Pescara vs Bari 1908 Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Adriatico-Giovanni Cornacchia Sun, 8 Mar - 6:30 PM
Serie B
Pescara PES
4 Winner 0
Bari 1908 BAR
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 6:30 PM
Antonio Di Nardo - 13', 47'
Lorenzo Insigne - 40' (P)
Luca Valzania - 56'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Pescara 4–0 Bari 1908. The result saw Pescara take the points. Pescara showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 58%–42%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Pescara showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Galipò
S. Galipò
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.4
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.16
D. Cecconi
D. Cecconi
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.4
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.16
A. Zanotti
A. Zanotti
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.4
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.16
L. Giuggioli
L. Giuggioli
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.4
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.16
Pescara G. Gorgone
G. Gorgone
VS
Bari 1908 M. Longo
M. Longo
0.84
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.96
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Palermo Rank: W
Venezia Rank: L
Avellino Rank: W
Catanzaro Rank: L
Cesena Rank: L
Mantova Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sampdoria Rank: W
Calcio Padova Rank: D
Südtirol Rank: L
Spezia Rank: D
Mantova Rank: L
Palermo Rank: L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 6 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Pescara
41.74%
Draw
30.55%
Away Bari 1908
27.71%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
33.97
32.18
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Pescara
Bari 1908
Power Score
33.97
32.18
League Position
20
19
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Pescara — Opponent-weighted form score
Bari 1908 — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Pescara Bari 1908

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Pescara

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Bari 1908

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Pescara ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Bari 1908
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
49.40
32.14
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
32.14
49.40
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Pescara +1.68 Efficiency Index
vs
Bari 1908 -1.68 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Pescara
Bari 1908
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Pescara ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Bari 1908
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Pescara Bari 1908
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Pescara Bari 1908
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Pescara
Bari 1908
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Pescara PES Home
1 matches
Bari 1908 BAR Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:23:31+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadium
Stadio Adriatico-Giovanni Cornacchia
Capacity
20520
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Simone Galipò
Dario Cecconi
Andrea Zanotti
Lorenzo Giuggioli

Statistics

Possession
PES
58%
BAR
42%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
5 Big Chances Created 0
6 Shots 7
33 Dangerous attacks 30
58 Possession 42
2 Corners 4
9 Free kicks 18
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
1 Injuries 0
17 Throwins 21
11 Dribble Attempts 11
45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 18
8 Goal Kicks 6
1 Assists 0
81 Ball Safe 93
18 Goal Attempts 7
5 Successful Dribbles 2
1 Penalties 0

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 0
78 Attacks 77

Possession

35 Successful Long Passes 19
83 Successful Passes Percentage 75
389 Successful Passes 242
57 Long Passes 49
468 Passes 324
61 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39
19 Key Passes 9

Defensive

17 Tackles 12
2 Saves 12
6 Interceptions 6

Build-up

3 Total Crosses 11
1 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

11 Fouls 7
6 Offsides 0

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Lorenzo Berardi
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
79'
Event
Flavio Russo → Lorenzo Insigne
9th Substitution
74'
Event
Lorenzo Meazzi → Fabrizio Caligara
10th Substitution
74'
70'
Event
Marvin Cuni → Emanuele Rao
8th Substitution
Event
Gabriele Corbo → Riccardo Capellini
7th Substitution
66'
60'
Event
Nicola Bellomo → Giacomo De Pieri
6th Substitution
Event
Lamine Dabo → Gennaro Acampora
5th Substitution
59'
Event
Lorenzo Berardi → Luca Valzania
4th Substitution
59'
Event
Luca Valzania
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
56'
Event
Antonio Di Nardo
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
47'
46'
Event
Daouda Traore → Federico Artioli
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Andrea Cistana → Dimitrios Nikolaou
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Tomás Esteves → Mehdi Dorval
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Lorenzo Insigne
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
40'
Event
Antonio Di Nardo
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
30'
28'
Event
Giacomo De Pieri
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Antonio Di Nardo
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
13'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Pescara exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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