Piast Gliwice vs Zagłębie Lubin Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski
Sat, 7 Mar - 4:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice
1
3
3
Zagłębie Lubin
Zagłębie Lubin
Full Time
Sat, 7 Mar
4:30 PM
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz - 22'
|
Josip Corluka - 27'
Damian Michalski - 69'
Michalis Kosidis - 89'
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 16
CONTEXT
Match is finished. Piast Gliwice 1–3 Zagłębie Lubin. The result saw Zagłębie Lubin take the points. Zagłębie Lubin showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 67%–33%.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Zagłębie Lubin showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
-
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
-
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
-
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
-
Event impact: No major event distortion.
-
Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
W. Myć
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
8.67
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
1.27
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
P. Sokolnicki
1st Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
8.67
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
1.27
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
M. Lisowski
2nd Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
8.67
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
1.27
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
L. Lewandowski
4th Official
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
8.67
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
1.27
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
D. Myśliwiec
VS
L. Ojrzynski
1.44
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.88
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cracovia Kraków
Rank:
W
Motor Lublin
Rank:
L
Lech Poznań
Rank:
L
Wisła Płock
Rank:
W
Lech Poznań
Rank:
W
Górnik Zabrze
Rank:
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Wisła Płock
Rank:
W
Lechia Gdańsk
Rank:
W
Raków Częstochowa
Rank:
D
Korona Kielce
Rank:
W
Katowice
Rank:
L
Raków Częstochowa
Rank:
W
13
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 11 - 7
7
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Piast Gliwice
48.13%
Draw
28.36%
Zagłębie Lubin
23.52%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
40.28
56.94
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Piast Gliwice
Zagłębie Lubin
Power Score
40.28
56.94
League Position
14
1
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Piast Gliwice
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Zagłębie Lubin
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Piast Gliwice Zagłębie Lubin
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
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Piast Gliwice
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Zagłębie Lubin
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Piast Gliwice
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Zagłębie Lubin
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.63
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
33.18
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Piast Gliwice
-0.33
Efficiency Index
vs
Zagłębie Lubin
+0.33
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Piast Gliwice
Zagłębie Lubin
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Piast Gliwice
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Zagłębie Lubin
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Piast Gliwice
Zagłębie Lubin
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Piast Gliwice
Zagłębie Lubin
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Piast Gliwice
Zagłębie Lubin
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice
Home
11
matches
Zagłębie Lubin
Zagłębie Lubin
Away
Match Record
4
Wins
2
5
Draws
5
2
Losses
4
Goals
12
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
12
+4
Goal Difference
-4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-03-08T00:10:53+00:00
TEAM FORMATION
No team formation data available.
General Information
Date & Time
Mar 07, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadium
Stadion Miejski
Capacity
15139
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Wojciech Myć
Pawel Sokolnicki
Marcin Lisowski
Leszek Lewandowski
Statistics
Possession
Piast Gliwice
63%
Zagłębie Lubin
37%
Top Statistics
1
Goals
3
2
Big Chances Created
1
12
Shots
7
77
Dangerous attacks
59
67
Possession
33
10
Corners
7
15
Free kicks
7
1
Yellow Cards
3
Match Overview
5
Substitutions
5
46
Ball Safe
43
50
Successful Dribbles Percentage
11
8
Dribble Attempts
9
7
Goal Kicks
18
1
Assists
3
5
Goal Attempts
3
14
Throwins
15
4
Successful Dribbles
1
1
Hit Woodwork
0
Attacking
2
Big Chances Missed
0
96
Attacks
78
Possession
81
Successful Passes Percentage
60
16
Successful Long Passes
16
39
Long Passes
64
439
Passes
212
355
Successful Passes
128
41
Successful Long Passes Percentage
25
11
Key Passes
7
Defensive
13
Tackles
10
2
Interceptions
3
2
Saves
2
Build-up
30
Total Crosses
16
8
Accurate Crosses
5
Discipline
9
Fouls
11
1
Offsides
1
Events
2ND-HALF
Patryk Dziczek
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
90+2'
90+2'
Mateusz Dziewiatowski
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
90'
Michalis Kosidis
2nd Yellowcard
89'
Michalis Kosidis
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
86'
Luka Lucic → Mateusz Grzybek
9th Substitution
86'
Jakub Sypek → Marcel Regula
10th Substitution
Ivan Lima → Hugo Vallejo
8th Substitution
81'
Andreas Katsantonis → German Barkovskiy
7th Substitution
81'
74'
Mateusz Dziewiatowski → Jakub Kolan
6th Substitution
Michal Chrapek → Jorge Félix
4th Substitution
72'
Oskar Lesniak → Grzegorz Tomasiewicz
5th Substitution
72'
69'
Damian Michalski
Header / 3rd Goal
61'
Michalis Kosidis → Levente Szabó
2nd Substitution
61'
Adam Radwanski → Jesus Diaz
3rd Substitution
Jason Lokilo → Leandro Sanca
1st Substitution
57'
52'
Jakub Kolan
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
27'
Josip Corluka
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
22'
CONCLUSION
Structural assessment: Zagłębie Lubin exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.