Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia Białystok Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Raków Tomorrow - 6:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
Versus
Jagiellonia Białystok Jagiellonia Białystok
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 6:30 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Raków Częstochowa welcomes Jagiellonia Białystok to Stadion Raków in a key Ekstraklasa regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting third in the standings, Raków hold a clear edge over fifth-placed Jagiellonia, bolstered by a superior power score of 69.29 to 64.54, translating to a 4.8-point advantage. This structural superiority is mirrored in recent form, where Raków's 27.5 rating outpaces Jagiellonia's 14.22, suggesting momentum favors the hosts. As a league encounter, both sides aim to climb the table, with Raków leveraging home advantage at their fortress. Advanced metrics like efficiency and set pieces remain unavailable due to limited xG data, but Raków's higher ranking and form indicate readiness to dominate possession and chances. Jagiellonia must counter with resilience to bridge the gap.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Raków Częstochowa possesses a structural edge with a 69.29 power score against Jagiellonia Białystok's 64.54, yielding a 4.8-point advantage.
  • Form: Raków Częstochowa shows stronger form at 27.5 compared to Jagiellonia Białystok's 14.22.
  • Squad: Raków Częstochowa ranks 3rd in the Ekstraklasa, ahead of 5th-placed Jagiellonia Białystok.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data lacks xG availability and carries low confidence for both squads.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable due to data limitations.
  • Market: Raków Częstochowa 44.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.6% (Δ+0%) | Jagiellonia Białystok 29.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Raków Częstochowa D. Kroczek
D. Kroczek
VS
Jagiellonia Białystok A. Siemieniec
A. Siemieniec
1.53
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.18
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Korona Kielce Rank: 61 W
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 61 W
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 59 W
Motor Lublin Rank: 59 D
Widzew Lodz Rank: 60 D
Legia Warszawa Rank: 65 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 63 D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 66 L
Arka Gdynia Rank: 57 W
Korona Kielce Rank: 60 D
Lech Poznań Rank: 71 D
Wisła Płock Rank: 57 L
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 3 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Raków Częstochowa
44.32%
Draw
26.59%
Away Jagiellonia Białystok
29.09%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.29
64.54
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Raków Częstochowa
Jagiellonia Białystok
Power Score
69.29
64.54
League Position
3
5
Global Rank
227
344

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Raków Częstochowa — Opponent-weighted form score
Jagiellonia Białystok — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Raków Częstochowa Jagiellonia Białystok

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa Home
13 matches
Jagiellonia Białystok Jagiellonia Białystok Away
Match Record
7
Wins
3
3
Draws
3
3
Losses
7
Goals
25
Goals Scored
18
18
Goals Conceded
25
+7
Goal Difference
-7

Data last updated: 2026-05-09T01:08:54+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
May 13, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Raków
Capacity :
11600
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

48
Oliwier Zych
Oliwier Zych Goalkeeper
1
Kacper Trelowski
Kacper Trelowski Goalkeeper
29
Wiktor Żołneczko
Wiktor Żołneczko Goalkeeper
31
Dominik Czeremski
Dominik Czeremski Goalkeeper
27
Paweł Dawidowicz
Paweł Dawidowicz Defender
24
Zoran Arsenić
Zoran Arsenić Defender
4
Efstratios Svarnas
Efstratios Svarnas Defender
25
Bogdan Racovitan
Bogdan Racovitan Defender
2
Ariel Mosór
Ariel Mosór Defender
21
Jerzy Napieraj
Jerzy Napieraj Defender
7
Fran Tudor
Fran Tudor Midfielder
10
Iván López Álvarez
Iván López Álvarez Midfielder
30
Vladyslav Kochergin
Vladyslav Kochergin Midfielder
20
Jean Carlos Silva Rocha
Jean Carlos Silva Rocha Midfielder
26
Erick Ouma Otieno
Erick Ouma Otieno Midfielder
6
Oskar Repka
Oskar Repka Midfielder
5
Marko Bulat
Marko Bulat Midfielder
19
Michael Ameyaw
Michael Ameyaw Midfielder
9
Patryk Makuch
Patryk Makuch Midfielder
23
Karol Struski
Karol Struski Midfielder
8
Tomasz Pieńko
Tomasz Pieńko Midfielder
11
Adriano Luis Amorim Santos
Adriano Luis Amorim Santos Midfielder
35
Mitja Ilenič
Mitja Ilenič Midfielder
44
Bogdan Mirčetić
Bogdan Mirčetić Midfielder
22
Abraham Emmanuel Ojo
Abraham Emmanuel Ojo Midfielder
18
Jonatan Braut Brunes
Jonatan Braut Brunes Attacker
17
Leonardo Miramar Rocha
Leonardo Miramar Rocha Attacker
80
Mohamed Lamine Diaby Fadiga
Mohamed Lamine Diaby Fadiga Attacker
39
Isak Brusberg
Isak Brusberg Attacker

Squad ▼

50
Slawomir Abramowicz
Slawomir Abramowicz Goalkeeper
22
Miłosz Piekutowski
Miłosz Piekutowski Goalkeeper
66
Adrian Damasiewicz
Adrian Damasiewicz Goalkeeper
3
Dušan Stojinovič
Dušan Stojinovič Defender
70
Andy Pelmard
Andy Pelmard Defender
4
Yuki Kobayashi
Yuki Kobayashi Defender
27
Bartłomiej Wdowik
Bartłomiej Wdowik Defender
15
Norbert Wojtuszek
Norbert Wojtuszek Defender
23
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia Defender
44
Apostolos Konstantopoulos
Apostolos Konstantopoulos Defender
13
Bernardo Maria Morais Cardoso Vital
Bernardo Maria Morais Cardoso Vital Defender
6
Taras Romanczuk
Taras Romanczuk Midfielder
11
Jesús Imaz Ballesté
Jesús Imaz Ballesté Midfielder
21
Sergio Lozano Lluch
Sergio Lozano Lluch Midfielder
31
Leon Flach
Leon Flach Midfielder
8
Dawid Drachal
Dawid Drachal Midfielder
86
Bartosz Mazurek
Bartosz Mazurek Midfielder
85
Eryk Kozłowski
Eryk Kozłowski Midfielder
72
Kamil Jóźwiak
Kamil Jóźwiak Attacker
19
Matías Nahuel Leiva Esquivel
Matías Nahuel Leiva Esquivel Attacker
7
Alejandro Pozo Pozo
Alejandro Pozo Pozo Attacker
10
Afimico Pululu
Afimico Pululu Attacker
77
Kajetan Szmyt
Kajetan Szmyt Attacker
17
Youssuf Sylla
Youssuf Sylla Attacker
14
Samed Baždar
Samed Baždar Attacker
9
Dimitris Rallis
Dimitris Rallis Attacker
90
Maciej Kuczyński
Maciej Kuczyński Attacker
80
Zachary Zalewski
Zachary Zalewski Attacker

CONCLUSION

Raków Częstochowa enters as favorites, armed with a higher power score, better form, and superior league position against Jagiellonia Białystok. Home advantage at Stadion Raków could prove decisive in controlling the game's tempo and converting opportunities. While detailed set piece and efficiency insights are absent, Raków's overall metrics point to a composed display likely yielding three points. Jagiellonia faces an uphill battle to disrupt the hosts' rhythm, relying on counter-attacks amid their form deficit. Expect a tactical battle where Raków's edge shines through.

Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia Białystok preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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