Lazio vs Inter Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Olimpico Sat, 9 May - 4:00 PM
Serie A
Lazio LAZ
Versus
Inter INT
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 4:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Lazio welcome Inter to the Stadio Olimpico for a pivotal Serie A regular season encounter in the 2025/2026 campaign. Inter, perched atop the league standings in first place, boast a commanding power score of 91.22, eclipsing Lazio's 81.29 by a 9.9-point margin, underscoring their structural superiority. Recent form tilts heavily towards the visitors, with Inter's 36.67 rating outpacing Lazio's 28.06, signaling momentum in their favor as they chase title glory. Lazio, mired in eighth position, face an uphill battle against the league leaders, who have consistently demonstrated dominance. While set-piece metrics remain elusive due to low-confidence proxies, Inter's overall prowess positions them as the team to beat. This matchup promises intensity, with Inter's efficiency in open play likely to test Lazio's resolve at home.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Inter possess a 9.9-point power advantage over Lazio with scores of 91.22 versus 81.29.
  • Form: Inter hold a superior form score of 36.67 compared to Lazio's 28.06.
  • Squad: Inter lead the Serie A table in 1st place while Lazio occupy 8th position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both Lazio and Inter.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not specified for this fixture.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats for both teams rely on low-confidence proxies with no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable due to add-on not being enabled.
  • Market: Lazio 20.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.7% (Δ+0%) | Inter 53.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Lazio M. Sarri
M. Sarri
VS
Inter C. Chivu
C. Chivu
1.44
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.44
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cremonese Rank: 67 W
Udinese Rank: 75 D
Napoli Rank: 86 W
Fiorentina Rank: 76 L
Parma Rank: 72 D
Bologna Rank: 78 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Parma Rank: 73 W
Torino Rank: 74 D
Cagliari Rank: 69 W
Como Rank: 84 W
Roma Rank: 85 W
Fiorentina Rank: 77 D
12
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 10 - 26
26
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lazio
20.89%
Draw
25.71%
Away Inter
53.4%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
81.29
91.22
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lazio
Inter
Power Score
81.29
91.22
League Position
8
1
Global Rank
52
9

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lazio — Opponent-weighted form score
Inter — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lazio Inter

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 48 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lazio LAZ Home
48 matches
Inter INT Away
Match Record
12
Wins
26
10
Draws
10
26
Losses
12
Goals
49
Goals Scored
83
83
Goals Conceded
49
-34
Goal Difference
+34

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T00:09:32+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
E. Motta
40 E. Motta
A. Marušić
77 A. Marušić
O. Nielsen
25 O. Nielsen
A. Romagnoli
13 A. Romagnoli
N. Varela Tavares
17 N. Varela Tavares
T. Bašić
26 T. Bašić
P. Gabarrón Gil
4 P. Gabarrón Gil
K. Taylor
24 K. Taylor
G. Isaksen
18 G. Isaksen
D. Maldini
27 D. Maldini
M. Zaccagni
10 M. Zaccagni
Y. Sommer
1 Y. Sommer
A. Bastoni
95 A. Bastoni
M. Akanji
25 M. Akanji
Y. Bisseck
31 Y. Bisseck
F. Dimarco
32 F. Dimarco
P. Sučić
8 P. Sučić
P. Zieliński
7 P. Zieliński
N. Barella
23 N. Barella
D. Dumfries
2 D. Dumfries
M. Thuram
9 M. Thuram
F. Esposito
94 F. Esposito

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadio Olimpico
Capacity :
72698
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

40
Edoardo Motta
Edoardo Motta Goalkeeper
6.79
18
Gustav Isaksen
Gustav Isaksen Attacker
6.81
10
Mattia Zaccagni
Mattia Zaccagni Attacker
7.01
27
Daniel Maldini
Daniel Maldini Centre Forward
6.69
4
Patric
Patric Central Midfield
6.7
17
Nuno Tavares
Nuno Tavares Left Back
6.83
24
Kenneth Taylor
Kenneth Taylor Central Midfield
6.9
77
Adam Marusic
Adam Marusic Right Back
6.84
13
Alessio Romagnoli
Alessio Romagnoli Left Back
6.89
25
Oliver Provstgaard
Oliver Provstgaard Right Back
6.8
26
Toma Bašić
Toma Bašić Central Midfield
7.02

Starting XI ▼

1
Yann Sommer
Yann Sommer Goalkeeper
6.77
2
Denzel Dumfries
Denzel Dumfries Midfielder
6.71
32
Federico Dimarco
Federico Dimarco Midfielder
7.58
9
Marcus Thuram
Marcus Thuram Attacker
7.21
94
Pio Esposito
Pio Esposito Attacker
6.78
7
Piotr Zieliński
Piotr Zieliński Central Midfield
7.04
8
Petar Sučić
Petar Sučić Central Midfield
6.75
95
Alessandro Bastoni
Alessandro Bastoni Left Back
7.23
23
Nicolò Barella
Nicolò Barella Central Midfield
7.21
25
Manuel Akanji
Manuel Akanji Centre Back
7.04
31
Yann Bisseck
Yann Bisseck Right Back
7.09

CONCLUSION

Inter arrive as clear frontrunners, leveraging their top-table position and superior power metrics to challenge Lazio on their home turf. Lazio's mid-table standing and weaker form suggest vulnerability, particularly against Inter's structured dominance. Without standout set-piece edges, the focus shifts to Inter's transitional threat and overall efficiency, likely tilting the scales. Expect a competitive affair where Inter's consistency prevails, potentially extending their lead at the summit. Lazio must summon a spirited home performance to disrupt the leaders' rhythm.

Lazio vs Inter preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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