Motherwell vs Celtic Prediction, Preview and Stats

Scotland flag 2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Fir Park Wed, 13 May - 7:00 PM
Premiership
Motherwell MOT
Versus
Celtic CEL
KICKOFF : Wed, 13 May - 7:00 PM
Round 37 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Motherwell host Celtic at Fir Park in the 2nd Phase of the 2025/2026 Scottish Premiership, a pivotal clash between 4th-placed hosts and 3rd-placed visitors. Celtic arrive with a commanding power score of 78.5 against Motherwell's 67.05, granting them an 11.5-point structural edge that underscores their overall superiority. Form metrics reinforce this dominance, as Celtic's 30.11 rating dwarfs Motherwell's 17.67, signaling sharper momentum heading into the fixture. Both sides sit closely in the table, heightening the stakes for positioning in a tightly contested league phase. Motherwell will lean on home advantage and defensive organization to counter Celtic's attacking threat, while the visitors seek to exploit transitions and maintain their top-tier status. Advanced data on efficiency, set pieces, and transitions remains limited, with low-confidence proxies in play, leaving room for tactical surprises. Expect a battle where Celtic's quality shines through.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Celtic hold an 11.5-point power advantage with a score of 78.5 over Motherwell's 67.05.
  • Form: Celtic's form score stands at 30.11, surpassing Motherwell's 17.67.
  • Squad: Motherwell occupy 4th place while Celtic sit 3rd in the Premiership.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition performance metrics are not available.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to absent xG and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xVariable statistics not provided for either team.
  • Market: Baseline split: Motherwell 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Celtic 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Motherwell J. Askou
J. Askou
VS
Celtic M. O'Neill
M. O'Neill
1.72
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.04
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hearts Rank: 75 D
Falkirk Rank: 64 L
Rangers Rank: 77 W
Hearts Rank: 75 L
Falkirk Rank: 66 L
Hibernian Rank: 68 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rangers Rank: 77 D
Hibernian Rank: 68 W
Falkirk Rank: 65 W
St. Mirren Rank: 57 W
Dundee Rank: 59 W
Dundee United Rank: 63 L
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 11 - 54
54
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Motherwell
0%
Draw
0%
Away Celtic
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.05
78.5
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Motherwell
Celtic
Power Score
67.05
78.5
League Position
4
3
Global Rank
271
74

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Motherwell — Opponent-weighted form score
Celtic — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Motherwell Celtic

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 70 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Motherwell MOT Home
70 matches
Celtic CEL Away
Match Record
5
Wins
54
11
Draws
11
54
Losses
5
Goals
53
Goals Scored
174
174
Goals Conceded
53
-121
Goal Difference
+121
Expected Goals
0.54
xG
2.09
2.09
xGA
0.54

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:53:33+00:00

General Information

Date & Time :
May 13, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 37 · 2nd Phase
Stadium :
Fir Park
Capacity :
13742
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

61
Callum Ward
Callum Ward Goalkeeper
31
Matty Connolly
Matty Connolly Goalkeeper
16
Paul McGinn
Paul McGinn Defender
2
Stephen O'Donnell
Stephen O'Donnell Defender
6
Jordan McGhee
Jordan McGhee Defender
4
Liam Gordon
Liam Gordon Defender
57
Stephen Welsh
Stephen Welsh Defender
22
John Koutroumbis
John Koutroumbis Defender
45
Mbule Longelo Emmanuel
Mbule Longelo Emmanuel Defender
11
Andrew Halliday
Andrew Halliday Midfielder
19
Sam Nicholson
Sam Nicholson Midfielder
8
Callum Slattery
Callum Slattery Midfielder
20
Elliot Watt
Elliot Watt Midfielder
12
Lukas Fadinger
Lukas Fadinger Midfielder
7
Tom Sparrow
Tom Sparrow Midfielder
18
Oscar Priestman
Oscar Priestman Midfielder
77
Regan Charles-Cook
Regan Charles-Cook Attacker
66
Callum Hendry
Callum Hendry Attacker
21
Elijah Henry Just
Elijah Henry Just Attacker
55
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise Attacker
90
Ibrahim Sa’id
Ibrahim Sa’id Attacker
9
Zach Robinson
Zach Robinson Attacker
15
Eythor Martin Bjørgolfsson
Eythor Martin Bjørgolfsson Attacker
28
Luca Ross
Luca Ross Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Kasper Schmeichel
Kasper Schmeichel Goalkeeper
31
Ross Doohan
Ross Doohan Goalkeeper
12
Viljani Sinisalo
Viljani Sinisalo Goalkeeper
20
Cameron Carter-Vickers
Cameron Carter-Vickers Defender
5
Liam Scales
Liam Scales Defender
63
Kieran Tierney
Kieran Tierney Defender
56
Anthony Ralston
Anthony Ralston Defender
36
Marcelo Josemir Saracchi Pintos
Marcelo Josemir Saracchi Pintos Defender
6
Auston Trusty
Auston Trusty Defender
22
Julian Araujo
Julian Araujo Defender
2
Alistair Johnston
Alistair Johnston Defender
47
Dane Murray
Dane Murray Defender
37
Adam Montgomery
Adam Montgomery Defender
43
Benjamin Arthur
Benjamin Arthur Defender
51
Colby Donovan
Colby Donovan Defender
21
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain Midfielder
42
Callum McGregor
Callum McGregor Midfielder
14
Luke McCowan
Luke McCowan Midfielder
41
Reo Hatate
Reo Hatate Midfielder
28
Paulo Guilherme Gonçalves Bernardo
Paulo Guilherme Gonçalves Bernardo Midfielder
27
Arne Engels
Arne Engels Midfielder
32
Joel Mvuka
Joel Mvuka Midfielder
17
Kelechi Promise Iheanacho
Kelechi Promise Iheanacho Attacker
7
João Pedro Neves Filipe
João Pedro Neves Filipe Attacker
49
James Forrest
James Forrest Attacker
38
Daizen Maeda
Daizen Maeda Attacker
9
Junior Chikwubuike Adamu
Junior Chikwubuike Adamu Attacker
11
Tomáš Čvančara
Tomáš Čvančara Attacker
23
Sebastian Tounekti
Sebastian Tounekti Attacker
8
Benjamin Nygren
Benjamin Nygren Attacker
10
Michel Ange Balikwisha
Michel Ange Balikwisha Attacker
13
Hyun-Jun Yang
Hyun-Jun Yang Attacker
19
Callum Osmand
Callum Osmand Attacker

CONCLUSION

Celtic's clear power and form edges position them as favorites to prevail at Fir Park, despite Motherwell's home tenacity and league proximity. The 11.5-point gulf highlights Celtic's structural depth, likely enabling control in possession and key moments. Motherwell must disrupt transitions and capitalize on any set-piece openings, though data scarcity tempers expectations there. With both chasing upward momentum in the 2nd Phase, Celtic's superior metrics suggest they extend their fine run, testing Motherwell's resolve in a high-stakes Premiership encounter.

Motherwell vs Celtic preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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