Manchester City vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Etihad Stadium Sat, 21 Mar - 3:00 PM
Premier League
Manchester City MCI
Versus
Crystal Palace CRY
Postponed Sat, 21 Mar 3:00 PM

CONTEXT

Manchester City host Crystal Palace in Premier League (Regular Season) at Etihad Stadium. Domestically, Manchester City sit 2th in the table while Crystal Palace are 14th. Power ranking favours Manchester City by 24.7 points heading into this fixture. Manchester City's recent form reads W4 D2 L0 from 6 matches; Crystal Palace's form is W2 D1 L3 from 6 matches. In their last outing, Manchester City Draw away against Arsenal. Crystal Palace last played at home versus Liverpool, finishing with a Win.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Manchester City hold a +24.7 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Manchester City sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Manchester City show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Manchester City have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Manchester City carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Manchester City hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Manchester City 0% | Draw 0% | Crystal Palace 0%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Manchester City Josep Guardiola
Josep Guardiola
VS
Crystal Palace O. Glasner
O. Glasner
2.18
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.19
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: 89 D
Chelsea Rank: 91 D
Sunderland Rank: 80 D
Nottingham Forest Rank: 83 W
West Ham United Rank: 83 W
Crystal Palace Rank: 86 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aston Villa Rank: 91 D
Newcastle United Rank: 90 L
Fulham Rank: 86 D
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: 84 L
Leeds United Rank: 86 L
Manchester City Rank: 95 L
22
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
22 - 5 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Manchester City
0%
Draw
0%
Away Crystal Palace
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
95.43
70.7
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
Power Score
95.43
70.7
League Position
2
14
Global Rank
4
26

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Manchester City — Opponent-weighted form score
Crystal Palace — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Manchester City Crystal Palace

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Manchester City MCI Home
31 matches
Crystal Palace CRY Away
Match Record
22
Wins
4
5
Draws
5
4
Losses
22
Goals
75
Goals Scored
25
25
Goals Conceded
75
+50
Goal Difference
-50
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-21T00:31:57+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 21, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England
Stadium
Etihad Stadium
Capacity
53400
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

13
Marcus Bettinelli
Marcus Bettinelli Goalkeeper
25
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Gianluigi Donnarumma Goalkeeper
1
James Trafford
James Trafford Goalkeeper
5
John Stones
John Stones Defender
6
Nathan Aké
Nathan Aké Defender
3
Rúben Santos Gato Alves Dias
Rúben Santos Gato Alves Dias Defender
15
Marc Guehi
Marc Guehi Defender
21
Rayan Aït Nouri
Rayan Aït Nouri Defender
24
Joško Gvardiol
Joško Gvardiol Defender
82
Rico Lewis
Rico Lewis Defender
68
Max Alleyne
Max Alleyne Defender
33
Nico O'Reilly
Nico O'Reilly Defender
45
Abdukodir Khusanov
Abdukodir Khusanov Defender
8
Mateo Kovačić
Mateo Kovačić Midfielder
20
Bernardo Mota Veiga de Carvalho e Silva
Bernardo Mota Veiga de Carvalho e Silva Midfielder
16
Rodrigo Hernández Cascante
Rodrigo Hernández Cascante Midfielder
47
Philip Foden
Philip Foden Midfielder
4
Tijjani Reijnders
Tijjani Reijnders Midfielder
10
Mathis Ryan Cherki
Mathis Ryan Cherki Midfielder
27
Matheus Luiz Nunes
Matheus Luiz Nunes Midfielder
14
Nicolás González Iglesias
Nicolás González Iglesias Midfielder
41
Sverre Halseth Nypan
Sverre Halseth Nypan Midfielder
9
Erling Håland
Erling Håland Attacker
7
Omar Marmoush
Omar Marmoush Attacker
42
Antoine Semenyo
Antoine Semenyo Attacker
11
Jeremy Doku
Jeremy Doku Attacker
26
Sávio Moreira de Oliveira
Sávio Moreira de Oliveira Attacker

Squad ▼

31
Remi Matthews
Remi Matthews Goalkeeper
1
Dean Henderson
Dean Henderson Goalkeeper
44
Walter Daniel Benítez
Walter Daniel Benítez Goalkeeper
17
Nathaniel Edwin Clyne
Nathaniel Edwin Clyne Defender
24
Borna Sosa
Borna Sosa Defender
2
Daniel Muñoz Mejía
Daniel Muñoz Mejía Defender
3
Tyrick Mitchell
Tyrick Mitchell Defender
5
Maxence Lacroix
Maxence Lacroix Defender
26
Chris Richards
Chris Richards Defender
34
Chadi Riad
Chadi Riad Defender
58
Caleb Kporha
Caleb Kporha Defender
59
Rio Cardines
Rio Cardines Defender
23
Jaydee Canvot
Jaydee Canvot Defender
19
Will Hughes
Will Hughes Midfielder
8
Jefferson Andrés Lerma Solís
Jefferson Andrés Lerma Solís Midfielder
18
Daichi Kamada
Daichi Kamada Midfielder
28
Cheick Oumar Doucoure
Cheick Oumar Doucoure Midfielder
20
Adam Wharton
Adam Wharton Midfielder
55
Justin Devenny
Justin Devenny Midfielder
42
Kayden Rodney
Kayden Rodney Midfielder
12
Christantus Ugonna Uche
Christantus Ugonna Uche Midfielder
7
Ismaïla Sarr
Ismaïla Sarr Attacker
14
Jean-Philippe Mateta
Jean-Philippe Mateta Attacker
22
Jørgen Strand Larsen
Jørgen Strand Larsen Attacker
9
Edward Nketiah
Edward Nketiah Attacker
29
Evann Guessand
Evann Guessand Attacker
10
Yeremi Jesús Pino Santos
Yeremi Jesús Pino Santos Attacker
11
Brennan Johnson
Brennan Johnson Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Manchester City holding the stronger pre-match profile. The power-ranking gap of 24.7 points supports that view. Market sentiment broadly aligns with the underlying data —Manchester City at 0%, draw at 0%, Crystal Palace at 0%— leaving the balance of play dependent on execution, set pieces, and transitions rather than variance alone. Both sides will need to convert their chances to decide the outcome.

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