Rayo Vallecano vs Girona Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio de Vallecas Mon, 11 May - 7:00 PM
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano RAY
Versus
Girona GIR
KICKOFF : Mon, 11 May - 7:00 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Rayo Vallecano host Girona at Estadio de Vallecas in a crucial La Liga regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 11th in the table, Rayo hold a clear edge over 16th-placed Girona, bolstered by a superior power score of 78.5 against 75.37, translating to a 3.1-point advantage. Recent form underlines Rayo's momentum with a 22.11 rating dwarfing Girona's 15.28, suggesting the hosts have hit stride at a pivotal juncture. Vallecas remains a fortress for Rayo, where passionate support often fuels gritty performances against mid-to-lower table foes. Girona, struggling for consistency, face a stern test away from home against a side that's structurally stronger. Without recent outing details, focus shifts to underlying metrics favoring the hosts. Set piece and efficiency data remain unavailable, but Rayo's higher league standing and form position them well to capitalize on home advantage in this matchup.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rayo Vallecano possess a structural advantage, ranking 11th with a 78.5 power score versus Girona's 16th place and 75.37.
  • Form: Rayo Vallecano show stronger form at 22.11 compared to Girona's 15.28.
  • Squad: Rayo Vallecano's squad holds a 3.1-point power edge over Girona.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in this preview.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to lack of xG information for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable as data proxy used with low confidence.
  • Market: Rayo Vallecano 41.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.3% (Δ+0%) | Girona 31.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Rayo Vallecano I. Pérez Soto
I. Pérez Soto
VS
Girona M. Sánchez Muñoz
M. Sánchez Muñoz
1.23
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.27
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Getafe Rank: 77 W
Real Sociedad Rank: 80 D
Espanyol Rank: 73 W
Mallorca Rank: 77 L
Elche Rank: 75 W
FC Barcelona Rank: 97 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mallorca Rank: 75 L
Valencia Rank: 76 L
Real Betis Rank: 80 L
Real Madrid Rank: 93 D
Villarreal Rank: 84 W
Osasuna Rank: 78 L
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 7 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rayo Vallecano
41.09%
Draw
27.28%
Away Girona
31.63%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
78.5
75.37
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
Power Score
78.5
75.37
League Position
11
16
Global Rank
75
112

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rayo Vallecano — Opponent-weighted form score
Girona — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rayo Vallecano Girona

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 25 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rayo Vallecano RAY Home
25 matches
Girona GIR Away
Match Record
10
Wins
8
7
Draws
7
8
Losses
10
Goals
33
Goals Scored
33
33
Goals Conceded
33
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:52:06+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
A. Batalla Barga
13 A. Batalla Barga
I. Balliu Campeny
20 I. Balliu Campeny
F. Lejeune
24 F. Lejeune
N. Mendy
32 N. Mendy
J. Vertrouwd
33 J. Vertrouwd
S. Camello Pérez
10 S. Camello Pérez
P. Ciss
6 P. Ciss
G. Gumbau Garriga
15 G. Gumbau Garriga
J. De Frutos Sebastián
19 J. De Frutos Sebastián
A. Zurawski
9 A. Zurawski
L. Espino García
22 L. Espino García
P. Gazzaniga
13 P. Gazzaniga
D. Blind
17 D. Blind
V. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis
12 V. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis
A. Torrijo
16 A. Torrijo
A. Martinez
4 A. Martinez
A. Witsel
20 A. Witsel
F. Beltrán Peinado
8 F. Beltrán Peinado
J. Roca Casals
3 J. Roca Casals
A. Ounahi
18 A. Ounahi
V. Tsygankov
15 V. Tsygankov
C. Echeverri
14 C. Echeverri

General Information

Date & Time :
May 11, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio de Vallecas
Capacity :
14708
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Augusto Batalla
Augusto Batalla Goalkeeper
6.91
22
Alfonso Espino
Alfonso Espino Attacker
6.69
19
Jorge de Frutos
Jorge de Frutos Attacker
6.91
9
Alexandre Zurawski
Alexandre Zurawski Centre Forward
6.62
15
Gerard Gumbau
Gerard Gumbau Central Midfield
6.66
24
Florian Lejeune
Florian Lejeune Right Back
7.09
32
Nobel Mendy
Nobel Mendy Left Back
6.8
33
Jozhua Vertrouwd
Jozhua Vertrouwd Left Back
6.49
20
Iván Balliu
Iván Balliu Right Back
6.53
6
Pathé Ciss
Pathé Ciss Central Midfield
6.89
10
Sergio Camello
Sergio Camello Central Midfield
6.6

Starting XI ▼

13
Paulo Gazzaniga
Paulo Gazzaniga Goalkeeper
6.84
14
Claudio Echeverri
Claudio Echeverri Centre Forward
6.74
4
Arnau Martínez
Arnau Martínez Right Back
6.88
3
Joel Roca
Joel Roca Left Wing
6.57
8
Fran Beltrán
Fran Beltrán Defensive Midfield
6.68
12
Vitor Reis
Vitor Reis Left Back
6.89
15
Viktor Tsygankov
Viktor Tsygankov Right Wing
7.12
16
Alejandro Francés
Alejandro Francés Right Back
6.7
17
Daley Blind
Daley Blind Left Back
6.85
18
Azzedine Ounahi
Azzedine Ounahi Attacking Midfield
7.26
20
Axel Witsel
Axel Witsel Defensive Midfield
6.83

CONCLUSION

Rayo Vallecano enter as favorites against Girona, leveraging home soil at Vallecas, superior power metrics, and better form to target three points. Their 11th-place standing contrasts Girona's precarious 16th, with the 3.1-point edge underscoring structural dominance. While detailed set piece and efficiency insights are absent, Rayo's momentum suggests control in possession and transitions. Girona must defy form trends to salvage anything, but Vallecas' intensity often overwhelms visitors. Expect a competitive affair tilting towards the hosts securing a vital win to climb the table.

Rayo Vallecano vs Girona preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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