Levante vs Girona Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia Sat, 7 Mar - 3:15 PM
La Liga
Levante LVT
1 – 1
Girona GIR
Full Time Sat, 7 Mar 3:15 PM
Carlos Espí - 50'
Goal
|
Goal
Joel Roca - 90+4'
Jon Ander Olasagasti 59' Red Card
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Levante 1–1 Girona. The match ended in a draw. Girona showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 33%–67%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Girona showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
G. Cuadra Fernández
G. Cuadra Fernández
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 6.19
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.19
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
A. Estévez Iglesias
A. Estévez Iglesias
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 6.19
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.19
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
R. Ruipérez Marín
R. Ruipérez Marín
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 6.19
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.19
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
G. Porras Ayuso
G. Porras Ayuso
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 6.19
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.19
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Levante L. Ferreira de Castro
L. Ferreira de Castro
VS
Girona M. Sánchez Muñoz
M. Sánchez Muñoz
0.82
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.3
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Barcelona Rank: L
Villarreal Rank: L
Valencia Rank: L
Athletic Club Rank: L
Atlético Madrid Rank: D
Elche Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Celta de Vigo Rank: L
Deportivo Alavés Rank: D
FC Barcelona Rank: W
Sevilla Rank: D
Real Oviedo Rank: L
Getafe Rank: D
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 5 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Levante
35.11%
Draw
28.05%
Away Girona
36.84%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
29.34
38.27
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Levante
Girona
Power Score
29.34
38.27
League Position
19
12
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Levante — Opponent-weighted form score
Girona — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Levante Girona

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Levante

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Girona

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Levante ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Girona
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
46.52
38.88
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
38.88
46.52
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Levante +0.71 Efficiency Index
vs
Girona -0.71 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Levante
Girona
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Levante ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Girona
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Levante Girona
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Levante Girona
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Levante
Girona
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Levante LVT Home
1 matches
Girona GIR Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
4
+4
Goal Difference
-4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-08T00:08:30+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 07, 2026, 03:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Stadium
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Capacity
26354
Attendance
18542
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Guillermo Cuadra Fernández
Alejandro Estévez Iglesias
Rubén Ruipérez Marín
Guadalupe Porras Ayuso

Statistics

Possession
LVT
36%
GIR
64%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 3
14 Shots 22
27 Dangerous attacks 81
33 Possession 67
2 Corners 3
9 Free kicks 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

10 Dribble Attempts 11
14 Successful Headers 5
40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 55
8 Throwins 14
12 Goal Kicks 8
74 Ball Safe 64
10 Goal Attempts 13
4 Successful Dribbles 6
5 Substitutions 5
2 Injuries 0
0 Hit Woodwork 1
1 Assists 1

Attacking

58 Attacks 132
0 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

238 Successful Passes 570
22 Successful Long Passes 28
304 Passes 622
52 Long Passes 51
42 Successful Long Passes Percentage 55
78 Successful Passes Percentage 92
11 Key Passes 19

Defensive

8 Interceptions 4
4 Saves 3
9 Tackles 11
36 Duels Won 37

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 32
7 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

15 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 2

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Adrián Dela
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
90+7'
90+6'
Event
Joel Roca
Goal awarded
90+4'
Event
Joel Roca
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Manu Sánchez
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
79'
Event
Alan Matturro → Paco Cortés
9th Substitution
78'
Event
Unai Vencedor → Oriol Rey
10th Substitution
78'
77'
Event
Vitor Reis
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
72'
Event
Abel Ruiz → Thomas Lemar
8th Substitution
72'
Event
Iván Martín → Fran Beltrán
7th Substitution
Event
Karl Etta Eyong → Carlos Espí
6th Substitution
66'
Event
Kervin Arriaga → Iván Romero
5th Substitution
66'
63'
Event
Azzedine Ounahi → Arnau Martínez
4th Substitution
Event
Jon Ander Olasagasti
Foul / 1st Redcard
59'
54'
Event
Alejandro Francés → Hugo Rincón
2nd Substitution
54'
Event
Joel Roca → Claudio Echeverri
3rd Substitution
Event
Carlos Espí
Header / 1st Goal
50'
1ST-HALF
26'
Event
Hugo Rincón
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Víctor García → Kareem Tunde
1st Substitution
18'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be six minutes of stoppage time.
90
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted! Azzedine Ounahi from Girona attempted a right-footed shot from the center of the box but sent it wide to the left. The assist came from Abel Ruiz.
90
Update Update
Opportunity wasted! Vitor Reis from Girona headed the ball from the center of the box, but it sailed over the goal. The assist came from Iván Martín, who delivered a cross.
90
Update Update
VAR Update: Goal confirmed for Levante, bringing the score to 1-1 against Girona - Joel Roca.
90
Update Update
Joel Roca from Girona has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the score level at Levante 1, Girona 1.
90
Update Update
Kervin Arriaga from Levante committed a foul.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Adrián de la Fuente from Levante has been shown a yellow card.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! It's Levante 1, Girona 1. Joel Roca from Girona scores with a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area into the bottom left corner. The assist came from Alejandro Francés. The goal has been confirmed after a VAR review.
90
Attempt Attempt
Axel Witsel from Girona strikes the crossbar with a left-footed shot from close range, assisted by Azzedine Ounahi.
90
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted! Alejandro Francés from Girona took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed high and to the left of the goal. The assist came from Vitor Reis.
89
Update Update
Joel Roca from Girona was awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
89
Update Update
Fouled by Karl Etta Eyong of Levante.
88
Update Update
Opportunity squandered! Vitor Reis of Girona attempted a header from the center of the box but sent it wide to the left. The cross was delivered by Alejandro Francés.
87
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Viktor Tsygankov from Girona takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Azzedine Ounahi.
86
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Daley Blind from Girona attempted a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area but failed to find the target.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Girona after Mathew Ryan allowed the ball to go out.
84
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive effort underway. Joel Roca from Girona takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the box, but Mathew Ryan from Levante makes a great save, denying the attempt at the top center of the goal. The assist came from Abel Ruiz.
84
Update Update
Opportunity wasted. Abel Ruiz from Girona attempted a header from the center of the box but sent it wide to the left. The assist came from Alejandro Francés, who delivered a cross.
80
Update Update
Opportunity squandered. Alan Matturro from Levante attempted a header from the center of the box but failed to convert. The assist came from Víctor García, who delivered a cross.
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Manu Sánchez from Levante has been shown a yellow card.
79
Update Update
Foul committed by Karl Etta Eyong of Levante.
79
Update Update
Vladyslav Vanat from Girona has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Levante: Alan Matturro comes on to replace Paco Cortés.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Levante: Unai Vencedor comes on to replace Oriol Rey.
77
Update Update
Karl Etta Eyong from Levante earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
77
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Vitor Reis from Girona has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
77
Update Update
Vitor Reis from Girona committed a foul.
75
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Alejandro Francés from Girona takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Axel Witsel.
75
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Azzedine Ounahi from Girona takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked. The assist came from Axel Witsel.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Girona: Iván Martín replaces Fran Beltrán.
72
Update Update
Kervin Arriaga from Levante has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Girona: Abel Ruiz comes on to replace Thomas Lemar.
72
Update Update
Azzedine Ounahi from Girona committed a foul.
71
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is denied. Joel Roca from Girona takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Thomas Lemar.
71
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Joel Roca from Girona takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Viktor Tsygankov.
68
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Kervin Arriaga from Levante attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed over the goal. The assist was provided by Paco Cortés.
67
Update Update
Paco Cortés from Levante has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
67
Update Update
Alejandro Francés from Girona committed a foul.
66
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Levante: Kervin Arriaga comes on to replace Iván Romero.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Levante: Karl Etta Eyong is coming on to replace Carlos Espí.
65
Update Update
Match paused due to an injury to Mathew Ryan from Levante.
64
Update Update
Viktor Tsygankov from Girona has been awarded a free kick on the right flank.
64
Update Update
Manu Sánchez from Levante committed a foul.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Girona: Azzedine Ounahi comes on to replace Arnau Martínez.
63
Update Update
Paco Cortés from Levante commits a handball.
62
Update Update
Vitor Reis from Girona committed a foul.
62
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Alejandro Francés from Girona heads the ball from the right side of the six-yard box, but Mathew Ryan of Levante makes a crucial save in the bottom right corner. The assist comes from Arnau Martínez.
62
Update Update
Carlos Espí from Levante has been awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
61
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
60
Update Update
Match is currently on hold due to an injury to Jon Olasagasti from Levante.
59
Red Card Red Card Important
Jon Olasagasti from Levante has been shown a red card.
59
Update Update
Vladyslav Vanat from Girona has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
59
Update Update
Jon Olasagasti from Levante committed a foul.
58
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Viktor Tsygankov from Girona attempted a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it sailed over the goal. The assist came from Alejandro Francés, who delivered a cross.
54
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Girona: Joel Roca replaces Claudio Echeverri.
54
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Girona: Alejandro Francés comes on to replace Hugo Rincón.
52
Update Update
Jeremy Toljan from Levante has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
52
Update Update
Axel Witsel committed a foul against Girona.
50
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Levante takes the lead, 1-0 against Girona. Carlos Espí scores with a header from the right side of the six-yard box, finding the top right corner of the net. The assist came from Víctor García, who delivered a precise cross.
50
Update Update
The pause has ended. They’re set to resume play.
49
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Paco Cortés from Levante takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area. However, Paulo Gazzaniga from Girona makes a great save, denying the attempt at the top center of the goal. The assist for this play comes from Manu Sánchez.
49
Update Update
Match is currently on hold due to an injury to Vladyslav Vanat from Girona.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Girona after a deflection off Manu Sánchez.
46
Update Update
Claudio Echeverri from Girona has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
46
Update Update
Oriol Rey from Levante committed a foul.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be three minutes of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score still tied at Levante 0, Girona 0.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Levante after Viktor Tsygankov allowed the ball to go out.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the score tied at Levante 0, Girona 0.
45
Corner Corner
Opportunity wasted. Víctor García from Levante attempted a header from outside the penalty area but failed to find the target. The chance was set up by Oriol Rey, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
45
Update Update
Offside call against Levante. Víctor García has been flagged for being offside.
45
Update Update
Offside call against Girona. Vladyslav Vanat has been caught in an offside position.
44
Update Update
Iván Romero from Levante has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
44
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Adrián de la Fuente from Levante takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it is blocked. The assist came from Jon Olasagasti.
44
Update Update
Thomas Lemar committed a foul on a Girona player.
43
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
43
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive move unfolds as Jon Olasagasti from Levante takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Paulo Gazzaniga, the Girona goalkeeper, makes a save right in the middle of the goal.
42
Update Update
Match interruption - Girona.
41
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Iván Romero from Levante takes a right-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
40
Update Update
Jon Olasagasti from Levante was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
40
Update Update
Fran Beltrán from Girona committed a foul.
39
Update Update
Fran Beltrán from Girona has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
39
Update Update
Jon Olasagasti from Levante committed a foul.
37
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Víctor García from Levante takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Iván Romero.
36
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Vladyslav Vanat from Girona attempted a header from the center of the penalty area but failed to find the target. The cross was delivered by Arnau Martínez.
33
Update Update
Hugo Rincón from Girona earned a free kick in the defensive area.
33
Update Update
Oriol Rey from Levante committed a foul.
33
Update Update
Paco Cortés from Levante committed a foul.
33
Update Update
Vladyslav Vanat from Girona has earned a free kick in the defensive area.
32
Update Update
Hugo Rincón from Girona earned a free kick in the defensive area.
32
Update Update
Paco Cortés from Levante committed a foul.
32
Update Update
Hugo Rincón from Girona has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
31
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Matías Moreno from Levante attempted a left-footed shot from the center of the penalty area.
29
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Claudio Echeverri from Girona fires a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Axel Witsel.
29
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted! Fran Beltrán from Girona took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area but it went wide to the left. The assist came from Viktor Tsygankov.
28
Update Update
The pause has ended. They're set to resume play.
27
Update Update
Match interruption due to an injury to Paco Cortés from Levante.
26
Update Update
Paco Cortés from Levante earned a free kick in the defensive area.
26
Update Update
Hugo Rincón from Girona committed a foul.
26
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Hugo Rincón from Girona has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
24
Update Update
Hugo Rincón from Girona was awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
24
Update Update
Paco Cortés from Levante committed a foul.
24
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is denied. Fran Beltrán from Girona fires a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's intercepted.
20
Update Update
Offside call against Girona. Vladyslav Vanat has been flagged for being offside.
18
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Levante after Paulo Gazzaniga allowed the ball to go out.
18
Update Update
Offside call against Girona. Vladyslav Vanat has been caught offside.
17
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Levante: Víctor García replaces Kareem Tunde due to an injury.
15
Update Update
Match interruption - Girona.
14
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Iván Romero from Levante attempted a header from the middle of the penalty area.
13
Update Update
Viktor Tsygankov from Girona has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
13
Update Update
Viktor Tsygankov from Girona has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
11
Update Update
Jeremy Toljan from Levante has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
11
Update Update
Viktor Tsygankov from Girona committed a foul.
8
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Kareem Tunde from Levante attempted a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went wide. The assist came from Manu Sánchez, who delivered a cross.
5
Update Update
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Axel Witsel from Girona heads the ball from the middle of the penalty area, but Mathew Ryan, the Levante goalkeeper, makes a crucial save right in front of the goal. The assist came from Viktor Tsygankov, who delivered a precise cross.
4
Update Update
Iván Romero from Levante committed a foul.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Girona after Matías Moreno's defensive play.
4
Update Update
Axel Witsel of Girona earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
3
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Viktor Tsygankov from Girona takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area. However, Mathew Ryan, the goalkeeper for Levante, makes a solid save right in the middle of the goal. The assist for this play came from Thomas Lemar.
2
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
2
Update Update
Match interruption - Girona.
1
Update Update
Carlos Espí from Levante committed a handball.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Girona exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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