
56
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Antony from Real Betis takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sails over the goal following a free kick.
55
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Panathinaikos: Pedro Chirivella comes on to replace Tasos Bakasetas.
55
Update Update
Georgios Kyriakopoulos of Panathinaikos committed a foul.
55
Update Update
Antony from Real Betis has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
55
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Panathinaikos: Adam Gnezda Cerin comes on to replace Renato Sanches.
55
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Georgios Kyriakopoulos of Panathinaikos has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Real Betis leads 3-0 against Panathinaikos. Cucho Hernández scores with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, placing it perfectly into the right corner. The assist comes from Aitor Ruibal.
52
Update Update
Renato Sanches commits a foul against Panathinaikos.
52
Update Update
Abde Ezzalzouli from Real Betis has earned a free kick in an offensive position.
51
Update Update
Georgios Kyriakopoulos from Panathinaikos committed a foul.
51
Update Update
Antony from Real Betis has been awarded a free kick on the right flank.
49
Attempt Attempt
Unsuccessful opportunity. Renato Sanches of Panathinaikos attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be one minute of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score at Real Betis 2, Panathinaikos 0.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Real Betis leads 2-0 against Panathinaikos. Sofyan Amrabat scores for Real Betis with a powerful right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, finding the top left corner of the net.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with Real Betis leading Panathinaikos 2-0.
40
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
39
Update Update
Match interruption due to an injury to Natan from Real Betis.
39
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Andrews Tetteh from Panathinaikos.
35
Update Update
Sofyan Amrabat of Real Betis has earned a free kick in the defensive area.
35
Update Update
Facundo Pellistri committed a foul against a player from Panathinaikos.
33
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive push is underway. Andrews Tetteh from Panathinaikos takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Pau López, the goalkeeper for Real Betis, makes a save right in the middle of the goal. The assist came from Facundo Pellistri.
33
Attempt Attempt
Cucho Hernández from Real Betis had a shot from outside the penalty area with his right foot, but it was blocked. The assist came from Abde Ezzalzouli.
30
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Antony from Real Betis takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area that comes close but fails to hit the top left corner. The assist was provided by Pablo Fornals after a quick counterattack.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Panathinaikos after a defensive play by Natan.
23
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive effort underway. Pablo Fornals from Real Betis takes a right-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but it's stopped by the goalkeeper.
22
Update Update
Javi Hernández commits a foul for Panathinaikos.
22
Update Update
Antony from Real Betis has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Real Betis after Javi Hernández allowed the ball to go out.
19
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Vicente Taborda of Panathinaikos has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
19
Update Update
Vicente Taborda from Panathinaikos commits a handball foul.
18
Update Update
Aitor Ruibal from Real Betis committed a foul.
18
Update Update
Renato Sanches from Panathinaikos earned a free kick in an offensive position.
16
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive effort underway. Pablo Fornals from Real Betis takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully stopped.
13
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Andrews Tetteh from Panathinaikos fires a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked. The assist came from Tasos Bakasetas.
13
Update Update
Offside call against Panathinaikos. Tasos Bakasetas has been caught in an offside position.
12
Update Update
Pablo Fornals committed a foul against Real Betis.
12
Update Update
Tasos Bakasetas from Panathinaikos has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
11
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is denied. Pablo Fornals from Real Betis had a right-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but it was blocked. The assist came from Antony.
8
Corner Corner
Goal! Real Betis takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against Panathinaikos. Aitor Ruibal found the net with a right-footed shot from close range, placing it perfectly into the bottom right corner.
8
Attempt Attempt
Cucho Hernández from Real Betis strikes the crossbar with a right-footed shot taken from outside the penalty area, with an assist from Sofyan Amrabat.
8
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Real Betis takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against Panathinaikos. Aitor Ruibal fired a right-footed shot from close range into the bottom corner.
7
Update Update
Aitor Ruibal from Real Betis committed a foul.
7
Update Update
Vicente Taborda from Panathinaikos earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
6
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Antony of Real Betis took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed high and to the left. The assist came from Héctor Bellerín.
5
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Facundo Pellistri from Panathinaikos takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but Pau López of Real Betis makes a save in the bottom left corner. The assist comes from Renato Sanches, who delivered a precise through ball.
3
Update Update
Opportunity wasted! Cucho Hernández of Real Betis attempted a header from the center of the box but sent it wide to the left. The assist came from Abde Ezzalzouli, who delivered a cross.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Real Betis exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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