Leeds United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Elland Road Sat, 18 Apr - 2:00 PM
Premier League
Leeds United LEE
Versus
Wolverhampton Wanderers WOL
KICKOFF : Sat, 18 Apr - 2:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Leeds United welcome Wolverhampton Wanderers to Elland Road for a Premier League Regular Season match in 2025/2026. Positioned 15th in the table, the hosts possess a significant power score advantage of 6.4 points over their 20th-placed opponents. Recent results show Leeds securing a win away at Manchester United, whereas Wolves fell to a loss at West Ham United. Form records indicate Leeds with one win, three draws and two losses from six matches compared to Wolves two wins, two draws and two defeats. The stronger metrics favor the home team significantly in this encounter. Supporters anticipate a competitive battle where Leeds aim to capitalize on home soil to improve their standing while the visitors seek to escape the relegation zone with a positive result.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Leeds boast superior power score and hold 15th place compared to Wolves in 20th at the foot of the table.
  • Form: Mixed results for both with Leeds on W1 D3 L2 and Wolves W2 D2 L2 in recent fixtures.
  • Squad: Home squad looks to utilize strength at Elland Road while away team searches for consistency on the road.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency statistics remain underdeveloped for analysis in advance of this matchup.
  • Transition: Effective counter attacks and quick transitions could play a major role in deciding the outcome.
  • Set pieces: Proxy metrics with low confidence suggest set plays warrant close attention during the game.
  • xVariable: Underlying power metrics designate Leeds United as the dominant force for this home fixture.
  • Market: Leeds United 58.4% (Δ-0.1%) | Draw 24.4% (Δ+-0%) | Wolverhampton Wanderers 17.1% (Δ+0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Leeds United D. Farke
D. Farke
VS
Wolverhampton Wanderers R. Edwards
R. Edwards
1.12
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.6
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Manchester United Rank: W
Brentford Rank: D
Crystal Palace Rank: D
Sunderland Rank: L
Manchester City Rank: L
Aston Villa Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
West Ham United Rank: L
Brentford Rank: D
Liverpool Rank: W
Aston Villa Rank: W
Crystal Palace Rank: L
Arsenal Rank: D
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 2 - 12
12
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Leeds United
58.43%
Draw
24.43%
Away Wolverhampton Wanderers
17.13%

Movement

Changes since opening
Leeds United
-0.05%
Draw
-0.03%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
+0.07%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
29.74
23.3
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Leeds United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Power Score
29.74
23.3
League Position
15
20
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Leeds United — Opponent-weighted form score
Wolverhampton Wanderers — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Leeds United Wolverhampton Wanderers

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 24 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Leeds United LEE Home
24 matches
Wolverhampton Wanderers WOL Away
Match Record
10
Wins
12
2
Draws
2
12
Losses
10
Goals
34
Goals Scored
36
36
Goals Conceded
34
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T00:08:30+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
K. Darlow
Wales
26 K. Darlow
J. Justin
England
24 J. Justin
J. Bijol
Slovenia
15 J. Bijol
P. Struijk
Netherlands
5 P. Struijk
J. Bogle
England
2 J. Bogle
E. Ampadu
Wales
4 E. Ampadu
S. Longstaff
England
8 S. Longstaff
G. Gudmundsson
Sweden
3 G. Gudmundsson
B. Aaronson
United States
11 B. Aaronson
N. Okafor
Switzerland
19 N. Okafor
D. Calvert-Lewin
England
9 D. Calvert-Lewin
J. Malheiro de Sá
Portugal
1 J. Malheiro de Sá
L. Krejčí
Czech Republic
37 L. Krejčí
S. Bueno Sciutto
Uruguay
4 S. Bueno Sciutto
T. Gomes
Portugal
24 T. Gomes
H. Bueno
Spain
3 H. Bueno
Gomes
Brazil
8 Gomes
A. Trindade da Costa Neto
Brazil
7 A. Trindade da Costa Neto
J. Bellegarde
France
27 J. Bellegarde
J. Tchatchoua
Belgium
38 J. Tchatchoua
A. Gomes
England
47 A. Gomes
A. Armstrong
England
9 A. Armstrong

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 18, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Elland Road
Capacity
40242
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Tim Robinson
Lee Betts
Lewis Smith
Matthew Wilkes

Lineup

Referee : Tim Robinson

Starting XI ▼

26
Karl Darlow
Karl Darlow Goalkeeper
6.79
2
Jayden Bogle
Jayden Bogle Defender
6.59
3
Gabriel Gudmundsson
Gabriel Gudmundsson Defender
6.64
5
Pascal Struijk
Pascal Struijk Defender
6.89
15
Jaka Bijol
Jaka Bijol Defender
6.87
24
James Justin
James Justin Defender
6.83
4
Ethan Ampadu
Ethan Ampadu Midfielder
7
8
Sean Longstaff
Sean Longstaff Midfielder
7.01
11
Brenden Aaronson
Brenden Aaronson Midfielder
6.74
19
Noah Okafor
Noah Okafor Midfielder
6.75
9
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Dominic Calvert-Lewin Attacker
6.87
Referee : Tim Robinson

Starting XI ▼

1
José Sá
José Sá Goalkeeper
6.88
4
Santiago Bueno
Santiago Bueno Defender
6.74
24
Toti
Toti Defender
6.56
37
Ladislav Krejci
Ladislav Krejci Defender
6.68
3
Hugo Bueno
Hugo Bueno Midfielder
6.73
7
André
André Midfielder
6.75
8
João Gomes
João Gomes Midfielder
6.81
27
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde Midfielder
6.71
38
Jackson Tchatchoua
Jackson Tchatchoua Midfielder
6.58
47
Angel Gomes
Angel Gomes Midfielder
6.79
9
Adam Armstrong
Adam Armstrong Attacker
6.69

CONCLUSION

Leeds United are well placed to claim all three points against a struggling Wolverhampton Wanderers side. The power score differential and home advantage at Elland Road provide a solid platform for success. Although the visitors have shown slightly better form lately, their league position at the bottom adds pressure. Recent wins and losses respectively further tilt expectations toward the hosts. Players on both sides will need to excel in transitional moments to gain the upper hand. Set pieces may also offer opportunities to break the deadlock in what promises to be an engaging afternoon of football. Ultimately the home team holds the initiative in this important Premier League fixture.

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