Mallorca vs Valencia Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Tue, 21 Apr - 5:00 PM
La Liga
Mallorca
MLL
Valencia
VAL
KICKOFF :
Tue, 21 Apr - 5:00 PM
Round 33 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 17
CONTEXT
Mallorca prepare to face Valencia in a La Liga fixture at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix during the 2025/2026 regular season. The hosts occupy 15th position while the visitors sit in 14th, indicating a tight battle for mid-table supremacy. With a power score of 26.08 versus 22.98, Mallorca hold a 3.1 point advantage as the stronger side. Form scores stand at 55.56 for the home team and 50 for Valencia. Mallorca's last outing produced a home win over Rayo Vallecano, whereas Valencia lost away to Elche. Their respective form reads show three wins apiece from six games, though Mallorca have one draw and Valencia three defeats. This contest offers both teams an opportunity to gain crucial points and improve their standing. Tactical discipline and capitalizing on key moments will determine the winner in what looks to be an even matchup.
TL;DR
-
Structural: Mid-table meeting sees 15th-placed Mallorca hosting 14th-placed Valencia with hosts enjoying a power score edge of 3.1 points.
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Form: Mallorca come in with 55.56 form score and recent home success, contrasting Valencia's 50 score after an away setback.
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Squad: Squad compositions for both clubs feature balanced groups capable of competing in this La Liga fixture.
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Efficiency: Current efficiency indicators are not specified, shifting focus onto execution during the match itself.
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Transition: Effective transitions from defence to attack will likely influence which team gains the upper hand.
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Set pieces: With low confidence in available data and proxies in use, set piece contributions remain uncertain for both.
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xVariable: Underlying variables suggest Mallorca hold an advantage in this matchup at Son Moix.
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Market: Mallorca 37.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.5% (Δ+0%) | Valencia 33.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
M. Demichelis
VS
C. Corberán Vallet
1.18
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.18
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rayo Vallecano
Rank:
W
Real Madrid
Rank:
W
Elche
Rank:
L
Espanyol
Rank:
W
Osasuna
Rank:
D
Real Sociedad
Rank:
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Elche
Rank:
L
Celta de Vigo
Rank:
L
Sevilla
Rank:
W
Real Oviedo
Rank:
L
Deportivo Alavés
Rank:
W
Osasuna
Rank:
W
10
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 7 - 10
10
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Mallorca
37.36%
Draw
29.54%
Valencia
33.1%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
26.08
22.98
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Mallorca
Valencia
Power Score
26.08
22.98
League Position
15
14
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Mallorca
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Valencia
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Mallorca Valencia
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 27 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Mallorca
MLL
Home
27
matches
Valencia
VAL
Away
Match Record
10
Wins
10
7
Draws
7
10
Losses
10
Goals
34
Goals Scored
36
36
Goals Conceded
34
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-04-16T02:17:57+00:00
STARTING XI - EXPECTED
1 L. Román Riquelme
23 P. Maffeo Becerra
27 D. López Guijarro
5 O. Mascarell González
22 J. Mojica Palacio
12 S. Costa
20 P. Torre Carral
10 S. Darder Moll
8 M. Morlanes
7 V. Muriqi
15 Z. Sebastiao Luvumbo
1 S. Dimitrievski
21 J. Vazquez Alcalde
26 R. Iranzo Lendínez
5 C. Tárrega Requeni
12 T. Rendall Correia
17 L. Ramazani
23 F. Ugrinic
2 G. Rodríguez
11 L. Rioja González
6 U. Sadiq Mesbah
15 L. Beltrán
General Information
Date & Time
Apr 21, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Capacity
26020
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Next Match
Mallorca
vs
Deportivo Alavés
League: La Liga
Kickoff: Sat, 25 Apr - 12:00 PM
Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza
Valencia
vs
Girona
League: La Liga
Kickoff: Sat, 25 Apr - 4:30 PM
Venue: Estadio de Mestalla
Expected Lineup
Manager ▼
M. Demichelis
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Leo Román
Goalkeeper
6.84 8
Manu Morlanes
Midfielder
6.73 12
Samú Costa
Midfielder
6.84 7
Vedat Muriqi
Attacker
7.22 15
Zito Luvumbo
Attacker
6.7 5
Omar Mascarell
Left Back
6.75 23
Pablo Maffeo
Right Back
6.87 10
Sergi Darder
Central Midfield
6.99 20
Pablo Torre
Central Midfield
6.76 22
Johan Mojica
Left Back
6.69 27
David López
Right Back
6.86 Substitutes ▼
6
Antonio Sánchez
6.46 9
Abdón Prats
6.49 17
Jan Virgili
6.66 32
Javier Olaizola Jimenez
8.1 39
Jandro García
19
Javi Llabrés
6.54 24
Martin Valjent
6.65 25
Iván Cuéllar
6.91 2
Mateu Morey
6.45 3
Toni Lato
6.52 4
Marash Kumbulla
6.47 11
Takuma Asano
6.53 30
Justin Kalumba
6.21 Manager ▼
C. Corberán Vallet
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Stole Dimitrievski
Goalkeeper
6.81 17
Largie Ramazani
Midfielder
6.84 11
Luis Rioja
Midfielder
6.84 6
Umar Sadiq
Attacker
6.52 15
Lucas Beltrán
Attacker
6.65 5
César Tárrega
Right Back
6.73 23
Filip Ugrinic
Central Midfield
6.83 12
Thierry Correia
Right Back
6.6 2
Guido Rodríguez
Central Midfield
7.06 26
Rubén Iranzo
Left Back
6.7 21
Jesús Vázquez
Left Back
6.56 Substitutes ▼
9
Hugo Duro
6.79 10
André Almeida
6.87 7
Arnaut Danjuma
6.73 8
Javi Guerra
6.67 13
Cristian Rivero
7.27 16
Diego López
6.7 19
Dani Raba
6.66 20
Renzo Saravia
22
Baptiste Santamaria
6.68 18
Pepelu
6.95 CONCLUSION
Several factors point towards a competitive affair where Mallorca might leverage their home ground and power ranking to secure a narrow victory. Valencia arrive motivated to rectify their previous defeat and challenge the hosts effectively. Close league positions underline the importance of every result at this stage of the campaign. Players from both squads will need to demonstrate high levels of concentration throughout. Although data in certain areas stays limited, the overall profile favors the home side slightly. Coaches will likely deploy strategies focused on maintaining shape while seeking breakthroughs. In the end, this game could hinge on individual performances and how well each unit adapts to in-game developments.