Legia Warszawa vs Zagłębie Lubin Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego
Tomorrow - 6:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
Zagłębie Lubin
Zagłębie Lubin
KICKOFF :
Tomorrow - 6:30 PM
Round 29 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 16
CONTEXT
The upcoming Ekstraklasa fixture sees Legia Warszawa, currently 15th in the standings, welcome Zagłębie Lubin who sit in an impressive second place. Played at the iconic Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego during the 2025/2026 Regular Season, this match pits a home side seeking to climb out of the lower reaches against a confident away team challenging for top honors. Legia boast an unbeaten form record of two wins and four draws from six matches, including a recent draw at home to Górnik Zabrze. In contrast, Zagłębie Lubin have recorded three wins and three defeats in their last six outings, entering this game on the back of a home victory over Radomiak Radom. Power ratings give a slight edge to the visitors, highlighting their overall strength this season. The game offers Legia a chance to demonstrate their resilience at home while Zagłębie look to consolidate their strong start to the campaign.
TL;DR
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Structural: Legia Warszawa in 15th host 2nd-placed Zagłębie Lubin in Warsaw. Power scores show a narrow edge for the visitors despite the home venue and Legia's solid league standing potential.
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Form: Legia remain unbeaten across six matches with two wins and four draws. Zagłębie bring a mixed record of three wins and three losses, arriving with positive momentum from their latest victory.
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Squad: Both sides possess competitive squads capable of matching the demands of Ekstraklasa. Legia rely on experience at home while Zagłębie utilize a dynamic group that has exceeded early season expectations.
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Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain limited due to unavailable data. Legia's consistent results imply effective defensive organization, whereas Zagłębie demonstrate strong point accumulation relative to their performances.
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Transition: Zagłębie show promise in quick transitions and counter opportunities. Legia prefer a more measured approach, building from the back to leverage home crowd support and structured attacks.
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Set pieces: Set piece analysis carries low confidence with proxy data applied. Neither team displays a marked advantage in this phase based on current season indicators.
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xVariable: Expected goals and related advanced metrics are unavailable for this fixture. Assessment therefore centers on traditional form, power ratings, and observable patterns instead.
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Market: Legia Warszawa 56.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.3% (Δ+0%) | Zagłębie Lubin 17.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
M. Papszun
VS
L. Ojrzynski
1.06
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.72
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Górnik Zabrze
Rank:
D
Pogoń Szczecin
Rank:
W
Raków Częstochowa
Rank:
D
Radomiak Radom
Rank:
D
Cracovia Kraków
Rank:
W
Jagiellonia Białystok
Rank:
D
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Radomiak Radom
Rank:
W
Arka Gdynia
Rank:
L
Motor Lublin
Rank:
L
Lech Poznań
Rank:
L
Piast Gliwice
Rank:
W
Wisła Płock
Rank:
W
26
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
26 - 5 - 9
9
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Legia Warszawa
56.83%
Draw
25.29%
Zagłębie Lubin
17.89%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
26.45
27.87
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Legia Warszawa
Zagłębie Lubin
Power Score
26.45
27.87
League Position
15
2
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Legia Warszawa
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Zagłębie Lubin
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Legia Warszawa Zagłębie Lubin
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 40 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
Home
40
matches
Zagłębie Lubin
Zagłębie Lubin
Away
Match Record
26
Wins
9
5
Draws
5
9
Losses
26
Goals
79
Goals Scored
37
37
Goals Conceded
79
+42
Goal Difference
-42
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-04-16T00:04:16+00:00
STARTING XI - EXPECTED
89 O. Hindrich
91 K. Piątkowski
8 R. Augustyniak
12 R. Pankov
7 P. Wszołek
44 D. Szymański
22 J. Elitim Sepúlveda
23 P. Kun
53 W. Urbański
29 M. Rajovic
9 R. Adamski
1 J. Burić
35 L. Lučić
4 D. Michalski
25 M. Nalepa
31 I. Orlikowski
39 F. Kocaba
26 J. Kolan
18 A. Radwański
44 M. Reguła
16 J. Čorluka
17 L. Szabo
General Information
Date & Time
Apr 17, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego
Capacity
31800
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Next Match
Legia Warszawa
vs
Lech Poznań
League: Ekstraklasa
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 3:30 PM
Venue: Enea stadion
Zagłębie Lubin
vs
Nieciecza
League: Ekstraklasa
Kickoff: Fri, 24 Apr - 4:00 PM
Venue: Stadion Zagłębia Lubin
Expected Lineup
Manager ▼
M. Papszun
Coach
Starting XI ▼
89
Otto Hindrich
Goalkeeper
6.71 7
Pawel Wszolek
Midfielder
6.83 23
Patryk Kun
Midfielder
6.74 9
Rafal Adamski
Attacker
6.86 29
Mileta Rajović
Centre Forward
6.83 53
Wojciech Urbanski
Attacker
6.56 8
Rafal Augustyniak
Centre Back
6.8 12
Radovan Pankov
Left Back
6.95 22
Juergen Elitim
Central Midfield
7.09 44
Damian Szymanski
Central Midfield
6.9 91
Kamil Piatkowski
Right Back
6.8 Substitutes ▼
13
Arkadiusz Reca
6.78 67
Bartosz Kapustka
7 1
Kacper Tobiasz
6.62 18
Jean-Pierre Nsame
6.92 20
Jakub Zewlakow
6.58 99
Samuel Kovacik
6.51 77
Ermal Krasniqi
6.86 55
Artur Jedrzejczyk
6.98 82
Kacper Urbanski
6.62 Manager ▼
L. Ojrzynski
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Jasmin Buric
Goalkeeper
7.05 17
Levente Szabó
Centre Forward
6.87 16
Josip Corluka
Right Wing
6.82 35
Luka Lucic
Left Back
6.89 4
Damian Michalski
Left Back
6.9 25
Michal Nalepa
Right Back
7.06 26
Jakub Kolan
Defensive Midfield
6.81 31
Igor Orlikowski
Right Back
6.67 18
Adam Radwanski
Left Wing
6.79 39
Filip Kocaba
Defensive Midfield
6.69 44
Marcel Regula
Attacking Midfield
6.79 Substitutes ▼
11
Arkadiusz Wozniak
6.15 84
Jakub Ligocki
6.33 20
Mateusz Dziewiatowski
6.55 5
Aleks Lawniczak
6.95 7
Sebastian Kowalczyk
6.5 8
Damian Dabrowski
7.06 13
Mateusz Grzybek
7.06 9
Michalis Kosidis
6.74 12
Rafal Gikiewicz
6.76 19
Jakub Sypek
6.61 99
Cyprian Popielec
CONCLUSION
Overall, this promises to be a fascinating matchup between a struggling yet unbeaten Legia Warszawa and a surging Zagłębie Lubin. The home advantage and Legia's solid defensive record could prove pivotal in frustrating the away side's attacking ambitions. Zagłębie have shown they can compete with the best this season, but their inconsistent recent form adds an element of unpredictability. Fans can anticipate a tactical battle where set pieces and transitions may decide the outcome. If Legia can capitalize on their home support and maintain their unbeaten run, they stand a good chance of earning a positive result to boost their season. Zagłębie, however, will be motivated to extend their strong league position with another away success.