Obolon'-Brovar vs SK Poltava Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Obolon' Arena Tomorrow - 3:00 PM
Premier League
Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar
Versus
SK Poltava SK Poltava
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 3:00 PM
Round 24 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Obolon'-Brovar face SK Poltava in a Ukrainian Premier League Regular Season match at the Obolon' Arena. The 12th-placed hosts hold a power score advantage over their 16th-placed opponents, with ratings of 14.28 to 10.7 underlining their status as favourites. This should be a contest where the home side aims to build on their mid-table position while the visitors seek to improve a poor start to the 2025/2026 campaign. Form has been an issue for both teams recently. Obolon'-Brovar have one win, two draws and three losses from six matches, while SK Poltava are winless with one draw and five defeats. Each side enters the fixture on the back of a loss, with Obolon' beaten away by Veres and Poltava defeated at home to Polissya Zhytomyr. Home advantage could prove key as the stronger team seeks three points.

TL;DR

  • Structural: 12th-placed hosts versus 16th-placed visitors in Premier League regular season
  • Form: Obolon' W1 D2 L3, SK Poltava W0 D1 L5 from last six matches
  • Squad: Power scores favour home side heavily at 14.28 to 10.7
  • Efficiency: Limited efficiency data but home team holds overall edge
  • Transition: Hosts better equipped to exploit transitions per metrics
  • Set pieces: Low confidence proxy data, no xG available for either side
  • xVariable: Underlying indicators point to home team superiority
  • Market: Projection split: Obolon'-Brovar 59.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.8% (Δ+0%) | SK Poltava 16.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Obolon'-Brovar O. Antonenko
O. Antonenko
VS
SK Poltava P. Matviychenko
P. Matviychenko
0.87
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.4
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Veres Rank: L
Zorya Luhansk Rank: D
Karpaty Rank: L
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: L
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: D
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: L
Oleksandria Rank: D
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: L
Karpaty Rank: L
Zorya Luhansk Rank: L
Kudrivka Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Obolon'-Brovar
59.09%
Draw
24.77%
Away SK Poltava
16.14%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
14.28
10.7
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Obolon'-Brovar
SK Poltava
Power Score
14.28
10.7
League Position
12
16
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Obolon'-Brovar — Opponent-weighted form score
SK Poltava — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Obolon'-Brovar SK Poltava

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar Home
1 matches
SK Poltava SK Poltava Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
2
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T00:02:34+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 17, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 24 · Regular Season
Stadium
Obolon' Arena
Capacity
5100
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Nazary Fedorivsky
Nazary Fedorivsky Goalkeeper
23
Vadym Stashkiv
Vadym Stashkiv Goalkeeper
31
Denys Marchenko
Denys Marchenko Goalkeeper
28
Pavlo Polehenko
Pavlo Polehenko Defender
11
Maksym Grysjo
Maksym Grysjo Defender
5
Evgeniy Shevchenko
Evgeniy Shevchenko Defender
3
Vladyslav Pryymak
Vladyslav Pryymak Defender
50
Dmytro Semenov
Dmytro Semenov Defender
24
Egor Prokopenko
Egor Prokopenko Defender
44
Oleksandr Zhovtenko
Oleksandr Zhovtenko Defender
32
Andrii Lomnytskyi
Andrii Lomnytskyi Defender
22
Oleksandr Feshchenko
Oleksandr Feshchenko Defender
17
Ruslan Chernenko
Ruslan Chernenko Midfielder
10
Oleg Slobodyan
Oleg Slobodyan Midfielder
6
Maksym Chekh
Maksym Chekh Midfielder
4
Taras Moroz
Taras Moroz Midfielder
20
Roman Volokhatiy
Roman Volokhatiy Midfielder
8
Artem Kulakovskyi
Artem Kulakovskyi Midfielder
40
Ivan Nesterenko
Ivan Nesterenko Midfielder
75
Maksym Tretyakov
Maksym Tretyakov Attacker
13
Igor Medynskyi
Igor Medynskyi Attacker
55
Sergiy Sukhanov
Sergiy Sukhanov Attacker
9
Denys Ustymenko
Denys Ustymenko Attacker
99
Denys Teslyuk
Denys Teslyuk Attacker
21
Kostiantyn Bychek
Kostiantyn Bychek Attacker
90
Lyakh Taras
Lyakh Taras Attacker

Squad ▼

13
Valeriy Voskonyan
Valeriy Voskonyan Goalkeeper
96
Danyil Ermolov
Danyil Ermolov Goalkeeper
1
Mykyta Minchev
Mykyta Minchev Goalkeeper
20
Evgen Misyura
Evgen Misyura Defender
95
Igor Kotsyumaka
Igor Kotsyumaka Defender
12
Andriy Savenkov
Andriy Savenkov Defender
33
Oleh Veremiienko
Oleh Veremiienko Defender
19
Mykola Buzhyn
Mykola Buzhyn Defender
2
Mykyta Kononov
Mykyta Kononov Defender
24
Illia Ukhan
Illia Ukhan Defender
5
Vadym Pidlepych
Vadym Pidlepych Defender
44
Dmytro Plakhtyr
Dmytro Plakhtyr Midfielder
7
Denis Galenkov
Denis Galenkov Midfielder
11
Oleksandr Pyatov
Oleksandr Pyatov Midfielder
15
Vladislav Danilenko
Vladislav Danilenko Midfielder
10
Valerii Sad
Valerii Sad Midfielder
21
Arsentiy Doroshenko
Arsentiy Doroshenko Midfielder
14
Maksim Marusich
Maksim Marusich Attacker
8
Volodymyr Odariuk
Volodymyr Odariuk Attacker
38
Danyil Sukhoruchko
Danyil Sukhoruchko Attacker
93
Bohdan Kobzar
Bohdan Kobzar Attacker
88
Oleksandr Vivdych
Oleksandr Vivdych Attacker

CONCLUSION

Obolon'-Brovar are well placed to claim victory at the Obolon' Arena given their power ranking edge and marginally superior form. SK Poltava have laboured throughout the early season and face a difficult away test against a side motivated to climb the table. The hosts should control proceedings and create enough chances to overcome a winless opponent, though Poltava may sit deep and seek to frustrate. Overall this represents a strong opportunity for the home team to secure three points and gain breathing space from the lower table positions.

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