Leganés vs Racing Santander Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal de Butarque Sun, 10 May - 2:15 PM
La Liga 2
Leganés LEG
Versus
Racing Santander RAC
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 2:15 PM
Round 39 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Leganés welcome league leaders Racing Santander to the Estadio Municipal de Butarque for a crucial La Liga 2 regular season encounter in the 2025/2026 campaign. The hosts sit 16th in the standings, grappling with inconsistency as evidenced by their power score of 58.52 and form rating of just 9.06. Racing Santander, perched atop the table, exude confidence with a superior power score of 71.24—granting them a 12.7-point edge—and an impressive form score of 31.89. This matchup highlights a clear disparity, with the Cantabrians arriving as the stronger outfit on paper. Leganés will draw on home advantage and crowd support to disrupt Racing's momentum, but the visitors' dominance in key metrics suggests a tough battle ahead. Data limitations on set pieces and efficiency add intrigue to proceedings.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Racing Santander holds a 71.24 power score against Leganés' 58.52, with a 12.7-point advantage.
  • Form: Racing Santander's form score of 31.89 outpaces Leganés' 9.06 significantly.
  • Squad: Racing Santander top La Liga 2 in 1st place, while Leganés sit 16th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not provided for this fixture.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable, relying on low-confidence proxies for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG variables inaccessible due to data limitations.
  • Market: Leganés 32.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.3% (Δ+0%) | Racing Santander 41.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Leganés I. Oca Pulido
I. Oca Pulido
VS
Racing Santander J. López Menéndez
J. López Menéndez
1.08
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.88
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 68 L
FC Andorra Rank: 65 L
Las Palmas Rank: 69 L
Albacete Rank: 66 W
Almería Rank: 71 L
Real Zaragoza Rank: 58 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Huesca Rank: 59 W
Ceuta Rank: 60 D
Real Sociedad II Rank: 60 W
Almería Rank: 71 W
FC Andorra Rank: 66 L
Sporting Gijón Rank: 64 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 4 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Leganés
32.9%
Draw
25.31%
Away Racing Santander
41.79%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.52
71.24
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Leganés
Racing Santander
Power Score
58.52
71.24
League Position
16
1
Global Rank
370
183

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Leganés Opponent-weighted form score
Racing Santander Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Leganés Racing Santander

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Leganés LEG Home
8 matches
Racing Santander RAC Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
4
Draws
4
2
Losses
2
Goals
10
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
10
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T01:04:41+00:00

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 39 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Capacity :
12454
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
Pitch
J. Soriano Oropesa
1 J. Soriano Oropesa
S. Figueredo Vilar del Valle
22 S. Figueredo Vilar del Valle
G. Aguilar López
6 G. Aguilar López
M. Antolín Garzón
2 M. Antolín Garzón
D. Rodríguez Vázquez
9 D. Rodríguez Vázquez
S. Cisse
8 S. Cisse
A. Diawara
24 A. Diawara
N. García García
17 N. García García
J. Díaz Espósito
10 J. Díaz Espósito
L. Lopes
11 L. Lopes
A. Millán Iranzo
23 A. Millán Iranzo
Pitch
L. Gómez Rodríguez
35 L. Gómez Rodríguez
J. Salinas Viadero
32 J. Salinas Viadero
P. Ramón Parra
21 P. Ramón Parra
J. Castro Urdín
5 J. Castro Urdín
A. Mantilla Pérez
2 A. Mantilla Pérez
G. Puerta Molano
19 G. Puerta Molano
M. Gueye
14 M. Gueye
I. Vicente Elorduy
10 I. Vicente Elorduy
P. Canales Urtasun
18 P. Canales Urtasun
A. Martín García
11 A. Martín García
G. Guliashvili
7 G. Guliashvili

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

1
Juan Soriano
Juan Soriano Goalkeeper
6.97
6
Lalo Aguilar
Lalo Aguilar Defender
6.82
22
Sebastián Figueredo
Sebastián Figueredo Defender
6.42
2
Marvelous Antolín Garzón
Marvelous Antolín Garzón Defender
6.81
24
Amadou Diawara
Amadou Diawara Midfielder
6.85
9
Dani Rodríguez
Dani Rodríguez Midfielder
7.07
8
Seydouba Cissé
Seydouba Cissé Midfielder
6.92
11
Duk
Duk Attacker
6.82
17
Naim García
Naim García Attacker
6.77
10
Juan Cruz
Juan Cruz Attacker
7.01
23
Álex Millán
Álex Millán Attacker
6.73

Starting XI

35
Laro Gómez
Laro Gómez Goalkeeper
6.18
2
Álvaro Mantilla
Álvaro Mantilla Defender
6.61
5
Javi Castro
Javi Castro Defender
6.8
21
Pablo Ramón
Pablo Ramón Defender
6.67
32
Jorge Salinas
Jorge Salinas Defender
6.72
18
Peio Canales
Peio Canales Midfielder
7.07
19
Gustavo Puerta
Gustavo Puerta Midfielder
6.94
14
Maguette Gueye
Maguette Gueye Midfielder
6.7
7
Giorgi Guliashvili
Giorgi Guliashvili Attacker
6.87
10
Iñigo Vicente
Iñigo Vicente Attacker
7.5
11
Andrés Martín
Andrés Martín Attacker
7.34

CONCLUSION

Racing Santander enter as favorites against mid-table Leganés, boasting top position, superior power rating, and dominant form score. The 12.7-point power gap underscores the visitors' edge at Butarque, where home resilience could test their supremacy. Leganés must capitalize on set-piece opportunities, though data gaps leave efficiency and transitions as unknowns. Racing's momentum positions them to extend their lead, but a spirited host performance might yield points. This clash promises intensity, with the Cantabrians poised to affirm their title credentials in La Liga 2's 2025/2026 season.

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