Lens vs Nantes Prediction, Preview and Stats

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade Bollaert-Delelis Tomorrow - 6:45 PM
Ligue 1
Lens LEN
Versus
Nantes NAN
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 6:45 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Lens host Nantes in Ligue 1 (Regular Season) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Domestically, Lens sit 2th in the table while Nantes are 17th. Power ranking favours Lens by 17.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Lens holds a clear structural advantage, placed 2nd to Nantes' 17th with a 17.5-point power score edge.
  • Form: Lens boasts a superior form score of 17.06 compared to Nantes' 7.94.
  • Squad: No specific squad updates available; Lens's higher power rating indicates stronger overall personnel.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data not provided in preview metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to lack of xG information and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable as add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Lens 73.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 17.7% (Δ+0%) | Nantes 9.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Lens P. Sage
P. Sage
VS
Nantes Nantes
Nantes
2.1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.57
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nice Rank: 72 D
Brest Rank: 73 D
Toulouse Rank: 72 W
LOSC Lille Rank: 81 L
Angers SCO Rank: 67 W
Lorient Rank: 74 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Olympique Marseille Rank: 80 D
Rennes Rank: 79 L
Paris Saint Germain Rank: 94 L
Brest Rank: 73 D
Auxerre Rank: 69 D
Metz Rank: 62 D
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 5 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lens
73.05%
Draw
17.67%
Away Nantes
9.28%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
82.02
64.57
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lens
Nantes
Power Score
82.02
64.57
League Position
2
17
Global Rank
49
335

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lens — Opponent-weighted form score
Nantes — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lens Nantes

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lens LEN Home
17 matches
Nantes NAN Away
Match Record
8
Wins
4
5
Draws
5
4
Losses
8
Goals
26
Goals Scored
18
18
Goals Conceded
26
+8
Goal Difference
-8

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T01:01:15+00:00

General Information

Date & Time :
May 08, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Capacity :
38223
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

16
Mathieu Gorgelin
Mathieu Gorgelin Goalkeeper
1
Régis Gurtner
Régis Gurtner Goalkeeper
40
Robin Risser
Robin Risser Goalkeeper
60
Ilan Jourdren
Ilan Jourdren Goalkeeper
27
Arthur Masuaku
Arthur Masuaku Defender
14
Matthieu Udol
Matthieu Udol Defender
20
Malang Sarr
Malang Sarr Defender
24
Jonathan Gradit
Jonathan Gradit Defender
2
Ruben Aguilar
Ruben Aguilar Defender
23
Saud Abdullah Abdul Hamid
Saud Abdullah Abdul Hamid Defender
6
Samson Baidoo
Samson Baidoo Defender
25
Pierre Ismaelo Ganiou
Pierre Ismaelo Ganiou Defender
4
Nidal Čelik
Nidal Čelik Defender
32
Kyllian Antonio
Kyllian Antonio Defender
21
Amadou Haidara
Amadou Haidara Midfielder
28
Adrien Thomasson
Adrien Thomasson Midfielder
8
Mamadou Sangare
Mamadou Sangare Midfielder
5
Andrija Bulatović
Andrija Bulatović Midfielder
18
Fodé Sylla
Fodé Sylla Midfielder
31
Alpha Diallo
Alpha Diallo Midfielder
10
Florian Tristán Mariano Thauvin
Florian Tristán Mariano Thauvin Attacker
9
Allan Saint-Maximin
Allan Saint-Maximin Attacker
22
Wesley Saïd
Wesley Saïd Attacker
11
Odsonne Édouard
Odsonne Édouard Attacker
7
Florian Sotoca
Florian Sotoca Attacker
19
Abdallah Dipo Sima
Abdallah Dipo Sima Attacker
26
Anthony Bermont
Anthony Bermont Attacker
38
Rayan Fofana
Rayan Fofana Attacker
34
Erawan Garnier
Erawan Garnier Attacker

Squad ▼

30
Patrik Ulf Anders Carlgren
Patrik Ulf Anders Carlgren Goalkeeper
1
Anthony Lopes
Anthony Lopes Goalkeeper
50
Alexis Mirbach
Alexis Mirbach Goalkeeper
26
Uroš Radaković
Uroš Radaković Defender
24
Frédéric Guilbert
Frédéric Guilbert Defender
98
Kelvin Amian Adou
Kelvin Amian Adou Defender
18
Fabien Centonze
Fabien Centonze Defender
6
Chidozie Collins Awaziem
Chidozie Collins Awaziem Defender
27
Deiver Andrés Machado Mena
Deiver Andrés Machado Mena Defender
3
Nicolas Louis Marcel Cozza
Nicolas Louis Marcel Cozza Defender
2
Ali Youssef
Ali Youssef Defender
72
Sekou Doucouré
Sekou Doucouré Defender
4
Loubadhe Abakar Sylla
Loubadhe Abakar Sylla Defender
78
Tylel Tati
Tylel Tati Defender
13
Francis Coquelin
Francis Coquelin Midfielder
20
Rémy Cabella
Rémy Cabella Midfielder
28
Ibrahima Sissoko
Ibrahima Sissoko Midfielder
8
Johann Lepenant
Johann Lepenant Midfielder
21
Mohamed Kaba
Mohamed Kaba Midfielder
17
Dehmaine Assoumani
Dehmaine Assoumani Midfielder
66
Louis Leroux
Louis Leroux Midfielder
52
Bahmed Deuff
Bahmed Deuff Midfielder
19
Youssef El-Arabi
Youssef El-Arabi Attacker
31
Mostafa Mohamed Ahmed Abdallah
Mostafa Mohamed Ahmed Abdallah Attacker
37
Ignatius Kpene Ganago
Ignatius Kpene Ganago Attacker
10
Matthis Abline
Matthis Abline Attacker
11
Bahereba Guirassy
Bahereba Guirassy Attacker
14
Amady Camara
Amady Camara Attacker

CONCLUSION

Lens enters as overwhelming favorites, armed with superior power, form, and home backing at Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Their 2nd-place perch contrasts sharply with Nantes' 17th-position struggles, promising a one-sided affair unless the visitors conjure defensive resilience. Expect Lens to dictate tempo, exploiting Nantes' form woes for a comfortable victory that bolsters title credentials. Nantes requires a flawless counter-plan to salvage points, but metrics point decisively homeward in this Ligue 1 encounter.

Lens vs Nantes preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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