Napoli vs Bologna Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona Mon, 11 May - 6:45 PM
Serie A
Napoli NAP
Versus
Bologna BOL
KICKOFF : Mon, 11 May - 6:45 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Napoli host Bologna in Serie A (Regular Season) at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. Domestically, Napoli sit 2th in the table while Bologna are 9th. Power ranking favours Napoli by 8.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Napoli hold 2nd place versus Bologna's 9th, backed by an 8.1-point power advantage.
  • Form: Napoli's form score stands at 26.44, well ahead of Bologna's 11.44.
  • Squad: Napoli's squad power rates at 85.85 compared to Bologna's 77.74.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG statistics.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG variables not accessible for this fixture.
  • Market: Napoli 60.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.1% (Δ+0%) | Bologna 16.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Napoli A. Conte
A. Conte
VS
Bologna V. Italiano
V. Italiano
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.17
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Como Rank: 83 D
Cremonese Rank: 67 W
Lazio Rank: 79 L
Parma Rank: 70 D
AC Milan Rank: 84 W
Cagliari Rank: 71 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cagliari Rank: 71 D
Roma Rank: 83 L
Juventus Rank: 85 L
Lecce Rank: 68 W
Cremonese Rank: 67 W
Lazio Rank: 81 L
21
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
21 - 7 - 9
9
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Napoli
60.8%
Draw
23.07%
Away Bologna
16.13%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
85.85
77.74
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Napoli
Bologna
Power Score
85.85
77.74
League Position
2
9
Global Rank
29
81

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Napoli — Opponent-weighted form score
Bologna — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Napoli Bologna

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 37 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Napoli NAP Home
37 matches
Bologna BOL Away
Match Record
21
Wins
9
7
Draws
7
9
Losses
21
Goals
78
Goals Scored
42
42
Goals Conceded
78
+36
Goal Difference
-36

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T02:03:12+00:00

General Information

Date & Time :
May 11, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Capacity :
54726
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Alex Meret
Alex Meret Goalkeeper
14
Nikita Contini Baranovsky
Nikita Contini Baranovsky Goalkeeper
32
Vanja Milinković Savić
Vanja Milinković Savić Goalkeeper
25
Mathias Ferrante
Mathias Ferrante Goalkeeper
13
Amir Rrahmani
Amir Rrahmani Defender
5
Juan Guilherme Nunes Jesus
Juan Guilherme Nunes Jesus Defender
37
Leonardo Spinazzola
Leonardo Spinazzola Defender
22
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
Giovanni Di Lorenzo Defender
4
Alessandro Buongiorno
Alessandro Buongiorno Defender
17
Mathías Olivera Miramontes
Mathías Olivera Miramontes Defender
30
Pasquale Mazzocchi
Pasquale Mazzocchi Defender
31
Sam Beukema
Sam Beukema Defender
3
Miguel Gutiérrez Ortega
Miguel Gutiérrez Ortega Defender
11
Kevin De Bruyne
Kevin De Bruyne Midfielder
68
Stanislav Lobotka
Stanislav Lobotka Midfielder
99
André-Frank Zambo Anguissa
André-Frank Zambo Anguissa Midfielder
20
Eljif Elmas
Eljif Elmas Midfielder
8
Scott McTominay
Scott McTominay Midfielder
6
Billy Gilmour
Billy Gilmour Midfielder
26
Antonio Vergara
Antonio Vergara Midfielder
9
Romelu Lukaku Menama
Romelu Lukaku Menama Attacker
7
David Neres Campos
David Neres Campos Attacker
21
Matteo Politano
Matteo Politano Attacker
19
Rasmus Winther Højlund
Rasmus Winther Højlund Attacker
27
Alisson de Almeida Santos
Alisson de Almeida Santos Attacker
23
Giovane Santana do Nascimento
Giovane Santana do Nascimento Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Łukasz Skorupski
Łukasz Skorupski Goalkeeper
13
Federico Ravaglia
Federico Ravaglia Goalkeeper
25
Massimo Pessina
Massimo Pessina Goalkeeper
22
Charalampos Lykogiannis
Charalampos Lykogiannis Defender
29
Lorenzo De Silvestri
Lorenzo De Silvestri Defender
—
Kevin Bonifazi
Kevin Bonifazi Defender
16
Nicolò Casale
Nicolò Casale Defender
26
Jhon Janer Lucumí Bonilla
Jhon Janer Lucumí Bonilla Defender
14
Torbjørn Heggem
Torbjørn Heggem Defender
33
Juan Miranda González
Juan Miranda González Defender
17
João Mário Neto Lopes
João Mário Neto Lopes Defender
20
Nadir Zortea
Nadir Zortea Defender
41
Martin Vitík
Martin Vitík Defender
5
Eivind Fauske Helland
Eivind Fauske Helland Defender
6
Nikola Moro
Nikola Moro Midfielder
21
Jens Odgaard
Jens Odgaard Midfielder
8
Remo Freuler
Remo Freuler Midfielder
4
Tommaso Pobega
Tommaso Pobega Midfielder
19
Lewis Ferguson
Lewis Ferguson Midfielder
23
Simon Sohm
Simon Sohm Midfielder
10
Federico Bernardeschi
Federico Bernardeschi Attacker
7
Riccardo Orsolini
Riccardo Orsolini Attacker
24
Thijs Dallinga
Thijs Dallinga Attacker
28
Nicolò Cambiaghi
Nicolò Cambiaghi Attacker
11
Jon Rowe
Jon Rowe Attacker
9
Santiago Thomas Castro
Santiago Thomas Castro Attacker
30
Benjamín Domínguez
Benjamín Domínguez Attacker

CONCLUSION

Napoli's blend of elite positioning, superior form, and home dominance at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona sets the stage for a commanding display against Bologna. The 8.1-point power edge underscores their structural superiority, while Bologna's 9th-place standing and weaker metrics suggest vulnerability. Without detailed set piece or efficiency insights, Napoli's overall strength should shine through in possession and pressure. Expect the hosts to capitalize on their advantages for a convincing result, potentially extending their top-two grip in Serie A.

Napoli vs Bologna preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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