Mirandés vs Albacete Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal de Anduva Tue, 31 Mar - 5:00 PM
La Liga 2
Mirandés MIR
1 – 1
Albacete ALB
Full Time Tue, 31 Mar 5:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season
Javi Hernández - 36'
Goal
|
Goal
Jefté Betancor - 88' (P)

CONTEXT

The match between Mirandés and Albacete has officially finished in a 1-1 draw. Mirandés took an early lead, holding a 1-0 advantage at halftime, but Albacete successfully found an equalizer in the second half to secure a share of the points. Before kickoff, the pre-match market favored the hosts, giving Mirandés a 41.4% likelihood of winning. Albacete held a 30.1% chance of victory, while a draw was priced at 28.5%. Consequently, the final stalemate was not aligned with the pre-match market, resulting in a significant deviation (71.5%) for Albacete. On the pitch, Albacete controlled the overall tempo, maintaining 60% of the possession compared to just 40% for Mirandés. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, meaning it cannot be determined if the final scoreline aligned with the underlying quality of chances created by either side. However, the scoring efficiency shift was entirely in line with general expectations. Furthermore, the match was contested without any major disciplinary disruptions, as no red cards were issued to impact the tactical balance of either team.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Albacete showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Mirandés A. Muneta Beldarrain
A. Muneta Beldarrain
VS
Albacete A. González Fernández
A. González Fernández
0.74
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.3
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cádiz Rank: 60 L
Burgos Rank: 64 L
Ceuta Rank: 61 L
Huesca Rank: 58 W
Las Palmas Rank: 69 D
Racing Santander Rank: 69 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Málaga Rank: 68 L
Sporting Gijón Rank: 65 D
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 68 L
Real Zaragoza Rank: 60 W
Real Valladolid Rank: 59 W
Cádiz Rank: 60 W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 5 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Mirandés
41.39%
Draw
28.5%
Away Albacete
30.11%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.2
66.28
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Mirandés
Albacete
Power Score
58.2
66.28
League Position
21
11
Global Rank
518
278

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Mirandés — Opponent-weighted form score
Albacete — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Mirandés Albacete

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Mirandés

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Albacete

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Mirandés ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Albacete
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
39.75
18.83
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
18.83
39.75
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Mirandés +2.11 Efficiency Index
vs
Albacete -2.11 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Mirandés
Albacete
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Mirandés ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Albacete
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Mirandés Albacete
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Mirandés Albacete
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Mirandés
Albacete
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 15 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Mirandés MIR Home
15 matches
Albacete ALB Away
Match Record
6
Wins
4
5
Draws
5
4
Losses
6
Goals
25
Goals Scored
19
19
Goals Conceded
25
+6
Goal Difference
-6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-01T00:00:37+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
J. Palomares Pulpillo
Spain
13 J. Palomares Pulpillo
T. Tamarit Tamarit
27 T. Tamarit Tamarit
J. Gutiérrez Martínez
Spain
22 J. Gutiérrez Martínez
J. Cabello Trujillo
Spain
15 J. Cabello Trujillo
F. Medrano Gastañaga
Substitution
Spain
3 F. Medrano Gastañaga
T. Helguera Merello Volante
Uruguay
6 T. Helguera Merello Volante
R. Bauzà Sureda
Spain
18 R. Bauzà Sureda
F. Hernandez Coarasa
Spain
28 F. Hernandez Coarasa
C. Fernández Luna
Substitution
Spain
10 C. Fernández Luna
S. El Jebari El Hannouni
Substitution
Morocco
30 S. El Jebari El Hannouni
U. del Cura Urra
Substitution
Spain
48 U. del Cura Urra
R. Lizoáin Cruz
Spain
13 R. Lizoáin Cruz
D. Bernabéu Garcia
Substitution
27 D. Bernabéu Garcia
C. Neva Tey
Spain
21 C. Neva Tey
J. Sánchez Martínez
Substitution
Spain
23 J. Sánchez Martínez
J. Vallejo Lázaro
Spain
24 J. Vallejo Lázaro
L. Aguado Herrera
Spain
2 L. Aguado Herrera
A. Pacheco Ruiz
Substitution
Spain
6 A. Pacheco Ruiz
A. Meléndez Ruiz
Spain
17 A. Meléndez Ruiz
H. Martínez González
Substitution
Spain
26 H. Martínez González
S. Obeng Gyabaa
Ghana
20 S. Obeng Gyabaa
A. Rubio Roldan
Substitution
Spain
19 A. Rubio Roldan

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 31, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Anduva
Capacity
5759
Attendance
2858
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
S. Fernández Pérez
Aimar Velasco Arbaiza
Alonso De Ena Wolf
Rubén Porras Rico

Statistics

Possession
MIR
45%
ALB
55%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
5 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 3
58 Dangerous attacks 46
40 Possession 60
9 Corners 3
12 Free kicks 8
1 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

24 Throwins 16
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 44
9 Successful Dribbles 4
6 Goal Kicks 10
18 Dribble Attempts 9
71 Ball Safe 85
4 Substitutions 5
1 Injuries 1
9 Goal Attempts 6
0 Penalties 1

Attacking

90 Attacks 97
4 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

230 Successful Passes 372
55 Long Passes 63
29 Successful Long Passes 23
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37
76 Successful Passes Percentage 82
303 Passes 455
8 Key Passes 5

Defensive

11 Interceptions 15
8 Tackles 16
2 Saves 5
41 Duels Won 38

Build-up

26 Total Crosses 30
8 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

9 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Alonso De Ena Wolf

Starting XI ▼

13
Juanpa Palomares
Juanpa Palomares Goalkeeper
3
Fernando Medrano
Fernando Medrano Defender
24
Iker Córdoba
Iker Córdoba
Defender82'
15
Jorge Cabello
Jorge Cabello Defender
22
Juan Gutiérrez
Juan Gutiérrez Defender
27
Toni Tamarit
Toni Tamarit Defender
6
Thiago Helguera
Thiago Helguera Midfielder
10
Carlos Fernández
Carlos Fernández Midfielder
4
Martín Pascual
Martín Pascual
Defender82'
18
Rafel Bauzà
Rafel Bauzà Midfielder
28
Javi Hernández
Javi Hernández Midfielder
30
Salim El Jebari
Salim El Jebari Midfielder
16
Selvi Clua
Selvi Clua
Midfielder73'
48
Unax del Cura
Unax del Cura Attacker
29
Ali Houary
Ali Houary
Attacker64'
Referee : Alonso De Ena Wolf

Starting XI ▼

13
Raúl Lizoain
Raúl Lizoain Goalkeeper
2
Lorenzo Aguado
Lorenzo Aguado Defender
21
Carlos Neva
Carlos Neva Defender
23
Pepe Sánchez
Pepe Sánchez Defender
22
Lluís López
Lluís López
Defender30'
24
Jesús Vallejo
Jesús Vallejo Defender
27
Daniel Bernabéu Garcia
Daniel Bernabéu Garcia Defender
8
Martín Fernández
Martín Fernández
Midfielder46'
6
Antonio Pacheco
Antonio Pacheco Midfielder
7
Antonio Puertas
Antonio Puertas
Attacker46'
17
Ale Meléndez
Ale Meléndez Midfielder
26
Capi
Capi Midfielder
14
Victor San Bartolome Prieto
Victor San Bartolome Prieto
Midfielder73'
19
Alex Rubio
Alex Rubio Attacker
10
Jefté Betancor
Jefté Betancor
Attacker46'
20
Samuel Obeng Gyabaa
Samuel Obeng Gyabaa Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
88'
Event
Jefté Betancor
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
Event
7th Yellowcard
86'
Event
Ali Houary
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
86'
Event
Martín Pascual → Carlos Fernández
9th Substitution
82'
Event
Iker Córdoba → Fernando Medrano
8th Substitution
82'
77'
Event
Jesús Vallejo
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Selvi Clua → Salim El Jebari
7th Substitution
73'
73'
Event
Victor San Bartolome Prieto → Capi
6th Substitution
Event
Ali Houary → Unax del Cura
5th Substitution
64'
58'
Event
6th Yellowcard
58'
Event
Capi
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
57'
Event
Carlos Neva
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
53'
Event
Martín Fernández
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
46'
Event
Martín Fernández → Daniel Bernabéu Garcia
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Jefté Betancor → Alex Rubio
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Antonio Puertas → Antonio Pacheco
4th Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Javi Hernández
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
36'
30'
Event
Lluís López → Pepe Sánchez
1st Substitution

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Albacete exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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