Millwall vs Hull City Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
The Den Mon, 11 May - 7:00 PM
Championship
Millwall MLW
Versus
Hull City HUL
KICKOFF : Mon, 11 May - 7:00 PM
Semi Finals Leg 2 of 2

CONTEXT

Millwall hosts Hull City at The Den in the second leg of the Championship Promotion Play-offs Semi-finals, a match brimming with tension in the 2025/2026 season. The Lions finished third in the league, one spot ahead of the Tigers in sixth, underscoring their regular-season edge. Millwall's power score stands at 76.14, surpassing Hull's 70.62 by 5.5 points, marking them as the stronger outfit. Form metrics further favor the hosts, with 26.17 eclipsing Hull's 15.56. Lacking recent outing details, both sides rely on seasonal momentum. Set-piece data draws from low-confidence proxies, offering limited insight into dead-ball threats. Efficiency and transition stats remain unavailable, shifting emphasis to raw power and home advantage. The Den's raucous crowd could ignite Millwall's push toward the final.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Millwall enjoys a 5.5-point power advantage with a 76.14 score over Hull City's 70.62.
  • Form: Millwall's form score of 26.17 exceeds Hull City's 15.56.
  • Squad: Millwall ended the league campaign in 3rd place ahead of Hull City in 6th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not available for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats use low-confidence proxies for both Millwall and Hull City.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable as the add-on is not enabled.
  • Market: Projection split: Millwall 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Hull City 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Millwall A. Neil
A. Neil
VS
Hull City S. Jakirović
S. Jakirović
1.84
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.53
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hull City Rank: 71 D
Oxford United Rank: 65 W
Leicester City Rank: 66 D
Stoke City Rank: 66 W
Queens Park Rangers Rank: 67 W
West Bromwich Albion Rank: 68 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Millwall Rank: 76 D
Norwich City Rank: 73 W
Charlton Athletic Rank: 65 L
Leicester City Rank: 66 D
Birmingham City Rank: 69 D
Sheffield United Rank: 71 L
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 8 - 10
10
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Millwall
0%
Draw
0%
Away Hull City
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
76.14
70.62
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Millwall
Hull City
Power Score
76.14
70.62
League Position
3
6
Global Rank
100
195

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Millwall — Opponent-weighted form score
Hull City — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Millwall Hull City

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 26 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Millwall MLW Home
26 matches
Hull City HUL Away
Match Record
8
Wins
10
8
Draws
8
10
Losses
8
Goals
28
Goals Scored
30
30
Goals Conceded
28
-2
Goal Difference
+2

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:52:10+00:00

General Information

Date & Time :
May 11, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Championship, England · Semi Finals · Leg 2 of 2
Stadium :
The Den
Capacity :
20146
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Samuel Barrott
James Mainwaring
Wade Smith
Matt Donohue

Squad

Referee : Samuel Barrott

Squad ▼

43
Joel Coleman
Joel Coleman Goalkeeper
15
Maxime Teremoana Crocombe
Maxime Teremoana Crocombe Goalkeeper
13
Anthony Patterson
Anthony Patterson Goalkeeper
1
Lukas Jensen
Lukas Jensen Goalkeeper
41
George Evans
George Evans Goalkeeper
23
Joe Bryan
Joe Bryan Defender
18
Ryan Leonard
Ryan Leonard Defender
5
Jake Cooper
Jake Cooper Defender
2
Dan McNamara
Dan McNamara Defender
6
Caleb Taylor
Caleb Taylor Defender
4
Tristan Crama
Tristan Crama Defender
3
Zak Norton Sturge
Zak Norton Sturge Defender
67
Barry Bannan
Barry Bannan Midfielder
21
Massimo Corey Luongo
Massimo Corey Luongo Midfielder
24
Casper De Norre
Casper De Norre Midfielder
39
William Smallbone
William Smallbone Midfielder
14
Alfie Doughty
Alfie Doughty Midfielder
25
Luke Cundle
Luke Cundle Midfielder
11
Femi Azeez
Femi Azeez Midfielder
8
Billy Mitchell
Billy Mitchell Midfielder
49
Derek Mazou-Sacko
Derek Mazou-Sacko Midfielder
16
Daniel Kelly
Daniel Kelly Midfielder
17
Macaulay Langstaff
Macaulay Langstaff Attacker
7
Thierno Mamadou Lamarana Ballo
Thierno Mamadou Lamarana Ballo Attacker
19
Josh Coburn
Josh Coburn Attacker
26
Benicio Baker-Boatiey
Benicio Baker-Boatiey Attacker
10
Camiel Neghli
Camiel Neghli Attacker
22
Tom Watson
Tom Watson Attacker
29
Zakariya Lovelace
Zakariya Lovelace Attacker
9
Mihailo Ivanović
Mihailo Ivanović Attacker
31
Raees Bangura-Williams
Raees Bangura-Williams Attacker
Referee : Samuel Barrott

Squad ▼

12
Dillon Phillips
Dillon Phillips Goalkeeper
1
Ivor Pandur
Ivor Pandur Goalkeeper
37
Paddy McNair
Paddy McNair Defender
6
Oluwasemilogo Adesewo Ibidapo Ajayi
Oluwasemilogo Adesewo Ibidapo Ajayi Defender
15
John Egan
John Egan Defender
2
Lewie Coyle
Lewie Coyle Defender
23
Akin Famewo
Akin Famewo Defender
3
Ryan Giles
Ryan Giles Defender
18
Cody Drameh
Cody Drameh Defender
16
Matthew James Jacob
Matthew James Jacob Defender
4
Charlie Hughes
Charlie Hughes Defender
31
James Boluwatife Debayo
James Boluwatife Debayo Defender
58
Cathal McCarthy
Cathal McCarthy Defender
25
Matty Crooks
Matty Crooks Midfielder
5
John Lundstram
John Lundstram Midfielder
26
Kieran Dowell
Kieran Dowell Midfielder
20
Amir Hadžiahmetović
Amir Hadžiahmetović Midfielder
27
Regan Slater
Regan Slater Midfielder
8
Eliot Matazo
Eliot Matazo Midfielder
33
Toby Collyer
Toby Collyer Midfielder
24
Darko Gyabi
Darko Gyabi Midfielder
9
Oliver McBurnie
Oliver McBurnie Attacker
11
Babajide David Akintola
Babajide David Akintola Attacker
7
Liam Millar
Liam Millar Attacker
21
Joe Gelhardt
Joe Gelhardt Attacker
22
Kyle Joseph
Kyle Joseph Attacker
10
Mohamed Elbachir Belloumi
Mohamed Elbachir Belloumi Attacker
13
Yu Hirakawa
Yu Hirakawa Attacker
36
Lewis Koumas
Lewis Koumas Attacker

CONCLUSION

Millwall's superior power rating and form position them strongly for leg two at The Den. Home support amplifies their 5.5-point edge over Hull City. Without detailed efficiency or set-piece edges, the contest hinges on execution and mentality. The Lions' third-place finish provides squad depth confidence against Hull's sixth spot. Midfield control and defensive solidity will prove decisive. Expect a gritty battle where Millwall presses for advancement. Hull needs sharp counters to disrupt. This semi-final showdown promises intensity en route to Wembley.

Millwall vs Hull City preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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