Randers FC vs Odense BK Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Cepheus Park Randers Mon, 11 May - 5:00 PM
Superliga
Randers FC RDF
Versus
Odense BK ODE
KICKOFF : Mon, 11 May - 5:00 PM
Round 9 Relegation Round

CONTEXT

In the Superliga's Relegation Round at Cepheus Park Randers, hosts Randers FC face off against Odense BK in a pivotal 2025/2026 season encounter. Randers hold a clear structural edge with a power score of 58.66 against Odense's 48.95, translating to a 9.7-point advantage that underscores their overall quality. Positioned 9th domestically, Randers aim to leverage home support, while 8th-placed Odense boast superior recent form at 18.67 versus Randers' 6.72. This matchup pits resilience against momentum in a battle crucial for survival. Lacking detailed efficiency or set-piece metrics due to unavailable xG data, the focus shifts to raw power and form dynamics. Expect a tense affair where Randers' strength could clash with Odense's hot streak.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Randers FC possesses a 9.7-point power advantage over Odense BK with scores of 58.66 to 48.95.
  • Form: Odense BK shows stronger recent form at 18.67 compared to Randers FC's 6.72.
  • Squad: Randers FC sits 9th and Odense BK 8th in domestic league positions.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for this Superliga fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats rely on low-confidence proxy data without xG for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data absent as indicated in set pieces metadata.
  • Market: Baseline split: Randers FC 42.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.1% (Δ+0%) | Odense BK 31.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Randers FC R. Bertelsen
R. Bertelsen
VS
Odense BK A. Zorniger
A. Zorniger
1.13
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.4
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 49 W
Silkeborg IF Rank: 58 L
Fredericia Rank: 52 D
Odense BK Rank: 56 L
FC København Rank: 70 L
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 49 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Silkeborg IF Rank: 60 L
Fredericia Rank: 53 W
FC København Rank: 69 L
Randers FC Rank: 60 W
Silkeborg IF Rank: 61 L
Fredericia Rank: 53 W
16
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
16 - 19 - 21
21
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Randers FC
42.65%
Draw
26.07%
Away Odense BK
31.28%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.66
48.95
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Randers FC
Odense BK
Power Score
58.66
48.95
League Position
9
8
Global Rank
539
549

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Randers FC — Opponent-weighted form score
Odense BK — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Randers FC Odense BK

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 56 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Randers FC RDF Home
56 matches
Odense BK ODE Away
Match Record
16
Wins
21
19
Draws
19
21
Losses
16
Goals
63
Goals Scored
67
67
Goals Conceded
63
-4
Goal Difference
+4

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:51:52+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
P. Izzo
1 P. Izzo
L. Lissens
2 L. Lissens
D. Høegh
3 D. Høegh
W. Dammers
4 W. Dammers
N. Dyhr
44 N. Dyhr
E. Mahmoud
11 E. Mahmoud
L. Raun Pedersen
8 L. Raun Pedersen
J. Björkengren
6 J. Björkengren
M. Greve
17 M. Greve
W. Caddy
10 W. Caddy
T. Klidje
30 T. Klidje
V. Røsholt Myhra
16 V. Røsholt Myhra
M. McCoy
15 M. McCoy
J. Berthel Askou Harvey
13 J. Berthel Askou Harvey
A. Sørensen
3 A. Sørensen
L. Owusu
20 L. Owusu
R. Falk Jensen
8 R. Falk Jensen
I. Ouédraogo
22 I. Ouédraogo
M. Ejdum
18 M. Ejdum
J. Arp
7 J. Arp
J. Niemiec
11 J. Niemiec
N. Ganaus
17 N. Ganaus

General Information

Date & Time :
May 11, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 9 · Relegation Round
Stadium :
Cepheus Park Randers
Capacity :
12000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Jakob A. Sundberg
Victor Skytte
Danny Kolding
Frederik Svendsen

Expected Lineup

Referee : Jakob A. Sundberg

Starting XI ▼

1
Paul Izzo
Paul Izzo Goalkeeper
6.99
10
Warren Caddy
Warren Caddy Attacker
6.75
30
Thibault Klidjé
Thibault Klidjé Attacker
6.63
2
Lucas Lissens
Lucas Lissens Right Back
6.73
3
Daniel Høegh
Daniel Høegh Right Back
7.06
4
Wessel Dammers
Wessel Dammers Left Back
7.13
6
John Björkengren
John Björkengren Central Midfield
6.99
8
Laurits Pedersen
Laurits Pedersen Central Midfield
6.66
11
Elies Mahmoud
Elies Mahmoud Central Midfield
7.12
17
Mathias Greve
Mathias Greve Attacking Midfield
7.12
44
Nikolas Dyhr
Nikolas Dyhr Left Back
6.66
Referee : Jakob A. Sundberg

Starting XI ▼

16
Viljar Myhra
Viljar Myhra Goalkeeper
6.97
11
Jona Niemiec
Jona Niemiec Attacker
6.73
17
Noah Ganaus
Noah Ganaus Attacker
6.96
3
Adam Sørensen
Adam Sørensen Right Back
6.62
8
Rasmus Falk
Rasmus Falk Central Midfield
7.01
7
Fiete Arp
Fiete Arp Attacking Midfield
7.18
13
Julius Berthel Askou
Julius Berthel Askou Left Back
6.91
15
Marcus McCoy
Marcus McCoy Left Back
6.85
18
Max Ejdum
Max Ejdum Central Midfield
7.02
20
Leeroy Owusu
Leeroy Owusu Right Back
6.88
22
Ismahila Ouédraogo
Ismahila Ouédraogo Central Midfield
6.88

CONCLUSION

Randers FC's power superiority positions them as favorites in this home Relegation Round clash, yet Odense BK's impressive form score introduces uncertainty. At Cepheus Park Randers, the hosts' 9.7-point edge should fuel an aggressive approach, countering Odense's momentum from recent outings. With league spots 9th versus 8th hanging in balance, defensive solidity and opportunistic attacks will decide the outcome. Absent advanced metrics like efficiency or set pieces, raw team strengths point toward a narrow Randers victory, capitalizing on venue familiarity and overall quality to edge ahead in the Superliga survival fight.

Randers FC vs Odense BK preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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