Osasuna vs Sevilla Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio El Sadar Sun, 26 Apr - 4:30 PM
La Liga
Osasuna OSA
Versus
Sevilla SEV
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 4:30 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Osasuna host Sevilla at Estadio El Sadar in a key La Liga regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. The ninth-placed Rojillos enjoy a clear edge with a power score of 24.09 against Sevilla's 19.13, translating to a five-point advantage that marks them as the stronger side. Form scores tilt in Osasuna's favor too at 15.83 versus 14.06, reflecting recent solidity at home. Sevilla languish in 16th, grappling with inconsistency away from the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan. El Sadar has been a fortress for Osasuna, where their structured play and pressing game often overwhelm visitors. Sevilla's transitional threats could test the hosts, but defensive frailties loom large. Without recent outing details, focus shifts to underlying metrics highlighting Osasuna's superior standing. Set-piece data remains elusive due to low-confidence proxies, yet the hosts' overall projection underscores their command.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Osasuna hold a 5-point power advantage over Sevilla, positioning them as the stronger team overall.
  • Form: Osasuna edge Sevilla in form scores with 15.83 against 14.06.
  • Squad: Osasuna sit 9th in La Liga while Sevilla occupy 16th place.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for this matchup.
  • Transition: No transition data provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece metrics unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage for both sides.
  • xVariable: No xG or advanced variable data accessible.
  • Market: Projection split: Osasuna 43.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.4% (Δ+0%) | Sevilla 28% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Osasuna A. Lisci
A. Lisci
VS
Sevilla L. García Plaza
L. García Plaza
1.3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Athletic Club Rank: D
Real Betis Rank: D
Deportivo Alavés Rank: D
Girona Rank: W
Real Sociedad Rank: L
Mallorca Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Levante Rank: D
Atlético Madrid Rank: W
Real Oviedo Rank: L
Valencia Rank: L
FC Barcelona Rank: L
Rayo Vallecano Rank: D
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 10 - 17
17
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Osasuna
43.59%
Draw
28.42%
Away Sevilla
27.99%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.09
19.13
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Osasuna
Sevilla
Power Score
24.09
19.13
League Position
9
16
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Osasuna — Opponent-weighted form score
Sevilla — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Osasuna Sevilla

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 36 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Osasuna OSA Home
36 matches
Sevilla SEV Away
Match Record
9
Wins
17
10
Draws
10
17
Losses
9
Goals
29
Goals Scored
47
47
Goals Conceded
29
-18
Goal Difference
+18
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:15:40+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio El Sadar
Capacity
23576
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

13
Aitor Fernández Abarisketa
Aitor Fernández Abarisketa Goalkeeper
1
Sergio Herrera Pirón
Sergio Herrera Pirón Goalkeeper
19
Valentin Rosier
Valentin Rosier Defender
20
Javier Galán Gil
Javier Galán Gil Defender
3
Álvaro Juan Cruz Armada
Álvaro Juan Cruz Armada Defender
24
Alejandro Catena Marugán
Alejandro Catena Marugán Defender
5
Jorge Herrando Oroz
Jorge Herrando Oroz Defender
22
Flavien-Enzo Boyomos
Flavien-Enzo Boyomos Defender
23
Abel Bretones Cruz
Abel Bretones Cruz Defender
41
Íñigo Arguibide Goñi
Íñigo Arguibide Goñi Defender
16
Moisés Gómez Bordonado
Moisés Gómez Bordonado Midfielder
6
Lucas Torró Marset
Lucas Torró Marset Midfielder
7
Jon Moncayola Tollar
Jon Moncayola Tollar Midfielder
10
Aimar Oroz
Aimar Oroz Midfielder
8
Iker Muñoz Cameros
Iker Muñoz Cameros Midfielder
29
Asier Osambela Larraya
Asier Osambela Larraya Midfielder
17
Ante Budimir
Ante Budimir Attacker
14
Rubén García Santos
Rubén García Santos Attacker
11
Enrique Barja Afonso
Enrique Barja Afonso Attacker
15
Raul Moro Prescoli
Raul Moro Prescoli Attacker
9
Raúl García de Haro
Raúl García de Haro Attacker
2
Iker Benito Sánchez
Iker Benito Sánchez Attacker
21
Víctor Muñoz Villanueva
Víctor Muñoz Villanueva Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Odisseas Vlachodimos
Odisseas Vlachodimos Goalkeeper
13
Ørjan Håskjold Nyland
Ørjan Håskjold Nyland Goalkeeper
3
César Azpilicueta Tanco
César Azpilicueta Tanco Defender
15
Fábio Rafael Rodrigues Cardoso
Fábio Rafael Rodrigues Cardoso Defender
23
Marcos do Nascimento Teixeira
Marcos do Nascimento Teixeira Defender
12
Gabriel Alonso Suazo Urbina
Gabriel Alonso Suazo Urbina Defender
22
Federico Gattoni
Federico Gattoni Defender
5
Nianzou Tanguy Kouassi
Nianzou Tanguy Kouassi Defender
16
Juan Luis Sánchez Velasco
Juan Luis Sánchez Velasco Defender
2
José Ángel Carmona Navarro
José Ángel Carmona Navarro Defender
4
Enrique Jesús Salas Valiente
Enrique Jesús Salas Valiente Defender
32
Andrés López Gallo
Andrés López Gallo Defender
36
Joaquín Martínez Gauna
Joaquín Martínez Gauna Defender
6
Nemanja Gudelj
Nemanja Gudelj Midfielder
20
Djibril Sow
Djibril Sow Midfielder
8
Joan Jordán Moreno
Joan Jordán Moreno Midfielder
19
Batista Mendy
Batista Mendy Midfielder
18
Lucien Agoume
Lucien Agoume Midfielder
28
Manuel Bueno Sebastián
Manuel Bueno Sebastián Midfielder
24
Adnan Januzaj
Adnan Januzaj Attacker
10
Alexis Alejandro Sánchez Sánchez
Alexis Alejandro Sánchez Sánchez Attacker
17
Neal Maupay
Neal Maupay Attacker
21
Chidera Ejuke
Chidera Ejuke Attacker
11
Ruben Vargas
Ruben Vargas Attacker
9
Akor Jerome Adams
Akor Jerome Adams Attacker
14
Gerard Fernández Castellano
Gerard Fernández Castellano Attacker
7
Isaac Romero Bernal
Isaac Romero Bernal Attacker
29
Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega
Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega Attacker

CONCLUSION

Osasuna enter this fixture with momentum, leveraging home advantage at El Sadar and superior power metrics to target all three points against a struggling Sevilla. The visitors' lower form and table position suggest vulnerability, particularly in transition where Osasuna's press can dominate. While set-piece insights are absent, the hosts' structural edge points to control. Expect a competitive affair, but Osasuna's projection as favorites aligns with their recent trajectory, likely yielding a narrow victory to bolster their top-half aspirations.

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