Orenburg vs FK Nizjni Novgorod Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Premier League, Russia

Stadion Gazovik Wed, 22 Apr - 2:30 PM

Premier League

Orenburg Orenburg

FK Nizjni Novgorod FK Nizjni Novgorod

KICKOFF : Wed, 22 Apr - 2:30 PM

Round 26 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Orenburg face FK Nizjni Novgorod in a Premier League encounter at the Stadion Gazovik during the 2025/2026 Regular Season. The home team, positioned 15th in the standings, will look to leverage their slight power score advantage of 19.77 against the visitors' 17.32. Despite this, FK Nizjni Novgorod currently hold the upper hand in terms of form with a score of 44.44 compared to 33.33 for Orenburg. Both sides enter the match following draws in their last outings, Orenburg against Lokomotiv Moskva at home and the away side versus Dinamo Moskva. With the teams separated by just one league place, this fixture represents a crucial opportunity for either to gain ground in the battle against relegation. Tactical setup and execution in key areas will likely determine the outcome in what is expected to be a competitive matchup.

TL;DR

Structural: Orenburg hold 2.5pt power advantage at home against 14th-placed visitors.
Form: Nizjni Novgorod lead on form (44 v 33) with both sides drawing last matches.
Squad: Teams show W1 D3 L2 and W2 D2 L2 records respectively from six games.
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable with no xG data for either side.
Transition: Transition effectiveness unmeasured but critical in this relegation scrap.
Set pieces: Low confidence set piece data with proxy used for both teams.
xVariable: Power scores suggest Orenburg as the stronger team overall.
Market: Orenburg 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | FK Nizjni Novgorod 0% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

I. Akhmetzyanov

A. Shpilevskiy

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.23

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

4 - 0 - 3

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Orenburg

Draw

FK Nizjni Novgorod

Team Power Ranking

19.77

17.32

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Orenburg

FK Nizjni Novgorod

Power Score

19.77

17.32

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Orenburg — Opponent-weighted form score

FK Nizjni Novgorod — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Orenburg FK Nizjni Novgorod

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Orenburg Orenburg Home

7 matches

FK Nizjni Novgorod FK Nizjni Novgorod Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-1

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T02:02:27+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 22, 2026, 02:30 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 26 · Regular Season

Stadium

Stadion Gazovik

Capacity

7520

Pitch Surface

Artificial turf

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

I. Akhmetzyanov Coach

Squad ▼

Maksim Rudakov Goalkeeper

Nikolay Sysuev Goalkeeper

Bogdan Ovsyannikov Goalkeeper

Andrey Khodanovich Goalkeeper

Fahd Moufi Defender

Aleksey Tataev Defender

Danila Vedernikov Defender

Emil Tsenov Defender

Danila Khotulev Defender

Jhon Alexander Palacios Santos Defender

Artem Kasimov Defender

Alexis Javier Cantero Fernandez Defender

Stanislav Poroykov Defender

Dmitry Rybchinsky Midfielder

Tigran Avanesian Midfielder

Evgeny Bolotov Midfielder

Pavel Gorelov Midfielder

Eduardo Santos Queiroz Midfielder

Damián Puebla Midfielder

Renat Golybin Midfielder

Gedeon Guzina Attacker

Maksim Savelyev Attacker

Ruslan Kul Attacker

Stepan Oganesyan Attacker

Alexandre de Jesus Jeruzalem Júnior Attacker

Ivan Gulko Attacker

Feyttullah Gürlük Attacker

Jordhy Thompson Attacker

Anas El Mahraoui Attacker

Irakli Kvekveskiri Coach

Manager ▼

A. Shpilevskiy Coach

Squad ▼

Nikita Medvedev Goalkeeper

Vadim Lukjanov Goalkeeper

Egor Koshkin Goalkeeper

Aleksandr Ektov Defender

Sven Karič Defender

Nikita Kakkoev Defender

Juan Camilo Castillo Andrade Defender

Viktor Aleksandrov Defender

Vadim Pigas Defender

Ilya Kirsh Defender

Edgardo Fariña Defender

Yuri Koledin Defender

Yaroslav Krashevskiy Defender

Maksim Shnaptsev Defender

Nikolay Kalinsky Midfielder

Luka Vešner Tičić Midfielder

Nikita Ermakov Midfielder

Mamadou Maiga Midfielder

Alex Opoku Sarfo Midfielder

Egor Smelov Midfielder

Andrey Ivlev Midfielder

Artem Sidorenko Midfielder

Adrián Martín Balboa Camacho Attacker

Vyacheslav Grulev Attacker

Daniil Lesovoy Attacker

Olakunle Junior Olusegun Attacker

Renaldo Showayne Cephas Attacker

—

Stanislav Lapinskiy Attacker

Matvey Urvantsev Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, this promises to be an evenly matched contest where Orenburg's home power could be tested by FK Nizjni Novgorod's superior recent form. The sides' similar records over the last six games highlight the tight margins at this end of the table. With efficiency and set piece information limited, coaches will rely on organisation and individual performances to secure vital points. Orenburg may look to impose themselves structurally while the visitors aim to counter effectively. A draw would not surprise many given the balanced outlook and recent results, yet the home advantage might just tilt matters in favour of the stronger powered side. Both teams will be desperate for the three points to improve their league standing.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT